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Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 12 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues
Line-ball: too close to split
Model score: Brisbane Lions 44 to 44 Carlton Blues
Total points: the model's 89-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2026, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Brisbane Lions 2, Carlton Blues 1, averaging 94 combined points per game. Brisbane Lions won 2 of their last 5 on record. Carlton Blues won 3 of their last 5.
Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Brisbane Lions 2, Carlton Blues 1, averaging 94 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2026.
- 41 to 46 @ West Coast Eagles12 Sept 2026
- 55 to 24 v GWS Giants5 Sept 2026
- 33 to 89 @ Melbourne Demons30 Aug 2026
- 33 to 44 v North Melbourne Kangaroos22 Aug 2026
- 85 to 37 @ Essendon Bombers16 Aug 2026
- 24 to 58 @ Melbourne Demons19 Sept 2026
- 23 to 33 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos13 Sept 2026
- 68 to 29 v Collingwood Magpies6 Sept 2026
- 48 to 42 @ Fremantle Dockers30 Aug 2026
- 50 to 23 v Adelaide Crows23 Aug 2026
Players to watch: 2026 averages
Ranked on 2026 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Brisbane Lions
- Charlotte Mullins
86.4 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.6 goals · 3.2 marks · 3.0 tackles (5 games)
- Sophie Conway
79.0 GDS avg · 14.0 disposals · 0.5 goals · 2.0 marks · 4.0 tackles (6 games)
- Jade Ellenger
78.4 GDS avg · 17.2 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.2 marks · 3.8 tackles (5 games)
- Isabel Dawes
78.0 GDS avg · 16.2 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.3 marks · 4.7 tackles (6 games)
Carlton Blues
- Dayna Finn
104.5 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.7 goals · 5.2 marks · 3.0 tackles (6 games)
- Erone Fitzpatrick
101.8 GDS avg · 19.0 disposals · 1.0 goals · 3.8 marks · 4.7 tackles (6 games)
- Claudia Whitfort
96.8 GDS avg · 21.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 1.8 marks · 6.5 tackles (6 games)
- Abbie McKay
90.0 GDS avg · 24.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 1.3 marks · 4.8 tackles (6 games)
AFLW Round 12 2026 preview questions
Who will win Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues?
Our form model rates Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues line-ball from 2026 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news.
What is the Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues prediction for AFLW Round 12 2026?
Our form model rates Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues line-ball from 2026 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news. The model expects about 89 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues?
Brisbane Lions host Carlton Blues in AFLW Round 12, 2026 on Saturday 31 Oct 2026, 4:05pm at Brighton Homes Arena. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2024 and 2025 it is Brisbane Lions 2, Carlton Blues 1. Those games averaged 94 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues?
On 2026 fantasy averages, Charlotte Mullins for Brisbane Lions and Dayna Finn for Carlton Blues. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Brisbane Lions and Carlton Blues hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.