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St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 11 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions
Brisbane Lions by 1-12
Model score: St Kilda Saints 36 to 47 Brisbane Lions
Total points: the model's 83-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is St Kilda Saints 1, Brisbane Lions 1, averaging 99 combined points per game. St Kilda Saints won 2 of their last 5 on record. Brisbane Lions won 4 of their last 5.
St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: St Kilda Saints 1, Brisbane Lions 1, averaging 99 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 16 to 60 @ Adelaide Crows9 Nov 2025
- 27 to 72 v Western Bulldogs2 Nov 2025
- 21 to 67 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos26 Oct 2025
- 49 to 36 @ Carlton Blues18 Oct 2025
- 35 to 12 v Collingwood Magpies12 Oct 2025
- 16 to 56 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos29 Nov 2025
- 67 to 32 v Carlton Blues22 Nov 2025
- 56 to 43 @ Melbourne Demons9 Nov 2025
- 52 to 32 @ Collingwood Magpies2 Nov 2025
- 45 to 36 v Melbourne Demons25 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
St Kilda Saints
- Tyanna Smith
101.8 GDS avg · 19.6 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.7 marks · 7.4 tackles (13 games)
- Jaimee Lambert
97.5 GDS avg · 18.0 disposals · 0.4 goals · 2.4 marks · 6.8 tackles (11 games)
- Georgia Patrikios
95.9 GDS avg · 20.0 disposals · 0.5 goals · 3.0 marks · 4.3 tackles (13 games)
- Serene Watson
92.6 GDS avg · 22.1 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.5 marks · 2.5 tackles (13 games)
Brisbane Lions
- Alexandra Anderson
102.3 GDS avg · 24.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.6 marks · 4.7 tackles (15 games)
- Isabel Dawes
92.9 GDS avg · 20.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.4 marks · 5.9 tackles (15 games)
- Courtney Hodder
86.8 GDS avg · 15.4 disposals · 1.0 goals · 1.9 marks · 6.2 tackles (14 games)
- Sophie Conway
81.7 GDS avg · 16.8 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.1 marks · 3.8 tackles (15 games)
AFLW Round 11 2026 preview questions
Who will win St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions?
Our form model favours Brisbane Lions by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of St Kilda Saints 36 to 47 Brisbane Lions.
What is the St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions prediction for AFLW Round 11 2026?
Our form model favours Brisbane Lions by 1-12 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of St Kilda Saints 36 to 47 Brisbane Lions. The model expects about 83 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions?
St Kilda Saints host Brisbane Lions in AFLW Round 11, 2026 on Saturday 24 Oct 2026, 2:05pm at RSEA Park. Times are local to the venue.
What is the St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2023 and 2024 it is St Kilda Saints 1, Brisbane Lions 1. Those games averaged 99 combined points.
Which players should I watch in St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Tyanna Smith for St Kilda Saints and Alexandra Anderson for Brisbane Lions. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the St Kilda Saints and Brisbane Lions hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.