Welcome to The Stats Lab, your new home for advanced analysis and insights for fantasy sportsWelcome to The Stats Lab
Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 9 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions
Hawthorn Hawks by 1-12
Model score: Hawthorn Hawks 48 to 36 Brisbane Lions
Total points: the model's 85-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2026, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Hawthorn Hawks 1, Brisbane Lions 2, averaging 74.3 combined points per game. Hawthorn Hawks won 4 of their last 5 on record. Brisbane Lions won 1 of their last 5.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Hawthorn Hawks 1, Brisbane Lions 2, averaging 74.3 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2026.
- 32 to 25 v North Melbourne Kangaroos18 Sept 2026
- 41 to 30 v Western Bulldogs12 Sept 2026
- 39 to 67 v Adelaide Crows6 Sept 2026
- 54 to 26 @ Collingwood Magpies30 Aug 2026
- 65 to 33 @ Port Adelaide Power23 Aug 2026
- 30 to 39 v Adelaide Crows20 Sept 2026
- 41 to 46 @ West Coast Eagles12 Sept 2026
- 55 to 24 v GWS Giants5 Sept 2026
- 33 to 89 @ Melbourne Demons30 Aug 2026
- 33 to 44 v North Melbourne Kangaroos22 Aug 2026
Players to watch: 2026 averages
Ranked on 2026 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Hawthorn Hawks
- Lucy Wales
117.3 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.3 goals · 5.7 marks · 3.7 tackles (6 games)
- Eliza West
106.2 GDS avg · 24.3 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.2 marks · 6.3 tackles (6 games)
- Aine McDonagh
92.0 GDS avg · 13.0 disposals · 2.7 goals · 4.0 marks · 3.5 tackles (6 games)
- Emily Bates
89.8 GDS avg · 20.2 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.0 marks · 6.6 tackles (5 games)
Brisbane Lions
- Orla O'Dwyer
90.5 GDS avg · 19.0 disposals · 0.7 goals · 1.2 marks · 4.7 tackles (6 games)
- Isabel Dawes
87.2 GDS avg · 19.2 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.5 marks · 4.8 tackles (6 games)
- Sophie Conway
86.5 GDS avg · 15.5 disposals · 0.5 goals · 2.2 marks · 4.5 tackles (6 games)
- Charlotte Mullins
86.4 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.6 goals · 3.2 marks · 3.0 tackles (5 games)
AFLW Round 9 2026 preview questions
Who will win Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions?
Our form model favours Hawthorn Hawks by 1-12 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Hawthorn Hawks 48 to 36 Brisbane Lions.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions prediction for AFLW Round 9 2026?
Our form model favours Hawthorn Hawks by 1-12 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Hawthorn Hawks 48 to 36 Brisbane Lions. The model expects about 85 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions?
Hawthorn Hawks host Brisbane Lions in AFLW Round 9, 2026 on Sunday 11 Oct 2026, 2:05pm at Kennedy Community Centre. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Hawthorn Hawks 1, Brisbane Lions 2. Those games averaged 74.3 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions?
On 2026 fantasy averages, Lucy Wales for Hawthorn Hawks and Orla O'Dwyer for Brisbane Lions. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Hawthorn Hawks and Brisbane Lions hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.