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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 27 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 27. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 27 team lists have not been named yet. The positional numbers are ready and this page fills in the moment the sides are published, usually Tuesday afternoon.

Bulldogs vs Broncos

Thursday Night · 3 September · Accor Stadium

No positional outlier in this one: both defences sit inside a standard deviation of the competition average everywhere they are named.

Titans vs Dolphins

Friday Evening · 4 September · Cbus Super Stadium

No positional outlier in this one: both defences sit inside a standard deviation of the competition average everywhere they are named.

Rabbitohs vs Roosters

Friday Night · 4 September · Allianz Stadium

No positional outlier in this one: both defences sit inside a standard deviation of the competition average everywhere they are named.

Warriors vs Sea Eagles

Saturday Evening · 5 September · Go Media Stadium

No positional outlier in this one: both defences sit inside a standard deviation of the competition average everywhere they are named.

Cowboys vs Raiders

Saturday Evening · 5 September · Queensland Country Bank Stadium

No positional outlier in this one: both defences sit inside a standard deviation of the competition average everywhere they are named.

Sharks vs Storm

Saturday Night · 5 September · Sharks Stadium

No positional outlier in this one: both defences sit inside a standard deviation of the competition average everywhere they are named.

Dragons vs Eels

Sunday Day · 6 September · WIN Stadium

No positional outlier in this one: both defences sit inside a standard deviation of the competition average everywhere they are named.

Panthers vs Wests Tigers

Sunday Day · 6 September · CommBank Stadium

No positional outlier in this one: both defences sit inside a standard deviation of the competition average everywhere they are named.

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 27 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 27 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 27 late mail.

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