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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 23 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 23. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 23 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 23

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Roosters logo

Roosters edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Salesi Foketi (Second Row), Siua Wong (Second Row)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Cody Walker (Five-Eighth), Ashton Ward (Halfback)

Sharks logo

Sharks fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: William Kennedy (Fullback)

Panthers logo

Panthers hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Freddy Lussick (Hooker)

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Tolutau Koula (Centre), Reuben Garrick (Centre)

Titans vs Cowboys

Thursday Night · 6 August · Cbus Super Stadium
Titans logo

Titans hookers vs Cowboys

Softest of 17

Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Sam Verrills (Hooker)

Cowboys logo

Cowboys middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Griffin Neame (Prop), Jason Taumalolo (Prop), Reuben Cotter (Lock)

Warriors vs Panthers

Friday Night · 7 August · Go Media Stadium
Panthers logo

Panthers hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Freddy Lussick (Hooker)

Warriors logo

Warriors wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 47.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.1 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Dallin Watene-Zelezniak (Winger), Alofiana Khan-Pereira (Winger)

Roosters vs Bulldogs

Friday Night · 7 August · Allianz Stadium
Roosters logo

Roosters edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Salesi Foketi (Second Row), Siua Wong (Second Row)

Bulldogs logo

Bulldogs fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Connor Tracey (Fullback)

Storm vs Sea Eagles

Saturday Day · 8 August · HBF Park
Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Tolutau Koula (Centre), Reuben Garrick (Centre)

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles middle forwards vs Storm

Toughest of 17

Storm concede 50.7 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.7 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Taniela Paseka (Prop), Jake Trbojevic (Lock), Simione Laiafi (Prop)

Dolphins vs Broncos

Saturday Evening · 8 August · Suncorp Stadium
Broncos logo

Broncos wingers vs Dolphins

2nd toughest of 17

Dolphins concede 46.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.2 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Josiah Karapani (Winger), Grant Anderson (Winger)

Broncos logo

Broncos middle forwards vs Dolphins

2nd softest of 17

Dolphins concede 58.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.7 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Xavier Willison (Prop), Payne Haas (Prop), Patrick Carrigan (Lock)

Rabbitohs vs Eels

Saturday Night · 8 August · Allianz Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Cody Walker (Five-Eighth), Ashton Ward (Halfback)

Eels logo

Eels hookers vs Rabbitohs

4th softest of 17

Rabbitohs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 4.9 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Ryley Smith (Hooker)

Raiders vs Knights

Sunday Day · 9 August · GIO Stadium
Raiders logo

Raiders fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.

Named there: Kaeo Weekes (Fullback)

Knights logo

Knights edge forwards vs Raiders

Softest of 17

Raiders concede 67.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.7 above the competition average of 62.8 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Jermaine McEwen (Second Row), Francis Manuleleua (Second Row)

Dragons vs Sharks

Sunday Day · 9 August · Jubilee Oval
Sharks logo

Sharks fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: William Kennedy (Fullback)

Sharks logo

Sharks wingers vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 65.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 8.8 above the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Sione Katoa (Winger), Ronaldo Mulitalo (Winger)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 23 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 23 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 23 late mail.

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