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Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 10 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers
Melbourne Demons by 1-12
Model score: Melbourne Demons 47 to 39 Richmond Tigers
Total points: the model's 86-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Melbourne Demons 2, Richmond Tigers 0, averaging 83 combined points per game. Melbourne Demons won 2 of their last 5 on record. Richmond Tigers won 2 of their last 5.
Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Melbourne Demons 2, Richmond Tigers 0, averaging 83 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 36 to 46 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos22 Nov 2025
- 60 to 49 v Adelaide Crows15 Nov 2025
- 43 to 56 v Brisbane Lions9 Nov 2025
- 59 to 45 @ Geelong Cats1 Nov 2025
- 36 to 45 @ Brisbane Lions25 Oct 2025
- 25 to 39 v Gold Coast Suns1 Nov 2025
- 14 to 58 @ Fremantle Dockers25 Oct 2025
- 46 to 33 @ Collingwood Magpies19 Oct 2025
- 14 to 50 v North Melbourne Kangaroos11 Oct 2025
- 58 to 47 v Adelaide Crows5 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Melbourne Demons
- Kate Hore
114.0 GDS avg · 21.3 disposals · 1.6 goals · 3.9 marks · 5.3 tackles (15 games)
- Tyla Hanks
107.9 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.1 marks · 6.9 tackles (15 games)
- Elizabeth McNamara
101.4 GDS avg · 22.1 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.4 marks · 4.3 tackles (15 games)
- Maeve Chaplin
89.8 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.5 marks · 4.0 tackles (13 games)
Richmond Tigers
- Monique Conti
118.1 GDS avg · 26.3 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.9 marks · 7.2 tackles (12 games)
- Ellie McKenzie
106.4 GDS avg · 22.4 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.0 marks · 4.6 tackles (10 games)
- Grace Egan
83.6 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.4 marks · 3.7 tackles (9 games)
- Caitlin Greiser
63.1 GDS avg · 9.8 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.3 marks · 1.3 tackles (12 games)
AFLW Round 10 2026 preview questions
Who will win Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers?
Our form model favours Melbourne Demons by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Melbourne Demons 47 to 39 Richmond Tigers.
What is the Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers prediction for AFLW Round 10 2026?
Our form model favours Melbourne Demons by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Melbourne Demons 47 to 39 Richmond Tigers. The model expects about 86 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers?
Melbourne Demons host Richmond Tigers in AFLW Round 10, 2026 on Friday 16 Oct 2026, 8:15pm at Ikon Park. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2024 and 2025 it is Melbourne Demons 2, Richmond Tigers 0. Those games averaged 83 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Kate Hore for Melbourne Demons and Monique Conti for Richmond Tigers. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Melbourne Demons and Richmond Tigers hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.