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Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues Prediction & Preview - AFLW Round 9 2026
A free, data-led AFLW preview built from real results: head-to-head history, recent form and the players to watch on each side.
Our prediction: Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues
Sydney Swans by 1-12
Model score: Sydney Swans 46 to 40 Carlton Blues
Total points: the model's 86-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFLW game (~80 combined points).
How this works: the model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, up to the end of 2026, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: list changes, injuries and team news all move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 2 meetings it is Sydney Swans 1, Carlton Blues 1, averaging 98 combined points per game. Sydney Swans won 4 of their last 5 on record. Carlton Blues won 3 of their last 5.
Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sydney Swans 1, Carlton Blues 1, averaging 98 combined points per game.
Form guide: last 5 completed games
Most recent results on record, up to the end of 2026.
- 41 to 27 @ Port Adelaide Power19 Sept 2026
- 87 to 56 v GWS Giants13 Sept 2026
- 33 to 60 @ Western Bulldogs5 Sept 2026
- 38 to 15 v St Kilda Saints29 Aug 2026
- 66 to 42 v Essendon Bombers23 Aug 2026
- 24 to 58 @ Melbourne Demons19 Sept 2026
- 23 to 33 @ North Melbourne Kangaroos13 Sept 2026
- 68 to 29 v Collingwood Magpies6 Sept 2026
- 48 to 42 @ Fremantle Dockers30 Aug 2026
- 50 to 23 v Adelaide Crows23 Aug 2026
Players to watch: 2026 averages
Ranked on 2026 GDS fantasy average. Squads change between seasons, so treat this as a guide to who carried each club last time out.
Sydney Swans
- Zippy Fish
110.0 GDS avg · 23.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 3.3 marks · 5.2 tackles (6 games)
- Sofia Hurley
107.6 GDS avg · 21.8 disposals · 0.4 goals · 2.8 marks · 8.0 tackles (5 games)
- Laura Gardiner
104.2 GDS avg · 23.5 disposals · 0.5 goals · 1.8 marks · 6.3 tackles (6 games)
- Chloe Molloy
93.8 GDS avg · 16.3 disposals · 2.2 goals · 3.2 marks · 3.0 tackles (6 games)
Carlton Blues
- Dayna Finn
104.5 GDS avg · 23.0 disposals · 0.7 goals · 5.2 marks · 3.0 tackles (6 games)
- Erone Fitzpatrick
101.8 GDS avg · 19.0 disposals · 1.0 goals · 3.8 marks · 4.7 tackles (6 games)
- Claudia Whitfort
96.8 GDS avg · 21.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 1.8 marks · 6.5 tackles (6 games)
- Abbie McKay
90.0 GDS avg · 24.3 disposals · 0.0 goals · 1.3 marks · 4.8 tackles (6 games)
AFLW Round 9 2026 preview questions
Who will win Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues?
Our form model favours Sydney Swans by 1-12 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Sydney Swans 46 to 40 Carlton Blues.
What is the Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues prediction for AFLW Round 9 2026?
Our form model favours Sydney Swans by 1-12 points from 2026 season results, from a model score of Sydney Swans 46 to 40 Carlton Blues. The model expects about 86 combined points, in line with a typical AFLW game (around 80). It averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games and adds a small home-ground adjustment.
When and where is Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues?
Sydney Swans host Carlton Blues in AFLW Round 9, 2026 on Sunday 11 Oct 2026, 4:05pm at Henson Park. Times are local to the venue.
What is the Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues head-to-head record?
Across their last 2 meetings between 2023 and 2025 it is Sydney Swans 1, Carlton Blues 1. Those games averaged 98 combined points.
Which players should I watch in Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues?
On 2026 fantasy averages, Zippy Fish for Sydney Swans and Dayna Finn for Carlton Blues. The preview lists the top four per club with disposals, goals, marks and tackles per game, and every name links to that player's full stats page.
Is this Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues preview free?
Yes. The form lean, head-to-head record and player averages for Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues are free and need no account. Stats Lab members get the deeper fantasy and matchup analysis tools on top.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the AFLW match previews page, with deeper club data on the Sydney Swans and Carlton Blues hubs, and full season stats for every player on the AFLW players page.