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Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints Prediction, Tips & Preview - AFL Round 23 2026
Who wins Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints? Our form-based model leans St Kilda Saints by 12-23. Read the full preview below.
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
St Kilda Saints by 12-23
Model score: Richmond Tigers 80–99 St Kilda Saints
Total points: the model's 179-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 5 meetings it is Richmond Tigers 0, St Kilda Saints 5, averaging 151 total points per game. Richmond Tigers have won 0 of their last 5. St Kilda Saints have won 2 of their last 5.
Last 5 meetings: Richmond Tigers 0, St Kilda Saints 5, averaging 151 total points per game.
- 60–128 v Gold Coast Suns21 Mar 2026
- 43–103 @ Fremantle Dockers28 Mar 2026
- 48–90 v Port Adelaide Power4 Apr 2026
- 75–131 @ GWS Giants12 Apr 2026
- 55–130 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos19 Apr 2026
- 107–120 @ Melbourne Demons15 Mar 2026
- 78–74 @ GWS Giants21 Mar 2026
- 80–113 v Brisbane Lions28 Mar 2026
- 81–67 @ Port Adelaide Power12 Apr 2026
- 102–103 @ Adelaide Crows18 Apr 2026
Richmond Tigers
- Toby Nankervis
104.9 SC avg · 16.2 disposals · 0.3 goals · 1.2 marks (9 games)
- Tim Taranto
104.2 SC avg · 24.6 disposals · 0.7 goals · 3.1 marks (18 games)
- Jack Ross
95.6 SC avg · 22.8 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.8 marks (16 games)
- Jayden Short
89.3 SC avg · 23.3 disposals · 0.2 goals · 7.1 marks (18 games)
St Kilda Saints
- Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera
118.0 SC avg · 30.7 disposals · 1.2 goals · 3.1 marks (16 games)
- Jack Sinclair
105.9 SC avg · 27.3 disposals · 0.1 goals · 6.3 marks (15 games)
- Callum Wilkie
103.3 SC avg · 23.1 disposals · 0.0 goals · 9.9 marks (20 games)
- Max Hall
92.9 SC avg · 21.3 disposals · 1.1 goals · 4.3 marks (20 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members, to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 23 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Richmond Tigers and St Kilda Saints team hubs.