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Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 8 2026

A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.

Match details

Round 8 · 2026
Ikon Park

Our prediction: Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks

Line-ball: too close to split

Model score: Carlton Blues 40 to 41 Hawthorn Hawks

Total points: the model's 81-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).

How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2026, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.

What the numbers say

Across their last 3 meetings it is Carlton Blues 1, Hawthorn Hawks 2, averaging 86 combined points per game. Carlton Blues won 3 of their last 5 on record. Hawthorn Hawks won 4 of their last 5.

Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Carlton Blues 1, Hawthorn Hawks 2, averaging 86 combined points per game.

Hawthorn Hawks 33 to 79 Carlton BluesRd 14 2025 · IKON Park
Hawthorn Hawks 30 to 22 Carlton BluesRd 2 2025 · Kinetic Stadium
Hawthorn Hawks 66 to 28 Carlton BluesRd 1 2024 · Kinetic Stadium

Form guide: last 5 completed games

Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2026.

Carlton Blues logo
Carlton BluesLLWWW
  • 24 to 58 @ Melbourne Demons19 Sept 2026
  • 23 to 33 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos13 Sept 2026
  • 68 to 29 v Collingwood Magpies6 Sept 2026
  • 48 to 42 @ Fremantle Dockers30 Aug 2026
  • 50 to 23 v Adelaide Crows23 Aug 2026
Hawthorn Hawks logo
Hawthorn HawksWWLWW
  • 32 to 25 v North Melbourne Kangaroos18 Sept 2026
  • 41 to 30 v Western Bulldogs12 Sept 2026
  • 39 to 67 v Adelaide Crows6 Sept 2026
  • 54 to 26 @ Collingwood Magpies30 Aug 2026
  • 65 to 33 @ Port Adelaide Power23 Aug 2026

Players to watch: 2026 averages

Ranked on 2026 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.

Carlton Blues

  • Dayna Finn

    104.5 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.7 goals · 5.2 marks · 3.0 tackles (6 games)

  • Erone Fitzpatrick

    101.8 GDS avg · 19.0 disposals · 1.0 goals · 3.8 marks · 4.7 tackles (6 games)

  • Claudia Whitfort

    96.8 GDS avg · 21.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 1.8 marks · 6.5 tackles (6 games)

  • Abbie McKay

    90.0 GDS avg · 24.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 1.3 marks · 4.8 tackles (6 games)

Hawthorn Hawks

  • Lucy Wales

    117.3 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.3 goals · 5.7 marks · 3.7 tackles (6 games)

  • Eliza West

    106.2 GDS avg · 24.3 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.2 marks · 6.3 tackles (6 games)

  • Aine McDonagh

    92.0 GDS avg · 13.0 disposals · 2.7 goals · 4.0 marks · 3.5 tackles (6 games)

  • Emily Bates

    89.8 GDS avg · 20.2 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.0 marks · 6.6 tackles (5 games)

AFLW Round 8 2026 preview questions

Who will win Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks?

Our form model rates Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks line-ball from 2026 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news.

What is the Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks prediction for AFLW Round 8 2026?

Our form model rates Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks line-ball from 2026 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news. The model expects about 81 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.

When and where is Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks?

Carlton Blues host Hawthorn Hawks in AFLW Round 8, 2026 on Thursday 1 Oct 2026, 7:15pm at Ikon Park. Times are local to the venue.

What is the Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks head-to-head record?

Across their last 3 meetings between 2024 and 2025 it is Carlton Blues 1, Hawthorn Hawks 2. Those games averaged 86 combined points.

Which players should I watch in Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks?

On 2026 fantasy averages, Dayna Finn for Carlton Blues and Lucy Wales for Hawthorn Hawks. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.

Is this Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks preview free?

Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Carlton Blues vs Hawthorn Hawks are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.

More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Carlton Blues and Hawthorn Hawks hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.