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Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 8 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats
Line-ball: too close to split
Model score: Richmond Tigers 40 to 43 Geelong Cats
Total points: the model's 83-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Richmond Tigers 1, Geelong Cats 2, averaging 77.7 combined points per game. Richmond Tigers won 2 of their last 5 on record. Geelong Cats won 2 of their last 5.
Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Richmond Tigers 1, Geelong Cats 2, averaging 77.7 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 25 to 39 v Gold Coast Suns1 Nov 2025
- 14 to 58 @ Fremantle Dockers25 Oct 2025
- 46 to 33 @ Collingwood Magpies19 Oct 2025
- 14 to 50 v North Melbourne Kangaroos11 Oct 2025
- 58 to 47 v Adelaide Crows5 Oct 2025
- 45 to 59 v Melbourne Demons1 Nov 2025
- 37 to 26 @ Western Bulldogs26 Oct 2025
- 19 to 50 @ West Coast Eagles17 Oct 2025
- 72 to 45 v GWS Giants11 Oct 2025
- 37 to 55 v Carlton Blues5 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Richmond Tigers
- Monique Conti
118.1 GDS avg · 26.3 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.9 marks · 7.2 tackles (12 games)
- Ellie McKenzie
106.4 GDS avg · 22.4 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.0 marks · 4.6 tackles (10 games)
- Grace Egan
83.6 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.4 marks · 3.7 tackles (9 games)
- Caitlin Greiser
63.1 GDS avg · 9.8 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.3 marks · 1.3 tackles (12 games)
Geelong Cats
- Georgie Prespakis
111.3 GDS avg · 25.8 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.0 marks · 5.9 tackles (12 games)
- Nina Morrison
108.4 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.5 goals · 1.8 marks · 7.7 tackles (12 games)
- Mikayla Bowen
104.2 GDS avg · 21.6 disposals · 0.5 goals · 3.3 marks · 6.7 tackles (12 games)
- Amy McDonald
82.3 GDS avg · 19.8 disposals · 0.1 goals · 1.6 marks · 5.1 tackles (12 games)
AFLW Round 8 2026 preview questions
Who will win Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats?
Our form model rates Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news.
What is the Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats prediction for AFLW Round 8 2026?
Our form model rates Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats line-ball from 2025 season results: too close to split, so treat it as a coin-flip and lean on team news. The model expects about 83 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats?
Richmond Tigers host Geelong Cats in AFLW Round 8, 2026 on Friday 2 Oct 2026, 7:15pm at Ikon Park. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats head-to-head record?
Across their last 3 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Richmond Tigers 1, Geelong Cats 2. Those games averaged 77.7 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Monique Conti for Richmond Tigers and Georgie Prespakis for Geelong Cats. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Richmond Tigers and Geelong Cats hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.