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Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 5 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Match details
Our prediction: Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats
Line-ball: too close to split
Model score: Adelaide Crows 46 to 42 Geelong Cats
Total points: the model's 88-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Adelaide Crows 2, Geelong Cats 0, averaging 76 combined points per game. Adelaide Crows won 2 of their last 5 on record. Geelong Cats won 2 of their last 5.
Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Adelaide Crows 2, Geelong Cats 0, averaging 76 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 49 to 60 @ Melbourne Demons15 Nov 2025
- 60 to 16 v St Kilda Saints9 Nov 2025
- 29 to 17 v Fremantle Dockers2 Nov 2025
- 45 to 52 v Port Adelaide Power24 Oct 2025
- 31 to 71 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos18 Oct 2025
- 45 to 59 v Melbourne Demons1 Nov 2025
- 37 to 26 @ Western Bulldogs26 Oct 2025
- 19 to 50 @ West Coast Eagles17 Oct 2025
- 72 to 45 v GWS Giants11 Oct 2025
- 37 to 55 v Carlton Blues5 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Adelaide Crows
- Ebony Marinoff
149.3 GDS avg · 27.7 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.6 marks · 10.9 tackles (14 games)
- Anne Hatchard
93.6 GDS avg · 17.9 disposals · 0.7 goals · 5.1 marks · 4.4 tackles (14 games)
- Madison Newman
87.9 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.2 goals · 3.4 marks · 2.6 tackles (14 games)
- Sarah Goodwin
78.1 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.1 marks · 4.6 tackles (14 games)
Geelong Cats
- Georgie Prespakis
111.3 GDS avg · 25.8 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.0 marks · 5.9 tackles (12 games)
- Nina Morrison
108.4 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.5 goals · 1.8 marks · 7.7 tackles (12 games)
- Mikayla Bowen
104.2 GDS avg · 21.6 disposals · 0.5 goals · 3.3 marks · 6.7 tackles (12 games)
- Amy McDonald
82.3 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.6 marks · 5.1 tackles (12 games)
AFLW Round 5 2026 preview questions
Who will win Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats?
Our form model rates Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news.
What is the Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats prediction for AFLW Round 5 2026?
Our form model rates Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news. The model expects about 88 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats?
Adelaide Crows host Geelong Cats in AFLW Round 5, 2026 on Saturday 12 Sept 2026, 2:05pm at Thomas Farms Oval. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2024 and 2025 it is Adelaide Crows 2, Geelong Cats 0. Those games averaged 76 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Ebony Marinoff for Adelaide Crows and Georgie Prespakis for Geelong Cats. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Adelaide Crows and Geelong Cats hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.