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Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 8 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks
Carlton Blues by 25-40
Model score: Carlton Blues 61 to 34 Hawthorn Hawks
Total points: the model's 95-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Carlton Blues 1, Hawthorn Hawks 2, averaging 86 combined points per game. Carlton Blues won 4 of their last 5 on record. Hawthorn Hawks won 1 of their last 5.
Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Carlton Blues 1, Hawthorn Hawks 2, averaging 86 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 32 to 67 @ Brisbane Lions22 Nov 2025
- 79 to 33 @ Hawthorn Hawks15 Nov 2025
- 60 to 19 v West Coast Eagles8 Nov 2025
- 42 to 22 @ West Coast Eagles31 Oct 2025
- 81 to 35 v GWS Giants26 Oct 2025
- 33 to 79 v Carlton Blues15 Nov 2025
- 3 to 42 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos7 Nov 2025
- 18 to 67 v North Melbourne Kangaroos31 Oct 2025
- 56 to 26 @ Essendon Bombers25 Oct 2025
- 59 to 94 @ Port Adelaide Power17 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Carlton Blues
- Dayna Finn
104.5 GDS avg · 21.9 disposals · 0.7 goals · 4.9 marks · 3.3 tackles (15 games)
- Abbie McKay
92.5 GDS avg · 22.2 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.6 marks · 4.5 tackles (11 games)
- Mimi Hill
89.6 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.1 marks · 3.3 tackles (12 games)
- Keeley Sherar
87.1 GDS avg · 16.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.2 marks · 5.5 tackles (15 games)
Hawthorn Hawks
- Lucy Wales
110.6 GDS avg · 18.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.8 marks · 5.9 tackles (9 games)
- Tilly Lucas-Rodd
99.6 GDS avg · 21.4 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.6 marks · 3.9 tackles (14 games)
- Eliza West
86.9 GDS avg · 22.6 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.3 marks · 5.6 tackles (14 games)
- Emily Bates
82.5 GDS avg · 21.5 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.5 marks · 5.6 tackles (8 games)
AFLW Round 8 2026 preview questions
Who will win Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 25-40 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Carlton Blues 61 to 34 Hawthorn Hawks.
What is the Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks prediction for AFLW Round 8 2026?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 25-40 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Carlton Blues 61 to 34 Hawthorn Hawks. The model expects about 95 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks?
Carlton Blues host Hawthorn Hawks in AFLW Round 8, 2026 on Thursday 1 Oct 2026, 7:15pm at Ikon Park. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2024 and 2025 it is Carlton Blues 1, Hawthorn Hawks 2. Those games averaged 86 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Dayna Finn for Carlton Blues and Lucy Wales for Hawthorn Hawks. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Carlton Blues and Hawthorn Hawks hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.