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Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 3 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers
Line-ball: too close to split
Model score: Essendon Bombers 33 to 37 Richmond Tigers
Total points: the model's 70-point expected total leans lower-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Essendon Bombers 2, Richmond Tigers 0 with 1 drawn, averaging 81.3 combined points per game. Essendon Bombers won 1 of their last 5 on record. Richmond Tigers won 2 of their last 5.
Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Essendon Bombers 2, Richmond Tigers 0, 1 drawn, averaging 81.3 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 14 to 11 @ Sydney Swans1 Nov 2025
- 26 to 56 v Hawthorn Hawks25 Oct 2025
- 16 to 54 v Brisbane Lions19 Oct 2025
- 10 to 67 @ Western Bulldogs10 Oct 2025
- 22 to 36 @ Melbourne Demons3 Oct 2025
- 25 to 39 v Gold Coast Suns1 Nov 2025
- 14 to 58 @ Fremantle Dockers25 Oct 2025
- 46 to 33 @ Collingwood Magpies19 Oct 2025
- 14 to 50 v North Melbourne Kangaroos11 Oct 2025
- 58 to 47 v Adelaide Crows5 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Essendon Bombers
- Georgia Nanscawen
116.8 GDS avg · 23.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.2 marks · 10.1 tackles (12 games)
- Madison Prespakis
101.1 GDS avg · 23.5 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.9 marks · 4.2 tackles (11 games)
- Bonnie Toogood
86.1 GDS avg · 15.6 disposals · 0.5 goals · 4.4 marks · 3.6 tackles (10 games)
- Stephanie Wales
85.9 GDS avg · 12.8 disposals · 0.0 goals · 1.4 marks · 5.6 tackles (9 games)
Richmond Tigers
- Monique Conti
118.1 GDS avg · 26.3 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.9 marks · 7.2 tackles (12 games)
- Ellie McKenzie
106.4 GDS avg · 22.4 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.0 marks · 4.6 tackles (10 games)
- Grace Egan
83.6 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.4 marks · 3.7 tackles (9 games)
- Caitlin Greiser
63.1 GDS avg · 9.8 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.3 marks · 1.3 tackles (12 games)
AFLW Round 3 2026 preview questions
Who will win Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers?
Our form model rates Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news.
What is the Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers prediction for AFLW Round 3 2026?
Our form model rates Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news. The model expects about 70 combined points, lower-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers?
Essendon Bombers host Richmond Tigers in AFLW Round 3, 2026 on Sunday 30 Aug 2026, 6:15pm at TIO Stadium. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Essendon Bombers 2, Richmond Tigers 0, with 1 drawn. Those games averaged 81.3 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Georgia Nanscawen for Essendon Bombers and Monique Conti for Richmond Tigers. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Essendon Bombers and Richmond Tigers hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.