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Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 3 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions
Line-ball: too close to split
Model score: Melbourne Demons 44 to 47 Brisbane Lions
Total points: the model's 91-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 4 meetings it is Melbourne Demons 0, Brisbane Lions 4, averaging 77.3 combined points per game. Melbourne Demons won 2 of their last 5 on record. Brisbane Lions won 4 of their last 5.
Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Melbourne Demons 0, Brisbane Lions 4, averaging 77.3 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 36 to 46 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos22 Nov 2025
- 60 to 49 v Adelaide Crows15 Nov 2025
- 43 to 56 v Brisbane Lions9 Nov 2025
- 59 to 45 @ Geelong Cats1 Nov 2025
- 36 to 45 @ Brisbane Lions25 Oct 2025
- 16 to 56 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos29 Nov 2025
- 67 to 32 v Carlton Blues22 Nov 2025
- 56 to 43 @ Melbourne Demons9 Nov 2025
- 52 to 32 @ Collingwood Magpies2 Nov 2025
- 45 to 36 v Melbourne Demons25 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Melbourne Demons
- Kate Hore
114.0 GDS avg · 21.3 disposals · 1.6 goals · 3.9 marks · 5.3 tackles (15 games)
- Tyla Hanks
107.9 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.1 marks · 6.9 tackles (15 games)
- Elizabeth McNamara
101.4 GDS avg · 22.1 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.4 marks · 4.3 tackles (15 games)
- Maeve Chaplin
89.8 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.5 marks · 4.0 tackles (13 games)
Brisbane Lions
- Alexandra Anderson
102.3 GDS avg · 24.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.6 marks · 4.7 tackles (15 games)
- Isabel Dawes
92.9 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.4 marks · 5.9 tackles (15 games)
- Courtney Hodder
86.8 GDS avg · 15.4 disposals · 1.0 goals · 1.9 marks · 6.2 tackles (14 games)
- Sophie Conway
81.7 GDS avg · 16.8 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.1 marks · 3.8 tackles (15 games)
AFLW Round 3 2026 preview questions
Who will win Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions?
Our form model rates Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news.
What is the Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions prediction for AFLW Round 3 2026?
Our form model rates Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news. The model expects about 91 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions?
Melbourne Demons host Brisbane Lions in AFLW Round 3, 2026 on Sunday 30 Aug 2026, 1:05pm at Casey Fields. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions head-to-head record?
Across their last 4 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Melbourne Demons 0, Brisbane Lions 4. Those games averaged 77.3 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Kate Hore for Melbourne Demons and Alexandra Anderson for Brisbane Lions. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Melbourne Demons and Brisbane Lions hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.