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Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 5 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Match details
Our prediction: Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs by 25-40
Model score: Hawthorn Hawks 31 to 57 Western Bulldogs
Total points: the model's 88-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Hawthorn Hawks 2, Western Bulldogs 0, averaging 54.5 combined points per game. Hawthorn Hawks won 1 of their last 5 on record. Western Bulldogs won 3 of their last 5.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Hawthorn Hawks 2, Western Bulldogs 0, averaging 54.5 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 33 to 79 v Carlton Blues15 Nov 2025
- 3 to 42 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos7 Nov 2025
- 18 to 67 v North Melbourne Kangaroos31 Oct 2025
- 56 to 26 @ Essendon Bombers25 Oct 2025
- 59 to 94 @ Port Adelaide Power17 Oct 2025
- 72 to 27 @ St Kilda Saints2 Nov 2025
- 26 to 37 v Geelong Cats26 Oct 2025
- 72 to 6 @ Gold Coast Suns19 Oct 2025
- 67 to 10 v Essendon Bombers10 Oct 2025
- 35 to 54 @ Port Adelaide Power4 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Hawthorn Hawks
- Lucy Wales
110.6 GDS avg · 18.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.8 marks · 5.9 tackles (9 games)
- Tilly Lucas-Rodd
99.6 GDS avg · 21.4 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.6 marks · 3.9 tackles (14 games)
- Eliza West
86.9 GDS avg · 22.6 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.3 marks · 5.6 tackles (14 games)
- Emily Bates
82.5 GDS avg · 21.5 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.5 marks · 5.6 tackles (8 games)
Western Bulldogs
- Isabelle Pritchard
88.0 GDS avg · 21.6 disposals · 0.4 goals · 1.6 marks · 4.4 tackles (10 games)
- Ellie Blackburn
83.0 GDS avg · 17.9 disposals · 0.7 goals · 2.2 marks · 3.2 tackles (12 games)
- Alice Edmonds
80.8 GDS avg · 10.4 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.1 marks · 4.3 tackles (12 games)
- Jessica Fitzgerald
76.6 GDS avg · 16.2 disposals · 0.3 goals · 1.4 marks · 5.1 tackles (12 games)
AFLW Round 5 2026 preview questions
Who will win Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs?
Our form model favours Western Bulldogs by 25-40 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Hawthorn Hawks 31 to 57 Western Bulldogs.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs prediction for AFLW Round 5 2026?
Our form model favours Western Bulldogs by 25-40 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Hawthorn Hawks 31 to 57 Western Bulldogs. The model expects about 88 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs?
Hawthorn Hawks host Western Bulldogs in AFLW Round 5, 2026 on Saturday 12 Sept 2026, 1:05pm at Kennedy Community Centre. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Hawthorn Hawks 2, Western Bulldogs 0. Those games averaged 54.5 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Lucy Wales for Hawthorn Hawks and Isabelle Pritchard for Western Bulldogs. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Hawthorn Hawks and Western Bulldogs hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.