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Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Prediction & Match Analysis — AFL Round 22 2026
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages — head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Line-ball — too close to split
Model score: Western Bulldogs 90 — 87 North Melbourne Kangaroos
Total points: the model's 177-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty — injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 4 meetings it is Western Bulldogs 4, North Melbourne Kangaroos 0, averaging 186.5 total points per game. Western Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5. North Melbourne Kangaroos have won 3 of their last 5.
Last 4 meetings: Western Bulldogs 4, North Melbourne Kangaroos 0 — averaging 186.5 total points per game.
- 134 — 53 v GWS Giants14 Mar 2026
- 94 — 88 @ Adelaide Crows20 Mar 2026
- 99 — 65 v Essendon Bombers5 Apr 2026
- 64 — 104 @ Hawthorn Hawks11 Apr 2026
- 56 — 131 @ Geelong Cats17 Apr 2026
- 94 — 111 @ West Coast Eagles22 Mar 2026
- 81 — 69 @ Essendon Bombers28 Mar 2026
- 96 — 86 v Carlton Blues3 Apr 2026
- 66 — 92 v Brisbane Lions11 Apr 2026
- 130 — 55 v Richmond Tigers19 Apr 2026
Western Bulldogs
- Marcus Bontempelli
120.7 SC avg · 26.4 disposals · 1.4 goals · 3.8 marks (20 games)
- Ed Richards
107.9 SC avg · 25.4 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.9 marks (19 games)
- Bailey Dale
103.4 SC avg · 26.9 disposals · 0.1 goals · 4.6 marks (17 games)
- Tim English
100.4 SC avg · 14.9 disposals · 0.4 goals · 4.9 marks (14 games)
North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Harry Sheezel
125.3 SC avg · 31.6 disposals · 0.5 goals · 6.7 marks (19 games)
- Tristan Xerri
112.6 SC avg · 17.7 disposals · 0.4 goals · 3.1 marks (15 games)
- Luke Davies-Uniacke
106.8 SC avg · 24.8 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.9 marks (19 games)
- Luke Parker
104.4 SC avg · 25.4 disposals · 0.1 goals · 6.8 marks (19 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members — to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 22 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Western Bulldogs and North Melbourne Kangaroos team hubs.