Who will win Warriors vs Dolphins?

Our form-based model leans Warriors by 1-6 points, from a model score of Warriors 28 to 24 Dolphins.

What is the Warriors vs Dolphins prediction for NRL Round 28 2026?

Our form-based model leans Warriors by 1-6 points, from a model score of Warriors 28 to 24 Dolphins. The model expects about 52 combined points — higher-scoring than a typical NRL game. The prediction is built from each side's recent points scored and conceded, with a home-ground adjustment.

Are these Warriors vs Dolphins tips free?

Yes. The predicted winner, margin band and total-points lean for Warriors vs Dolphins are free and need no account. Stats Lab members also get player projections, DVP matchup tools and the multi builder for the fixture.

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Warriors vs Dolphins Prediction Round 28 2026

Who wins Warriors vs Dolphins? Our form-based model leans Warriors by 1-6. Read the full preview below.

A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side. Includes multi tips for the fixture.

Warriors

Dolphins

Round 28 · 2026

Saturday AfternoonGo Media Stadium

Our prediction

Warriors by 1-6

Model score: Warriors 28–24 Dolphins

Total points: the model's 52-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical NRL game (~41 combined points).

How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.

What the numbers say

Across their last 5 meetings it is Warriors 2, Dolphins 3, averaging 44 total points per game. Warriors have won 5 of their last 5. Dolphins have won 5 of their last 5.

Recent head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Warriors 2, Dolphins 3, averaging 44 total points per game.

Dolphins 26–24 WarriorsRd 17 2026 · Suncorp Stadium

Warriors 20–18 DolphinsRd 8 2026 · Hnry Stadium

Warriors 18–20 DolphinsRd 22 2025 · Go Media Stadium

Dolphins 12–16 WarriorsRd 11 2025 · Suncorp Stadium

Dolphins 34–32 WarriorsRd 23 2024 · Suncorp Stadium

Form guide: last 5 games

WarriorsWWWWW

31–30 v Sea Eagles5 Sept 2026
46–32 v Knights30 Aug 2026
45–26 @ Rabbitohs22 Aug 2026
40–6 @ Broncos15 Aug 2026
28–12 v Panthers7 Aug 2026

DolphinsWWWWW

24–20 @ Titans4 Sept 2026
26–12 @ Roosters29 Aug 2026
34–16 v Eels21 Aug 2026
22–0 @ Sea Eagles14 Aug 2026
40–32 v Broncos8 Aug 2026

Key players: season averages

Warriors

Jackson Ford
81.1 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 161m run · 41.1 tackles (14 games)
Te Maire Martin
79.4 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 90m run · 22.5 tackles (11 games)
Tanah Boyd
73.3 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 64m run · 17.8 tackles (10 games)
Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
66.2 SC avg · 0.9 tries · 135m run · 10.5 tackles (14 games)

Dolphins

Herbie Farnworth
88.2 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 168m run · 14.9 tackles (23 games)
Jamayne Isaako
76.7 SC avg · 0.9 tries · 162m run · 4.4 tackles (24 games)
Selwyn Cobbo
69.9 SC avg · 0.9 tries · 186m run · 4.6 tackles (18 games)
Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
69.8 SC avg · 0.1 tries · 150m run · 36.4 tackles (22 games)

Go deeper before lockout

Full projections and DVP for members, plus the multi builder for same-game analysis.

Lockout hub Multi builder

More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 28 match previews page, all Round 28 predictions sit on one page, with deeper club data on the Warriors and Dolphins team hubs.

Which club leaks points to which position across the whole round, matched to the players named opposite them: Round 28 matchup edge.

Every published play, graded on the Best Plays Tracker