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Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 6 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues
Carlton Blues by 1-12
Model score: Melbourne Demons 42 to 53 Carlton Blues
Total points: the model's 95-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Melbourne Demons won 2 of their last 5 on record. Carlton Blues won 4 of their last 5.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 36 to 46 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos22 Nov 2025
- 60 to 49 v Adelaide Crows15 Nov 2025
- 43 to 56 v Brisbane Lions9 Nov 2025
- 59 to 45 @ Geelong Cats1 Nov 2025
- 36 to 45 @ Brisbane Lions25 Oct 2025
- 32 to 67 @ Brisbane Lions22 Nov 2025
- 79 to 33 @ Hawthorn Hawks15 Nov 2025
- 60 to 19 v West Coast Eagles8 Nov 2025
- 42 to 22 @ West Coast Eagles31 Oct 2025
- 81 to 35 v GWS Giants26 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Melbourne Demons
- Kate Hore
114.0 GDS avg · 21.3 disposals · 1.6 goals · 3.9 marks · 5.3 tackles (15 games)
- Tyla Hanks
107.9 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.1 marks · 6.9 tackles (15 games)
- Elizabeth McNamara
101.4 GDS avg · 22.1 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.4 marks · 4.3 tackles (15 games)
- Maeve Chaplin
89.8 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.5 marks · 4.0 tackles (13 games)
Carlton Blues
- Dayna Finn
104.5 GDS avg · 21.9 disposals · 0.7 goals · 4.9 marks · 3.3 tackles (15 games)
- Abbie McKay
92.5 GDS avg · 22.2 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.6 marks · 4.5 tackles (11 games)
- Mimi Hill
89.6 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.1 marks · 3.3 tackles (12 games)
- Keeley Sherar
87.1 GDS avg · 16.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.2 marks · 5.5 tackles (15 games)
AFLW Round 6 2026 preview questions
Who will win Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Melbourne Demons 42 to 53 Carlton Blues.
What is the Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues prediction for AFLW Round 6 2026?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Melbourne Demons 42 to 53 Carlton Blues. The model expects about 95 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues?
Melbourne Demons host Carlton Blues in AFLW Round 6, 2026 on Saturday 19 Sept 2026, 1:05pm at Casey Fields. Times are local to the venue.
Which players should I watch in Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Kate Hore for Melbourne Demons and Dayna Finn for Carlton Blues. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.