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Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 9 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues
Carlton Blues by 13-24
Model score: Sydney Swans 36 to 51 Carlton Blues
Total points: the model's 87-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2025, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Sydney Swans 1, Carlton Blues 1, averaging 98 combined points per game. Sydney Swans won 2 of their last 5 on record. Carlton Blues won 4 of their last 5.
Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sydney Swans 1, Carlton Blues 1, averaging 98 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2025.
- 11 to 14 v Essendon Bombers1 Nov 2025
- 43 to 26 v West Coast Eagles25 Oct 2025
- 21 to 65 @ Melbourne Demons18 Oct 2025
- 76 to 37 v Carlton Blues12 Oct 2025
- 20 to 88 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos4 Oct 2025
- 32 to 67 @ Brisbane Lions22 Nov 2025
- 79 to 33 @ Hawthorn Hawks15 Nov 2025
- 60 to 19 v West Coast Eagles8 Nov 2025
- 42 to 22 @ West Coast Eagles31 Oct 2025
- 81 to 35 v GWS Giants26 Oct 2025
Players to watch: 2025 averages
Ranked on 2025 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Sydney Swans
- Laura Gardiner
149.0 GDS avg · 31.7 disposals · 0.2 goals · 3.3 marks · 9.6 tackles (12 games)
- Sofia Hurley
104.4 GDS avg · 20.2 disposals · 0.4 goals · 2.8 marks · 5.6 tackles (5 games)
- Tanya Kennedy
103.6 GDS avg · 19.3 disposals · 0.3 goals · 1.3 marks · 8.0 tackles (12 games)
- Zippy Fish
100.1 GDS avg · 21.2 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.1 marks · 3.3 tackles (12 games)
Carlton Blues
- Dayna Finn
104.5 GDS avg · 21.9 disposals · 0.7 goals · 4.9 marks · 3.3 tackles (15 games)
- Abbie McKay
92.5 GDS avg · 22.2 disposals · 0.2 goals · 1.6 marks · 4.5 tackles (11 games)
- Mimi Hill
89.6 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 2.1 marks · 3.3 tackles (12 games)
- Keeley Sherar
87.1 GDS avg · 16.5 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.2 marks · 5.5 tackles (15 games)
AFLW Round 9 2026 preview questions
Who will win Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 13-24 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Sydney Swans 36 to 51 Carlton Blues.
What is the Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues prediction for AFLW Round 9 2026?
Our form model favours Carlton Blues by 13-24 points from 2025 season results, from a model score of Sydney Swans 36 to 51 Carlton Blues. The model expects about 87 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues?
Sydney Swans host Carlton Blues in AFLW Round 9, 2026 on Sunday 11 Oct 2026, 4:05pm at Henson Park. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Sydney Swans 1, Carlton Blues 1. Those games averaged 98 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues?
On 2025 fantasy averages, Laura Gardiner for Sydney Swans and Dayna Finn for Carlton Blues. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Sydney Swans and Carlton Blues hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.