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St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 1 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues
Carlton Blues by 13-24
Model score: St Kilda Saints 33 to 53 Carlton Blues
Total points: the model's 87-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is St Kilda Saints 2, Carlton Blues 0, averaging 78.5 combined points per game. St Kilda Saints won 2 of their last 5 on record. Carlton Blues won 4 of their last 5.
St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: St Kilda Saints 2, Carlton Blues 0, averaging 78.5 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 16 to 60 @ Adelaide Crows9 Nov 2025
- 27 to 72 v Western Bulldogs2 Nov 2025
- 21 to 67 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos26 Oct 2025
- 49 to 36 @ Carlton Blues18 Oct 2025
- 35 to 12 v Collingwood Magpies12 Oct 2025
- 32 to 67 @ Brisbane Lions22 Nov 2025
- 79 to 33 @ Hawthorn Hawks15 Nov 2025
- 60 to 19 v West Coast Eagles8 Nov 2025
- 42 to 22 @ West Coast Eagles31 Oct 2025
- 81 to 35 v GWS Giants26 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
St Kilda Saints
- Tyanna Smith
101.8 GDS avg · 19.6 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.7 marks · 7.4 tackles (13 games)
- Jaimee Lambert
97.5 GDS avg · 18.0 disposals · 0.4 goals · 2.4 marks · 6.8 tackles (11 games)
- Georgia Patrikios
95.9 GDS avg · 20.0 disposals · 0.5 goals · 3.0 marks · 4.3 tackles (13 games)
- Serene Watson
92.6 GDS avg · 22.1 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.5 marks · 2.5 tackles (13 games)
Carlton Blues
- Dayna Finn
104.5 GDS avg · 21.9 disposals · 0.7 goals · 4.9 marks · 3.3 tackles (15 games)
- Abbie McKay
92.5 GDS avg · 22.2 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.6 marks · 4.5 tackles (11 games)
- Mimi Hill
89.6 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.1 marks · 3.3 tackles (12 games)
- Keeley Sherar
87.1 GDS avg · 16.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.2 marks · 5.5 tackles (15 games)
AFLW Round 1 2026 preview questions
Who will win St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 13-24 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of St Kilda Saints 33 to 53 Carlton Blues.
What is the St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues prediction for AFLW Round 1 2026?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 13-24 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of St Kilda Saints 33 to 53 Carlton Blues. The model expects about 87 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues?
St Kilda Saints host Carlton Blues in AFLW Round 1, 2026 on Sunday 9 Aug 2026, 4:35pm at Marvel Stadium. Times are local to the venue.
What is the St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is St Kilda Saints 2, Carlton Blues 0. Those games averaged 78.5 combined points.
Which players should I watch in St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Tyanna Smith for St Kilda Saints and Dayna Finn for Carlton Blues. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the St Kilda Saints and Carlton Blues hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.