Who will win Dolphins vs Roosters?

Our form-based model leans Dolphins by 7-12 points, from a model score of Dolphins 27 to 17 Roosters.

What is the Dolphins vs Roosters prediction for NRL Round 30 2026?

Our form-based model leans Dolphins by 7-12 points, from a model score of Dolphins 27 to 17 Roosters. The model expects about 44 combined points — higher-scoring than a typical NRL game. The prediction is built from each side's recent points scored and conceded, with a home-ground adjustment.

Are these Dolphins vs Roosters tips free?

Yes. The predicted winner, margin band and total-points lean for Dolphins vs Roosters are free and need no account. Stats Lab members also get player projections, DVP matchup tools and the multi builder for the fixture.

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Dolphins vs Roosters Prediction Round 30 2026

Who wins Dolphins vs Roosters? Our form-based model leans Dolphins by 7-12. Read the full preview below.

A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side. Includes multi tips for the fixture.

Dolphins

Roosters

Round 30 · 2026

Friday NightSuncorp Stadium

Our prediction

Dolphins by 7-12

Model score: Dolphins 27–17 Roosters

Total points: the model's 44-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical NRL game (~41 combined points).

How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.

What the numbers say

Across their last 5 meetings it is Dolphins 2, Roosters 3, averaging 61.6 total points per game. Dolphins have won 5 of their last 5. Roosters have won 1 of their last 5.

Recent head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Dolphins 2, Roosters 3, averaging 61.6 total points per game.

Roosters 12–26 DolphinsRd 26 2026 · Allianz Stadium

Dolphins 48–10 RoostersRd 15 2026 · Suncorp Stadium

Dolphins 12–64 RoostersRd 23 2025 · Suncorp Stadium

Roosters 36–26 DolphinsRd 9 2025 · Suncorp Stadium

Dolphins 34–40 RoostersRd 22 2024 · HBF Park

Form guide: last 5 games

DolphinsWWWWW

26–16 @ Warriors12 Sept 2026
24–20 @ Titans4 Sept 2026
26–12 @ Roosters29 Aug 2026
34–16 v Eels21 Aug 2026
22–0 @ Sea Eagles14 Aug 2026

RoostersWLLLL

46–10 v Sharks19 Sept 2026
12–19 @ Panthers13 Sept 2026
20–50 @ Rabbitohs4 Sept 2026
12–26 v Dolphins29 Aug 2026
24–25 v Wests Tigers23 Aug 2026

Key players: season averages

Dolphins

Herbie Farnworth
92.2 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 172m run · 14.8 tackles (24 games)
Jamayne Isaako
77.0 SC avg · 0.8 tries · 161m run · 4.5 tackles (25 games)
Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
69.4 SC avg · 0.1 tries · 149m run · 36.7 tackles (23 games)
Selwyn Cobbo
69.3 SC avg · 0.9 tries · 182m run · 4.4 tackles (19 games)

Roosters

James Tedesco
81.6 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 195m run · 3.1 tackles (19 games)
Sam Walker
76.9 SC avg · 0.5 tries · 89m run · 15.3 tackles (21 games)
Robert Toia
73.6 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 111m run · 21.0 tackles (22 games)
Mark Nawaqanitawase
69.9 SC avg · 0.9 tries · 170m run · 3.9 tackles (21 games)

Go deeper before lockout

Full projections and DVP for members, plus the multi builder for same-game analysis.

Lockout hub Multi builder

More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 30 match previews page, all Round 30 predictions sit on one page, with deeper club data on the Dolphins and Roosters team hubs.

Which club leaks points to which position across the whole round, matched to the players named opposite them: Round 30 matchup edge.

Every published play, graded on the Best Plays Tracker