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Welcome to The Stats Lab, your new home for advanced analysis and insights for fantasy sportsWelcome to The Stats Lab
AFL Betting
Live prices, full-history prop trends and a baseline-driven edge screen. Free tools open to everyone; the deeper analysis sits behind premium.
Top Edges Today
Finals week
| Player | Market | Best price | TSL baseline | Market prob | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DayHawthorn Hawks | Goals 0.5 | $3.60 pointsbetau | |||
| Jake LloydSydney Swans | Goals 0.5 | $3.35 sportsbet | |||
| Logan MorrisBrisbane Lions | Goals 3.5 | $6.20 ladbrokes_au |
Edge %, TSL baseline and market probability are premium.
Unlock the numbersMarket probability is vig-inclusive (over-only markets; de-vig not possible). TSL baseline is a gamelog-derived screening tool, not a calibrated price.
Prop Explorer
Live
How often an AFL player clears a disposals, marks, tackles, goals or fantasy line, by band, opponent and venue, with ROI if taken.
Odds Screen
Live
Best live AU price on every AFL game across head to head, line and total points, with the full book grid.
Line vs History
Live
Closing lines and results by team, venue, favourite and rest, 2024 season onward.
Value Board
Live
Where our TSL baseline disagrees with the disposal, mark, tackle and goal market, ranked by edge.
Goal-Scorer Matrix
Live
Anytime and multi-goal prices against a Poisson model and settled hit rates, with a forward-role read.
Fantasy Props
Live
Fantasy-point lines versus our stored AFL Fantasy averages, with an honest basis note.
Multi Builder
Live
Build a same-fixture multi with the combined price and a historical hit rate behind every leg.
CLV Ledger
Live
Log your bets and track whether you are beating the closing line over time.
Prices are indicative and move constantly. Model edges are a screening tool, not a calibrated price. Past outcomes do not predict future results.