Welcome to The Stats Lab, your new home for advanced analysis and insights for fantasy sportsWelcome to The Stats Lab
Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 4 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Match details
Our prediction: Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Crows by 1-12
Model score: Hawthorn Hawks 40 to 51 Adelaide Crows
Total points: the model's 91-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Hawthorn Hawks 0, Adelaide Crows 2, averaging 82.5 combined points per game. Hawthorn Hawks won 1 of their last 5 on record. Adelaide Crows won 2 of their last 5.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Hawthorn Hawks 0, Adelaide Crows 2, averaging 82.5 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 33 to 79 v Carlton Blues15 Nov 2025
- 3 to 42 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos7 Nov 2025
- 18 to 67 v North Melbourne Kangaroos31 Oct 2025
- 56 to 26 @ Essendon Bombers25 Oct 2025
- 59 to 94 @ Port Adelaide Power17 Oct 2025
- 49 to 60 @ Melbourne Demons15 Nov 2025
- 60 to 16 v St Kilda Saints9 Nov 2025
- 29 to 17 v Fremantle Dockers2 Nov 2025
- 45 to 52 v Port Adelaide Power24 Oct 2025
- 31 to 71 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos18 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Hawthorn Hawks
- Lucy Wales
110.6 GDS avg · 18.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.8 marks · 5.9 tackles (9 games)
- Tilly Lucas-Rodd
99.6 GDS avg · 21.4 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.6 marks · 3.9 tackles (14 games)
- Eliza West
86.9 GDS avg · 22.6 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.3 marks · 5.6 tackles (14 games)
- Emily Bates
82.5 GDS avg · 21.5 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.5 marks · 5.6 tackles (8 games)
Adelaide Crows
- Ebony Marinoff
149.3 GDS avg · 27.7 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.6 marks · 10.9 tackles (14 games)
- Anne Hatchard
93.6 GDS avg · 17.9 disposals · 0.7 goals · 5.1 marks · 4.4 tackles (14 games)
- Madison Newman
87.9 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.2 goals · 3.4 marks · 2.6 tackles (14 games)
- Sarah Goodwin
78.1 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.1 marks · 4.6 tackles (14 games)
AFLW Round 4 2026 preview questions
Who will win Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows?
Our form model favours Adelaide Crows by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Hawthorn Hawks 40 to 51 Adelaide Crows.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows prediction for AFLW Round 4 2026?
Our form model favours Adelaide Crows by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Hawthorn Hawks 40 to 51 Adelaide Crows. The model expects about 91 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows?
Hawthorn Hawks host Adelaide Crows in AFLW Round 4, 2026 on Sunday 6 Sept 2026, 1:05pm at Kennedy Community Centre. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2024 and 2025 it is Hawthorn Hawks 0, Adelaide Crows 2. Those games averaged 82.5 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Lucy Wales for Hawthorn Hawks and Ebony Marinoff for Adelaide Crows. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Hawthorn Hawks and Adelaide Crows hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.