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Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 10 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers
Melbourne Demons by 25-40
Model score: Melbourne Demons 62 to 36 Richmond Tigers
Total points: the model's 98-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2026, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Melbourne Demons 2, Richmond Tigers 0, averaging 83 combined points per game. Melbourne Demons won 5 of their last 5 on record. Richmond Tigers won 3 of their last 5.
Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Melbourne Demons 2, Richmond Tigers 0, averaging 83 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2026.
- 58 to 24 v Carlton Blues19 Sept 2026
- 74 to 23 v Port Adelaide Power13 Sept 2026
- 81 to 44 @ West Coast Eagles6 Sept 2026
- 89 to 33 v Brisbane Lions30 Aug 2026
- 60 to 12 v GWS Giants23 Aug 2026
- 68 to 61 @ GWS Giants20 Sept 2026
- 58 to 43 v St Kilda Saints13 Sept 2026
- 35 to 60 v Fremantle Dockers6 Sept 2026
- 38 to 33 @ Essendon Bombers30 Aug 2026
- 37 to 48 @ Western Bulldogs22 Aug 2026
Players to watch: 2026 averages
Ranked on 2026 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Melbourne Demons
- Olivia Purcell
124.8 GDS avg · 30.7 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.2 marks · 6.7 tackles (6 games)
- Tyla Hanks
119.3 GDS avg · 25.0 disposals · 0.7 goals · 1.7 marks · 8.0 tackles (6 games)
- Elizabeth McNamara
106.6 GDS avg · 20.0 disposals · 1.2 goals · 4.2 marks · 4.0 tackles (5 games)
- Kate Hore
101.2 GDS avg · 21.2 disposals · 0.7 goals · 3.5 marks · 3.8 tackles (6 games)
Richmond Tigers
- Isabel Bacon
74.7 GDS avg · 15.0 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.3 marks · 4.8 tackles (6 games)
- Gabby Seymour
73.3 GDS avg · 10.5 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.3 marks · 2.5 tackles (6 games)
- Olivia Wolmarans
71.5 GDS avg · 10.5 disposals · 1.7 goals · 5.5 marks · 1.3 tackles (6 games)
- Montana Beruldsen
71.2 GDS avg · 15.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.8 marks · 2.3 tackles (6 games)
AFLW Round 10 2026 preview questions
Who will win Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers?
Our form model favours Melbourne Demons by 25-40 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Melbourne Demons 62 to 36 Richmond Tigers.
What is the Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers prediction for AFLW Round 10 2026?
Our form model favours Melbourne Demons by 25-40 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Melbourne Demons 62 to 36 Richmond Tigers. The model expects about 98 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers?
Melbourne Demons host Richmond Tigers in AFLW Round 10, 2026 on Friday 16 Oct 2026, 8:15pm at Ikon Park. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2024 and 2025 it is Melbourne Demons 2, Richmond Tigers 0. Those games averaged 83 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers?
On 2026 fantasy averages, Olivia Purcell for Melbourne Demons and Isabel Bacon for Richmond Tigers. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Melbourne Demons and Richmond Tigers hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.