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Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 1 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans
Adelaide Crows by 1-12
Model score: Adelaide Crows 45 to 38 Sydney Swans
Total points: the model's 83-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Adelaide Crows 2, Sydney Swans 0, averaging 88.5 combined points per game. Adelaide Crows won 2 of their last 5 on record. Sydney Swans won 2 of their last 5.
Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Adelaide Crows 2, Sydney Swans 0, averaging 88.5 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 49 to 60 @ Melbourne Demons15 Nov 2025
- 60 to 16 v St Kilda Saints9 Nov 2025
- 29 to 17 v Fremantle Dockers2 Nov 2025
- 45 to 52 v Port Adelaide Power24 Oct 2025
- 31 to 71 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos18 Oct 2025
- 11 to 14 v Essendon Bombers1 Nov 2025
- 43 to 26 v West Coast Eagles25 Oct 2025
- 21 to 65 @ Melbourne Demons18 Oct 2025
- 76 to 37 v Carlton Blues12 Oct 2025
- 20 to 88 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos4 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Adelaide Crows
- Ebony Marinoff
149.3 GDS avg · 27.7 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.6 marks · 10.9 tackles (14 games)
- Anne Hatchard
93.6 GDS avg · 17.9 disposals · 0.7 goals · 5.1 marks · 4.4 tackles (14 games)
- Madison Newman
87.9 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.2 goals · 3.4 marks · 2.6 tackles (14 games)
- Sarah Goodwin
78.1 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.1 marks · 4.6 tackles (14 games)
Sydney Swans
- Laura Gardiner
149.0 GDS avg · 31.7 disposals · 0.2 goals · 3.3 marks · 9.6 tackles (12 games)
- Sofia Hurley
104.4 GDS avg · 20.2 disposals · 0.4 goals · 2.8 marks · 5.6 tackles (5 games)
- Tanya Kennedy
103.6 GDS avg · 19.3 disposals · 0.3 goals · 1.3 marks · 8.0 tackles (12 games)
- Zippy Fish
100.1 GDS avg · 21.2 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.1 marks · 3.3 tackles (12 games)
AFLW Round 1 2026 preview questions
Who will win Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans?
Our form model favours Adelaide Crows by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Adelaide Crows 45 to 38 Sydney Swans.
What is the Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans prediction for AFLW Round 1 2026?
Our form model favours Adelaide Crows by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Adelaide Crows 45 to 38 Sydney Swans. The model expects about 83 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans?
Adelaide Crows host Sydney Swans in AFLW Round 1, 2026 on Sunday 16 Aug 2026, 11:35am at Thomas Farms Oval. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Adelaide Crows 2, Sydney Swans 0. Those games averaged 88.5 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Ebony Marinoff for Adelaide Crows and Laura Gardiner for Sydney Swans. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Adelaide Crows and Sydney Swans hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.