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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 9 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 9. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 9 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 9

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Cowboys logo

Cowboys edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Heilum Luki (Second Row), Jeremiah Nanai (Second Row)

Warriors logo

Warriors halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Chanel Harris-Tavita (Five-Eighth), Tanah Boyd (Halfback)

Dolphins logo

Dolphins centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Trai Fuller (Centre), Herbie Farnworth (Centre)

Broncos logo

Broncos fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Reece Walsh (Fullback)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.

Named there: Matthew Dufty (Fullback)

Bulldogs vs Cowboys

Friday Evening · 1 May · Accor Stadium
Cowboys logo

Cowboys edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Heilum Luki (Second Row), Jeremiah Nanai (Second Row)

Bulldogs logo

Bulldogs hookers vs Cowboys

Softest of 17

Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Bailey Hayward (Hooker)

Dolphins vs Storm

Friday Night · 1 May · Suncorp Stadium
Dolphins logo

Dolphins centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Trai Fuller (Centre), Herbie Farnworth (Centre)

Storm logo

Storm wingers vs Dolphins

2nd toughest of 17

Dolphins concede 46.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.2 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Will Warbrick (Winger), Hugo Peel (Winger)

Titans vs Raiders

Saturday Day · 2 May · Cbus Super Stadium
Raiders logo

Raiders middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Corey Horsburgh (Prop), Joseph Tapine (Prop), Jayden Brailey (Lock)

Raiders logo

Raiders centres vs Titans

2nd softest of 17

Titans concede 66.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 7.8 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Sebastian Kris (Centre), Matthew Timoko (Centre)

Eels vs Warriors

Saturday Evening · 2 May · CommBank Stadium
Warriors logo

Warriors halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Chanel Harris-Tavita (Five-Eighth), Tanah Boyd (Halfback)

Eels logo

Eels hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Ryley Smith (Hooker)

Roosters vs Broncos

Saturday Night · 2 May · Allianz Stadium
Broncos logo

Broncos fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Reece Walsh (Fullback)

Broncos logo

Broncos wingers vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 46.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.5 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Josiah Karapani (Winger), Deine Mariner (Winger)

Knights vs Rabbitohs

Sunday Day · 3 May · McDonald Jones Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.

Named there: Matthew Dufty (Fullback)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs edge forwards vs Knights

2nd toughest of 17

Knights concede 58.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Keaon Koloamatangi (Second Row), Tallis Duncan (Second Row)

Sharks vs Wests Tigers

Sunday Day · 3 May · Sharks Stadium
Sharks logo

Sharks hookers vs Wests Tigers

2nd softest of 17

Wests Tigers concede 56.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Blayke Brailey (Hooker)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers halves vs Sharks

2nd toughest of 17

Sharks concede 52.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 7.2 below the competition average of 59.2 across 43 player-games.

Named there: Jarome Luai (Five-Eighth), Adam Doueihi (Halfback)

Panthers vs Sea Eagles

Sunday Evening · 3 May · CommBank Stadium
Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 47.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.1 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Jason Saab (Winger), Lehi Hopoate (Winger)

Panthers logo

Panthers middle forwards vs Sea Eagles

4th toughest of 17

Sea Eagles concede 52.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 2.4 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Moses Leota (Prop), Lindsay Smith (Prop), Isaah Yeo (Lock)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 9 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 9 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 9 late mail.

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