Welcome to The Stats Lab, your new home for advanced analysis and insights for fantasy sportsWelcome to The Stats Lab
Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 11 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Match details
Our prediction: Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers
Line-ball: too close to split
Model score: Hawthorn Hawks 40 to 39 Essendon Bombers
Total points: the model's 79-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Hawthorn Hawks 1, Essendon Bombers 1, averaging 80.5 combined points per game. Hawthorn Hawks won 1 of their last 5 on record. Essendon Bombers won 1 of their last 5.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Hawthorn Hawks 1, Essendon Bombers 1, averaging 80.5 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 33 to 79 v Carlton Blues15 Nov 2025
- 3 to 42 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos7 Nov 2025
- 18 to 67 v North Melbourne Kangaroos31 Oct 2025
- 56 to 26 @ Essendon Bombers25 Oct 2025
- 59 to 94 @ Port Adelaide Power17 Oct 2025
- 14 to 11 @ Sydney Swans1 Nov 2025
- 26 to 56 v Hawthorn Hawks25 Oct 2025
- 16 to 54 v Brisbane Lions19 Oct 2025
- 10 to 67 @ Western Bulldogs10 Oct 2025
- 22 to 36 @ Melbourne Demons3 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Hawthorn Hawks
- Lucy Wales
110.6 GDS avg · 18.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.8 marks · 5.9 tackles (9 games)
- Tilly Lucas-Rodd
99.6 GDS avg · 21.4 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.6 marks · 3.9 tackles (14 games)
- Eliza West
86.9 GDS avg · 22.6 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.3 marks · 5.6 tackles (14 games)
- Emily Bates
82.5 GDS avg · 21.5 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.5 marks · 5.6 tackles (8 games)
Essendon Bombers
- Georgia Nanscawen
116.8 GDS avg · 23.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.2 marks · 10.1 tackles (12 games)
- Madison Prespakis
101.1 GDS avg · 23.5 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.9 marks · 4.2 tackles (11 games)
- Bonnie Toogood
86.1 GDS avg · 15.6 disposals · 0.5 goals · 4.4 marks · 3.6 tackles (10 games)
- Stephanie Wales
85.9 GDS avg · 12.8 disposals · 0.0 goals · 1.4 marks · 5.6 tackles (9 games)
AFLW Round 11 2026 preview questions
Who will win Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers?
Our form model rates Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers prediction for AFLW Round 11 2026?
Our form model rates Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news. The model expects about 79 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers?
Hawthorn Hawks host Essendon Bombers in AFLW Round 11, 2026 on Sunday 25 Oct 2026, 4:05pm at Kennedy Community Centre. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Hawthorn Hawks 1, Essendon Bombers 1. Those games averaged 80.5 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Lucy Wales for Hawthorn Hawks and Georgia Nanscawen for Essendon Bombers. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Hawthorn Hawks and Essendon Bombers hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.