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Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 11 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers
Hawthorn Hawks by 13-24
Model score: Hawthorn Hawks 55 to 36 Essendon Bombers
Total points: the model's 91-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2026, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Hawthorn Hawks 1, Essendon Bombers 1, averaging 80.5 combined points per game. Hawthorn Hawks won 4 of their last 5 on record. Essendon Bombers won 0 of their last 5.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Hawthorn Hawks 1, Essendon Bombers 1, averaging 80.5 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2026.
- 32 to 25 v North Melbourne Kangaroos18 Sept 2026
- 41 to 30 v Western Bulldogs12 Sept 2026
- 39 to 67 v Adelaide Crows6 Sept 2026
- 54 to 26 @ Collingwood Magpies30 Aug 2026
- 65 to 33 @ Port Adelaide Power23 Aug 2026
- 22 to 37 @ Fremantle Dockers13 Sept 2026
- 51 to 83 @ Geelong Cats6 Sept 2026
- 33 to 38 v Richmond Tigers30 Aug 2026
- 42 to 66 @ Sydney Swans23 Aug 2026
- 37 to 85 v Brisbane Lions16 Aug 2026
Players to watch: 2026 averages
Ranked on 2026 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Hawthorn Hawks
- Lucy Wales
117.3 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.3 goals · 5.7 marks · 3.7 tackles (6 games)
- Eliza West
106.2 GDS avg · 24.3 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.2 marks · 6.3 tackles (6 games)
- Aine McDonagh
92.0 GDS avg · 13.0 disposals · 2.7 goals · 4.0 marks · 3.5 tackles (6 games)
- Emily Bates
89.8 GDS avg · 20.2 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.0 marks · 6.6 tackles (5 games)
Essendon Bombers
- Madison Prespakis
127.8 GDS avg · 30.8 disposals · 0.4 goals · 1.8 marks · 4.0 tackles (5 games)
- Amy Gaylor
91.8 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.4 marks · 4.8 tackles (5 games)
- Bonnie Toogood
87.4 GDS avg · 15.0 disposals · 1.2 goals · 4.2 marks · 3.2 tackles (5 games)
- Stephanie Wales
84.8 GDS avg · 13.0 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.0 marks · 4.0 tackles (5 games)
AFLW Round 11 2026 preview questions
Who will win Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers?
Our form model favours Hawthorn Hawks by 13-24 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Hawthorn Hawks 55 to 36 Essendon Bombers.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers prediction for AFLW Round 11 2026?
Our form model favours Hawthorn Hawks by 13-24 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Hawthorn Hawks 55 to 36 Essendon Bombers. The model expects about 91 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers?
Hawthorn Hawks host Essendon Bombers in AFLW Round 11, 2026 on Sunday 25 Oct 2026, 4:05pm at Kennedy Community Centre. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Hawthorn Hawks 1, Essendon Bombers 1. Those games averaged 80.5 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers?
On 2026 fantasy averages, Lucy Wales for Hawthorn Hawks and Madison Prespakis for Essendon Bombers. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Hawthorn Hawks and Essendon Bombers hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.