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Port Adelaide Power vs Melbourne Demons Prediction, Tips & Preview - AFL Round 23 2026
Who wins Port Adelaide Power vs Melbourne Demons? Our form-based model leans Port Adelaide Power by 12-23. Read the full preview below.
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Port Adelaide Power by 12-23
Model score: Port Adelaide Power 101–79 Melbourne Demons
Total points: the model's 180-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Port Adelaide Power 2, Melbourne Demons 1, averaging 150 total points per game. Port Adelaide Power have won 2 of their last 5. Melbourne Demons have won 3 of their last 5.
Last 3 meetings: Port Adelaide Power 2, Melbourne Demons 1, averaging 150 total points per game.
- 133–70 v Essendon Bombers22 Mar 2026
- 90–92 v West Coast Eagles29 Mar 2026
- 90–48 @ Richmond Tigers4 Apr 2026
- 67–81 v St Kilda Saints12 Apr 2026
- 86–89 @ Hawthorn Hawks18 Apr 2026
- 70–118 @ Fremantle Dockers21 Mar 2026
- 100–77 @ Carlton Blues29 Mar 2026
- 109–89 v Gold Coast Suns5 Apr 2026
- 68–113 @ Essendon Bombers11 Apr 2026
- 104–102 v Brisbane Lions19 Apr 2026
Port Adelaide Power
- Zak Butters
120.1 SC avg · 29.7 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.5 marks (17 games)
- Jason Horne-Francis
99.2 SC avg · 23.6 disposals · 1.3 goals · 5.1 marks (19 games)
- Jordon Sweet
98.1 SC avg · 12.5 disposals · 0.4 goals · 2.1 marks (19 games)
- Kane Farrell
86.3 SC avg · 19.3 disposals · 0.1 goals · 6.6 marks (13 games)
Melbourne Demons
- Max Gawn
126.5 SC avg · 21.5 disposals · 0.6 goals · 4.6 marks (20 games)
- Jake Bowey
103.8 SC avg · 25.3 disposals · 0.1 goals · 4.5 marks (12 games)
- Kysaiah Pickett
97.9 SC avg · 22.3 disposals · 1.3 goals · 3.1 marks (20 games)
- Jack Steele
95.4 SC avg · 23.8 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.3 marks (20 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members, to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 23 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Port Adelaide Power and Melbourne Demons team hubs.