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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 15 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

5 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 15. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 15 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 15

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Raiders logo

Raiders halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Daine Laurie (Five-Eighth), Ethan Sanders (Halfback)

Sharks logo

Sharks hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Hohepa Puru (Hooker)

Dolphins logo

Dolphins fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Trai Fuller (Fullback)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Terrell May (Prop), Alex Seyfarth (Lock), Bunty Afoa (Prop)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs middle forwards vs Broncos

3rd toughest of 17

Broncos concede 51.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 2.9 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Tevita Tatola (Prop), Keaon Koloamatangi (Prop), Lachlan Hubner (Lock)

Rabbitohs vs Broncos

Thursday Night · 11 June · Accor Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs middle forwards vs Broncos

3rd toughest of 17

Broncos concede 51.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 2.9 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Tevita Tatola (Prop), Keaon Koloamatangi (Prop), Lachlan Hubner (Lock)

Broncos logo

Broncos hookers vs Rabbitohs

4th softest of 17

Rabbitohs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 4.9 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Cory Paix (Hooker)

Dolphins vs Roosters

Friday Night · 12 June · Suncorp Stadium
Dolphins logo

Dolphins fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Trai Fuller (Fullback)

Dolphins logo

Dolphins wingers vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 46.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.5 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Jamayne Isaako (Winger), Tevita Naufahu (Winger)

Warriors vs Sharks

Saturday Night · 13 June · Go Media Stadium
Sharks logo

Sharks hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Hohepa Puru (Hooker)

Warriors logo

Warriors halves vs Sharks

2nd toughest of 17

Sharks concede 52.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 7.2 below the competition average of 59.2 across 43 player-games.

Named there: Chanel Harris-Tavita (Five-Eighth), Te Maire Martin (Halfback)

Eels vs Raiders

Saturday Night · 13 June · CommBank Stadium
Raiders logo

Raiders halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Daine Laurie (Five-Eighth), Ethan Sanders (Halfback)

Eels logo

Eels edge forwards vs Raiders

Softest of 17

Raiders concede 67.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.7 above the competition average of 62.8 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Kelma Tuilagi (Second Row), Kitione Kautoga (Second Row)

Wests Tigers vs Titans

Sunday Day · 14 June · Leichhardt Oval
Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Terrell May (Prop), Alex Seyfarth (Lock), Bunty Afoa (Prop)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers centres vs Titans

2nd softest of 17

Titans concede 66.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 7.8 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Taylan May (Centre), Starford To'a (Centre)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 15 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 15 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 15 late mail.

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