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Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power Prediction & Match Analysis — AFL Round 22 2026
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages — head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Sydney Swans by 12-23
Model score: Sydney Swans 98 — 75 Port Adelaide Power
Total points: the model's 173-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty — injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 5 meetings it is Sydney Swans 3, Port Adelaide Power 2, averaging 161.2 total points per game. Sydney Swans have won 4 of their last 5. Port Adelaide Power have won 2 of their last 5.
Last 5 meetings: Sydney Swans 3, Port Adelaide Power 2 — averaging 161.2 total points per game.
- 104 — 60 v Brisbane Lions14 Mar 2026
- 82 — 99 @ Hawthorn Hawks19 Mar 2026
- 163 — 35 @ West Coast Eagles4 Apr 2026
- 100 — 68 v Gold Coast Suns11 Apr 2026
- 107 — 66 v GWS Giants17 Apr 2026
- 133 — 70 v Essendon Bombers22 Mar 2026
- 90 — 92 v West Coast Eagles29 Mar 2026
- 90 — 48 @ Richmond Tigers4 Apr 2026
- 67 — 81 v St Kilda Saints12 Apr 2026
- 86 — 89 @ Hawthorn Hawks18 Apr 2026
Sydney Swans
- Brodie Grundy
121.7 SC avg · 19.3 disposals · 0.5 goals · 2.2 marks (18 games)
- Isaac Heeney
116.1 SC avg · 27.2 disposals · 1.5 goals · 3.1 marks (17 games)
- Errol Gulden
105.0 SC avg · 26.4 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.6 marks (7 games)
- Callum Mills
99.6 SC avg · 23.6 disposals · 0.0 goals · 5.7 marks (18 games)
Port Adelaide Power
- Zak Butters
120.1 SC avg · 29.7 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.5 marks (17 games)
- Jason Horne-Francis
99.6 SC avg · 23.3 disposals · 1.3 goals · 4.9 marks (18 games)
- Jordon Sweet
98.9 SC avg · 12.7 disposals · 0.4 goals · 2.2 marks (18 games)
- Kane Farrell
86.3 SC avg · 19.3 disposals · 0.1 goals · 6.6 marks (13 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members — to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 22 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Sydney Swans and Port Adelaide Power team hubs.