Welcome to The Stats Lab, your new home for advanced analysis and insights for fantasy sportsWelcome to The Stats Lab
St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 11 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions
Brisbane Lions by 13-24
Model score: St Kilda Saints 36 to 51 Brisbane Lions
Total points: the model's 87-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2026, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is St Kilda Saints 1, Brisbane Lions 1, averaging 99 combined points per game. St Kilda Saints won 0 of their last 5 on record. Brisbane Lions won 1 of their last 5.
St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: St Kilda Saints 1, Brisbane Lions 1, averaging 99 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2026.
- 25 to 36 v West Coast Eagles20 Sept 2026
- 43 to 58 @ Richmond Tigers13 Sept 2026
- 7 to 99 v North Melbourne Kangaroos5 Sept 2026
- 15 to 38 @ Sydney Swans29 Aug 2026
- 15 to 100 @ Geelong Cats22 Aug 2026
- 30 to 39 v Adelaide Crows20 Sept 2026
- 41 to 46 @ West Coast Eagles12 Sept 2026
- 55 to 24 v GWS Giants5 Sept 2026
- 33 to 89 @ Melbourne Demons30 Aug 2026
- 33 to 44 v North Melbourne Kangaroos22 Aug 2026
Players to watch: 2026 averages
Ranked on 2026 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
St Kilda Saints
- Tyanna Smith
92.8 GDS avg · 19.2 disposals · 0.3 goals · 1.5 marks · 5.5 tackles (6 games)
- Georgia Patrikios
75.8 GDS avg · 18.5 disposals · 0.0 goals · 2.8 marks · 3.0 tackles (6 games)
- Jaimee Lambert
75.7 GDS avg · 17.5 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.0 marks · 2.8 tackles (6 games)
- Ashleigh Richards
74.8 GDS avg · 13.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.8 marks · 5.0 tackles (6 games)
Brisbane Lions
- Orla O'Dwyer
90.5 GDS avg · 19.0 disposals · 0.7 goals · 1.2 marks · 4.7 tackles (6 games)
- Isabel Dawes
87.2 GDS avg · 19.2 disposals · 0.2 goals · 2.5 marks · 4.8 tackles (6 games)
- Sophie Conway
86.5 GDS avg · 15.5 disposals · 0.5 goals · 2.2 marks · 4.5 tackles (6 games)
- Charlotte Mullins
86.4 GDS avg · 18.2 disposals · 0.6 goals · 3.2 marks · 3.0 tackles (5 games)
AFLW Round 11 2026 preview questions
Who will win St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions?
Our form model favours Brisbane Lions by 13-24 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of St Kilda Saints 36 to 51 Brisbane Lions.
What is the St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions prediction for AFLW Round 11 2026?
Our form model favours Brisbane Lions by 13-24 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of St Kilda Saints 36 to 51 Brisbane Lions. The model expects about 87 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions?
St Kilda Saints host Brisbane Lions in AFLW Round 11, 2026 on Saturday 24 Oct 2026, 2:05pm at RSEA Park. Times are local to the venue.
What is the St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2023 and 2024 it is St Kilda Saints 1, Brisbane Lions 1. Those games averaged 99 combined points.
Which players should I watch in St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions?
On 2026 fantasy averages, Tyanna Smith for St Kilda Saints and Orla O'Dwyer for Brisbane Lions. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the St Kilda Saints and Brisbane Lions hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.