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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 16 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

7 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 16. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 16 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 16

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Haumole Olakau'atu (Second Row), Ben Trbojevic (Second Row)

Knights logo

Knights fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Kalyn Ponga (Fullback), Fletcher Sharpe (Fullback)

Cowboys logo

Cowboys hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Reed Mahoney (Hooker)

Raiders logo

Raiders centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Sebastian Kris (Centre), Matthew Timoko (Centre)

Sharks logo

Sharks fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: William Kennedy (Fullback)

Knights vs Dragons

Friday Night · 19 June · McDonald Jones Stadium
Knights logo

Knights fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Kalyn Ponga (Fullback), Fletcher Sharpe (Fullback)

Dragons logo

Dragons fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.

Named there: Clinton Gutherson (Fullback)

Wests Tigers vs Dolphins

Saturday Day · 20 June · Campbelltown Sports Stadium
Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers wingers vs Dolphins

2nd toughest of 17

Dolphins concede 46.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.2 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Sunia Turuva (Winger), Starford To'a (Winger)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers middle forwards vs Dolphins

2nd softest of 17

Dolphins concede 58.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.7 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Terrell May (Prop), Alex Seyfarth (Lock), Bunty Afoa (Prop)

Titans vs Panthers

Saturday Evening · 20 June · Cbus Super Stadium
Panthers logo

Panthers middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Moses Leota (Prop), Liam Henry (Prop), Lindsay Smith (Lock)

Titans logo

Titans wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 47.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.1 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Jensen Taumoepeau (Winger), Phillip Sami (Winger)

Bulldogs vs Sea Eagles

Saturday Night · 20 June · Accor Stadium
Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Haumole Olakau'atu (Second Row), Ben Trbojevic (Second Row)

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles middle forwards vs Bulldogs

3rd softest of 17

Bulldogs concede 57.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 2.8 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Taniela Paseka (Prop), Kobe Hetherington (Prop), Jake Trbojevic (Lock)

Warriors vs Cowboys

Sunday Day · 21 June · One NZ Stadium
Cowboys logo

Cowboys hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Reed Mahoney (Hooker)

Warriors logo

Warriors hookers vs Cowboys

Softest of 17

Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Wayde Egan (Hooker)

Storm vs Raiders

Sunday Day · 21 June · AAMI Park
Raiders logo

Raiders centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Sebastian Kris (Centre), Matthew Timoko (Centre)

Raiders logo

Raiders middle forwards vs Storm

Toughest of 17

Storm concede 50.7 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.7 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Corey Horsburgh (Prop), Joseph Tapine (Prop), Jayden Brailey (Lock)

Roosters vs Sharks

Sunday Evening · 21 June · Allianz Stadium
Sharks logo

Sharks fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: William Kennedy (Fullback)

Sharks logo

Sharks wingers vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 46.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.5 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Sione Katoa (Winger), Ronaldo Mulitalo (Winger)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 16 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 16 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 16 late mail.

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