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Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 12 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Match details
Our prediction: Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues
Carlton Blues by 1-12
Model score: Brisbane Lions 42 to 48 Carlton Blues
Total points: the model's 91-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Brisbane Lions 2, Carlton Blues 1, averaging 94 combined points per game. Brisbane Lions won 4 of their last 5 on record. Carlton Blues won 4 of their last 5.
Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Brisbane Lions 2, Carlton Blues 1, averaging 94 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 16 to 56 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos29 Nov 2025
- 67 to 32 v Carlton Blues22 Nov 2025
- 56 to 43 @ Melbourne Demons9 Nov 2025
- 52 to 32 @ Collingwood Magpies2 Nov 2025
- 45 to 36 v Melbourne Demons25 Oct 2025
- 32 to 67 @ Brisbane Lions22 Nov 2025
- 79 to 33 @ Hawthorn Hawks15 Nov 2025
- 60 to 19 v West Coast Eagles8 Nov 2025
- 42 to 22 @ West Coast Eagles31 Oct 2025
- 81 to 35 v GWS Giants26 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Brisbane Lions
- Alexandra Anderson
102.3 GDS avg · 24.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.6 marks · 4.7 tackles (15 games)
- Isabel Dawes
92.9 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.4 marks · 5.9 tackles (15 games)
- Courtney Hodder
86.8 GDS avg · 15.4 disposals · 1.0 goals · 1.9 marks · 6.2 tackles (14 games)
- Sophie Conway
81.7 GDS avg · 16.8 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.1 marks · 3.8 tackles (15 games)
Carlton Blues
- Dayna Finn
104.5 GDS avg · 21.9 disposals · 0.7 goals · 4.9 marks · 3.3 tackles (15 games)
- Abbie McKay
92.5 GDS avg · 22.2 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.6 marks · 4.5 tackles (11 games)
- Mimi Hill
89.6 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.1 marks · 3.3 tackles (12 games)
- Keeley Sherar
87.1 GDS avg · 16.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.2 marks · 5.5 tackles (15 games)
AFLW Round 12 2026 preview questions
Who will win Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Brisbane Lions 42 to 48 Carlton Blues.
What is the Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues prediction for AFLW Round 12 2026?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Brisbane Lions 42 to 48 Carlton Blues. The model expects about 91 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues?
Brisbane Lions host Carlton Blues in AFLW Round 12, 2026 on Saturday 31 Oct 2026, 4:05pm at Brighton Homes Arena. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2024 and 2025 it is Brisbane Lions 2, Carlton Blues 1. Those games averaged 94 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Alexandra Anderson for Brisbane Lions and Dayna Finn for Carlton Blues. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Brisbane Lions and Carlton Blues hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.