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Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 8 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats
Geelong Cats by 13-24
Model score: Richmond Tigers 46 to 63 Geelong Cats
Total points: the model's 109-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2026, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Richmond Tigers 1, Geelong Cats 2, averaging 77.7 combined points per game. Richmond Tigers won 3 of their last 5 on record. Geelong Cats won 5 of their last 5.
Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Richmond Tigers 1, Geelong Cats 2, averaging 77.7 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2026.
- 68 to 61 @ GWS Giants20 Sept 2026
- 58 to 43 v St Kilda Saints13 Sept 2026
- 35 to 60 v Fremantle Dockers6 Sept 2026
- 38 to 33 @ Essendon Bombers30 Aug 2026
- 37 to 48 @ Western Bulldogs22 Aug 2026
- 90 to 49 @ Collingwood Magpies19 Sept 2026
- 57 to 46 @ Adelaide Crows12 Sept 2026
- 83 to 51 v Essendon Bombers6 Sept 2026
- 64 to 57 @ Gold Coast Suns30 Aug 2026
- 100 to 15 v St Kilda Saints22 Aug 2026
Players to watch: 2026 averages
Ranked on 2026 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Richmond Tigers
- Isabel Bacon
74.7 GDS avg · 15.0 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.3 marks · 4.8 tackles (6 games)
- Gabby Seymour
73.3 GDS avg · 10.5 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.3 marks · 2.5 tackles (6 games)
- Olivia Wolmarans
71.5 GDS avg · 10.5 disposals · 1.7 goals · 5.5 marks · 1.3 tackles (6 games)
- Montana Beruldsen
71.2 GDS avg · 15.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.8 marks · 2.3 tackles (6 games)
Geelong Cats
- Mikayla Bowen
124.0 GDS avg · 26.5 disposals · 0.2 goals · 4.7 marks · 7.5 tackles (6 games)
- Nina Morrison
117.8 GDS avg · 23.8 disposals · 0.7 goals · 2.8 marks · 7.5 tackles (6 games)
- Georgie Prespakis
111.5 GDS avg · 29.0 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.2 marks · 4.7 tackles (6 games)
- Rebecca Webster
92.5 GDS avg · 22.7 disposals · 0.0 goals · 4.2 marks · 2.5 tackles (6 games)
AFLW Round 8 2026 preview questions
Who will win Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats?
Our form model favours Geelong Cats by 13-24 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Richmond Tigers 46 to 63 Geelong Cats.
What is the Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats prediction for AFLW Round 8 2026?
Our form model favours Geelong Cats by 13-24 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Richmond Tigers 46 to 63 Geelong Cats. The model expects about 109 combined points, higher-scoring than a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats?
Richmond Tigers host Geelong Cats in AFLW Round 8, 2026 on Friday 2 Oct 2026, 7:15pm at Ikon Park. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Richmond Tigers 1, Geelong Cats 2. Those games averaged 77.7 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats?
On 2026 fantasy averages, Isabel Bacon for Richmond Tigers and Mikayla Bowen for Geelong Cats. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Richmond Tigers and Geelong Cats hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.