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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 1 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Match details
Our prediction: North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats
North Melbourne Kangaroos by 13-24
Model score: North Melbourne Kangaroos 52 to 29 Geelong Cats
Total points: the model's 82-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is North Melbourne Kangaroos 2, Geelong Cats 0 with 1 drawn, averaging 65.7 combined points per game. North Melbourne Kangaroos won 5 of their last 5 on record. Geelong Cats won 2 of their last 5.
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: North Melbourne Kangaroos 2, Geelong Cats 0, 1 drawn, averaging 65.7 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 56 to 16 v Brisbane Lions29 Nov 2025
- 46 to 36 v Melbourne Demons22 Nov 2025
- 42 to 3 v Hawthorn Hawks7 Nov 2025
- 67 to 18 @ Hawthorn Hawks31 Oct 2025
- 67 to 21 v St Kilda Saints26 Oct 2025
- 45 to 59 v Melbourne Demons1 Nov 2025
- 37 to 26 @ Western Bulldogs26 Oct 2025
- 19 to 50 @ West Coast Eagles17 Oct 2025
- 72 to 45 v GWS Giants11 Oct 2025
- 37 to 55 v Carlton Blues5 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Ash Riddell
137.3 GDS avg · 35.5 disposals · 0.4 goals · 3.1 marks · 4.1 tackles (15 games)
- Jasmine Garner
135.9 GDS avg · 27.3 disposals · 1.5 goals · 3.1 marks · 6.2 tackles (14 games)
- Mia King
94.6 GDS avg · 20.9 disposals · 0.3 goals · 1.7 marks · 7.2 tackles (9 games)
- Eilish Sheerin
91.1 GDS avg · 19.1 disposals · 0.4 goals · 2.0 marks · 5.4 tackles (9 games)
Geelong Cats
- Georgie Prespakis
111.3 GDS avg · 25.8 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.0 marks · 5.9 tackles (12 games)
- Nina Morrison
108.4 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.5 goals · 1.8 marks · 7.7 tackles (12 games)
- Mikayla Bowen
104.2 GDS avg · 21.6 disposals · 0.5 goals · 3.3 marks · 6.7 tackles (12 games)
- Amy McDonald
82.3 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.6 marks · 5.1 tackles (12 games)
AFLW Round 1 2026 preview questions
Who will win North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats?
Our form model favours North Melbourne Kangaroos by 13-24 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of North Melbourne Kangaroos 52 to 29 Geelong Cats.
What is the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats prediction for AFLW Round 1 2026?
Our form model favours North Melbourne Kangaroos by 13-24 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of North Melbourne Kangaroos 52 to 29 Geelong Cats. The model expects about 82 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats?
North Melbourne Kangaroos host Geelong Cats in AFLW Round 1, 2026 on Saturday 15 Aug 2026, 1:00pm at Marvel Stadium. Times are local to the venue.
What is the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is North Melbourne Kangaroos 2, Geelong Cats 0, with 1 drawn. Those games averaged 65.7 combined points.
Which players should I watch in North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Ash Riddell for North Melbourne Kangaroos and Georgie Prespakis for Geelong Cats. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the North Melbourne Kangaroos and Geelong Cats hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.