New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills — Week 4 2026

odds, implied totals, defence-vs-position angles, key player props and head-to-head history for New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills. A free, data-led matchup preview.

New England Patriots

@

Buffalo Bills

Week 4 · 2026

Kickoff: Mon, 5 Oct, 4:00 am AEDTHighmark Stadium

Odds & implied lines

Head to head

NE 2.45 / BUF 1.55

betr_au

Line (home)

–

Total

–

Implied points

NE – · BUF –

Win probability

NE 39% · BUF 61%

Odds captured 25 Aug, 7:02 am AEST.

Defence vs position

BUF defence allows

QB

13.8

#4

RB

22.4

#25

WR

21.6

#7

TE

6.3

#1

NE defence allows

QB

15.3

#11

RB

16.4

#4

WR

24.1

#13

TE

11.0

#18

Showing 2025 DVP — 2026 data populates after Week 4.

Recent meetings

• 2025 Week 15BUF 35 @ NE 31
• 2025 Week 5NE 23 @ BUF 20
• 2024 Week 18BUF 16 @ NE 23
• 2024 Week 16NE 21 @ BUF 24
• 2023 Week 17NE 21 @ BUF 27
• 2023 Week 7BUF 25 @ NE 29
• 2022 Week 18NE 23 @ BUF 35
• 2022 Week 13BUF 24 @ NE 10

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Deeper tools: Matchup Centre (premium projections + full DVP), the Vegas-implied board, and the full NFL schedule.

Team hubs: New England Patriots · Buffalo Bills · all Week 4 games.