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Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 12 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons
Melbourne Demons by 13-24
Model score: Adelaide Crows 38 to 57 Melbourne Demons
Total points: the model's 95-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2026, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Adelaide Crows 1, Melbourne Demons 2, averaging 80.3 combined points per game. Adelaide Crows won 3 of their last 5 on record. Melbourne Demons won 5 of their last 5.
Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Adelaide Crows 1, Melbourne Demons 2, averaging 80.3 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2026.
- 39 to 30 @ Brisbane Lions20 Sept 2026
- 46 to 57 v Geelong Cats12 Sept 2026
- 67 to 39 @ Hawthorn Hawks6 Sept 2026
- 60 to 43 v West Coast Eagles29 Aug 2026
- 23 to 50 @ Carlton Blues23 Aug 2026
- 58 to 24 v Carlton Blues19 Sept 2026
- 74 to 23 v Port Adelaide Power13 Sept 2026
- 81 to 44 @ West Coast Eagles6 Sept 2026
- 89 to 33 v Brisbane Lions30 Aug 2026
- 60 to 12 v GWS Giants23 Aug 2026
Players to watch: 2026 averages
Ranked on 2026 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Adelaide Crows
- Ebony Marinoff
146.5 GDS avg · 26.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.8 marks · 11.0 tackles (6 games)
- Madison Newman
102.7 GDS avg · 23.3 disposals · 0.7 goals · 4.0 marks · 1.7 tackles (6 games)
- Grace Egan
86.3 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.7 goals · 4.7 marks · 2.8 tackles (6 games)
- Sarah Goodwin
84.3 GDS avg · 20.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.0 marks · 3.2 tackles (6 games)
Melbourne Demons
- Olivia Purcell
124.8 GDS avg · 30.7 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.2 marks · 6.7 tackles (6 games)
- Tyla Hanks
119.3 GDS avg · 25.0 disposals · 0.7 goals · 1.7 marks · 8.0 tackles (6 games)
- Elizabeth McNamara
106.6 GDS avg · 20.0 disposals · 1.2 goals · 4.2 marks · 4.0 tackles (5 games)
- Kate Hore
101.2 GDS avg · 21.2 disposals · 0.7 goals · 3.5 marks · 3.8 tackles (6 games)
AFLW Round 12 2026 preview questions
Who will win Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons?
Our form model favours Melbourne Demons by 13-24 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Adelaide Crows 38 to 57 Melbourne Demons.
What is the Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons prediction for AFLW Round 12 2026?
Our form model favours Melbourne Demons by 13-24 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Adelaide Crows 38 to 57 Melbourne Demons. The model expects about 95 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons?
Adelaide Crows host Melbourne Demons in AFLW Round 12, 2026 on Sunday 1 Nov 2026, 3:05pm at Thomas Farms Oval. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Adelaide Crows 1, Melbourne Demons 2. Those games averaged 80.3 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons?
On 2026 fantasy averages, Ebony Marinoff for Adelaide Crows and Olivia Purcell for Melbourne Demons. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Adelaide Crows and Melbourne Demons hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.