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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs Prediction Round 26 2026
Who wins Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs? Our form-based model leans Adelaide Crows by 1-11. Read the full preview below.
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Adelaide Crows by 1-11
Model score: Adelaide Crows 92–84 Western Bulldogs
Total points: the model's 176-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 4 meetings it is Adelaide Crows 3, Western Bulldogs 1, averaging 189.3 total points per game. Adelaide Crows have won 2 of their last 5. Western Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5.
Last 4 meetings: Adelaide Crows 3, Western Bulldogs 1, averaging 189.3 total points per game.
- 88–94 v Western Bulldogs20 Mar 2026
- 60–68 @ Geelong Cats26 Mar 2026
- 76–78 v Fremantle Dockers3 Apr 2026
- 114–86 v Carlton Blues9 Apr 2026
- 103–102 v St Kilda Saints18 Apr 2026
- 134–53 v GWS Giants14 Mar 2026
- 94–88 @ Adelaide Crows20 Mar 2026
- 99–65 v Essendon Bombers5 Apr 2026
- 64–104 @ Hawthorn Hawks11 Apr 2026
- 56–131 @ Geelong Cats17 Apr 2026
Adelaide Crows
- Jordan Dawson
111.4 SC avg · 26.3 disposals · 1.1 goals · 5.2 marks (20 games)
- Izak Rankine
107.2 SC avg · 24.0 disposals · 1.1 goals · 4.1 marks (20 games)
- Wayne Milera
99.5 SC avg · 25.3 disposals · 0.1 goals · 5.9 marks (18 games)
- Sam Berry
97.2 SC avg · 22.3 disposals · 0.1 goals · 2.6 marks (22 games)
Western Bulldogs
- Marcus Bontempelli
117.2 SC avg · 26.6 disposals · 1.4 goals · 4.2 marks (23 games)
- Ed Richards
111.1 SC avg · 26.0 disposals · 0.9 goals · 3.7 marks (23 games)
- Bailey Dale
102.3 SC avg · 26.8 disposals · 0.1 goals · 4.7 marks (19 games)
- Tim English
100.1 SC avg · 15.1 disposals · 0.4 goals · 4.6 marks (16 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members, to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 26 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Adelaide Crows and Western Bulldogs team hubs.