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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 3 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 3. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 3 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 3

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Raiders logo

Raiders edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Hudson Young (Second Row), Noah Martin (Second Row)

Dragons logo

Dragons halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Kyle Flanagan (Five-Eighth), Daniel Atkinson (Halfback)

Knights logo

Knights hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Phoenix Crossland (Hooker)

Broncos logo

Broncos centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Kotoni Staggs (Centre), Deine Mariner (Centre)

Panthers logo

Panthers fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Dylan Edwards (Fullback)

Raiders vs Bulldogs

Thursday Night · 19 March · GIO Stadium
Raiders logo

Raiders edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Hudson Young (Second Row), Noah Martin (Second Row)

Bulldogs logo

Bulldogs edge forwards vs Raiders

Softest of 17

Raiders concede 67.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.7 above the competition average of 62.8 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Viliame Kikau (Second Row), Jacob Preston (Second Row)

Roosters vs Panthers

Friday Evening · 20 March · Allianz Stadium
Panthers logo

Panthers fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Dylan Edwards (Fullback)

Panthers logo

Panthers wingers vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 46.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.5 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Thomas Jenkins (Winger), Brian To'o (Winger)

Storm vs Broncos

Friday Night · 20 March · AAMI Park
Broncos logo

Broncos centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Kotoni Staggs (Centre), Deine Mariner (Centre)

Broncos logo

Broncos middle forwards vs Storm

Toughest of 17

Storm concede 50.7 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.7 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Corey Jensen (Prop), Payne Haas (Prop), Patrick Carrigan (Lock)

Knights vs Warriors

Saturday Day · 21 March · McDonald Jones Stadium
Knights logo

Knights hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Phoenix Crossland (Hooker)

Warriors logo

Warriors fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.

Named there: Taine Tuaupiki (Fullback)

Sharks vs Dolphins

Saturday Evening · 21 March · Sharks Stadium
Sharks logo

Sharks wingers vs Dolphins

2nd toughest of 17

Dolphins concede 46.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.2 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Sione Katoa (Winger), Samuel Stonestreet (Winger)

Sharks logo

Sharks middle forwards vs Dolphins

2nd softest of 17

Dolphins concede 58.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.7 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Addin Fonua-Blake (Prop), Thomas Hazelton (Prop), Jesse Colquhoun (Lock)

Rabbitohs vs Wests Tigers

Saturday Night · 21 March · Polytec Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs hookers vs Wests Tigers

2nd softest of 17

Wests Tigers concede 56.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Bronson Garlick (Hooker)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers hookers vs Rabbitohs

4th softest of 17

Rabbitohs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 4.9 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Apisai Koroisau (Hooker)

Eels vs Dragons

Sunday Day · 22 March · CommBank Stadium
Dragons logo

Dragons halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Kyle Flanagan (Five-Eighth), Daniel Atkinson (Halfback)

Eels logo

Eels fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Isaiah Iongi (Fullback)

Cowboys vs Titans

Sunday Evening · 22 March · Queensland Country Bank Stadium
Titans logo

Titans hookers vs Cowboys

Softest of 17

Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Sam Verrills (Hooker)

Cowboys logo

Cowboys middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Coen Hess (Prop), Jason Taumalolo (Prop), Reuben Cotter (Lock)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 3 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 3 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 3 late mail.

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