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Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 4 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers
Geelong Cats by 13-24
Model score: Geelong Cats 44 to 31 Essendon Bombers
Total points: the model's 76-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Geelong Cats 2, Essendon Bombers 1, averaging 72.3 combined points per game. Geelong Cats won 2 of their last 5 on record. Essendon Bombers won 1 of their last 5.
Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Geelong Cats 2, Essendon Bombers 1, averaging 72.3 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 45 to 59 v Melbourne Demons1 Nov 2025
- 37 to 26 @ Western Bulldogs26 Oct 2025
- 19 to 50 @ West Coast Eagles17 Oct 2025
- 72 to 45 v GWS Giants11 Oct 2025
- 37 to 55 v Carlton Blues5 Oct 2025
- 14 to 11 @ Sydney Swans1 Nov 2025
- 26 to 56 v Hawthorn Hawks25 Oct 2025
- 16 to 54 v Brisbane Lions19 Oct 2025
- 10 to 67 @ Western Bulldogs10 Oct 2025
- 22 to 36 @ Melbourne Demons3 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Geelong Cats
- Georgie Prespakis
111.3 GDS avg · 25.8 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.0 marks · 5.9 tackles (12 games)
- Nina Morrison
108.4 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.5 goals · 1.8 marks · 7.7 tackles (12 games)
- Mikayla Bowen
104.2 GDS avg · 21.6 disposals · 0.5 goals · 3.3 marks · 6.7 tackles (12 games)
- Amy McDonald
82.3 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.6 marks · 5.1 tackles (12 games)
Essendon Bombers
- Georgia Nanscawen
116.8 GDS avg · 23.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.2 marks · 10.1 tackles (12 games)
- Madison Prespakis
101.1 GDS avg · 23.5 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.9 marks · 4.2 tackles (11 games)
- Bonnie Toogood
86.1 GDS avg · 15.6 disposals · 0.5 goals · 4.4 marks · 3.6 tackles (10 games)
- Stephanie Wales
85.9 GDS avg · 12.8 disposals · 0.0 goals · 1.4 marks · 5.6 tackles (9 games)
AFLW Round 4 2026 preview questions
Who will win Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers?
Our form model favours Geelong Cats by 13-24 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Geelong Cats 44 to 31 Essendon Bombers.
What is the Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers prediction for AFLW Round 4 2026?
Our form model favours Geelong Cats by 13-24 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Geelong Cats 44 to 31 Essendon Bombers. The model expects about 76 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers?
Geelong Cats host Essendon Bombers in AFLW Round 4, 2026 on Sunday 6 Sept 2026, 2:35pm at GMHBA Stadium. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Geelong Cats 2, Essendon Bombers 1. Those games averaged 72.3 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Georgie Prespakis for Geelong Cats and Georgia Nanscawen for Essendon Bombers. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Geelong Cats and Essendon Bombers hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.