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GWS Giants vs Gold Coast Suns Prediction & Match Analysis — AFL Round 22 2026
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages — head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Gold Coast Suns by 1-11
Model score: GWS Giants 87 — 98 Gold Coast Suns
Total points: the model's 185-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty — injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 5 meetings it is GWS Giants 4, Gold Coast Suns 1, averaging 176.6 total points per game. GWS Giants have won 1 of their last 5. Gold Coast Suns have won 3 of their last 5.
Last 5 meetings: GWS Giants 4, Gold Coast Suns 1 — averaging 176.6 total points per game.
- 53 — 134 @ Western Bulldogs14 Mar 2026
- 74 — 78 v St Kilda Saints21 Mar 2026
- 54 — 87 @ Collingwood Magpies27 Mar 2026
- 131 — 75 v Richmond Tigers12 Apr 2026
- 66 — 107 @ Sydney Swans17 Apr 2026
- 131 — 72 v West Coast Eagles15 Mar 2026
- 128 — 60 @ Richmond Tigers21 Mar 2026
- 89 — 109 @ Melbourne Demons5 Apr 2026
- 68 — 100 @ Sydney Swans11 Apr 2026
- 119 — 110 v Essendon Bombers18 Apr 2026
GWS Giants
- Clayton Oliver
109.8 SC avg · 30.4 disposals · 0.2 goals · 3.1 marks (18 games)
- Lachie Whitfield
102.9 SC avg · 27.4 disposals · 0.0 goals · 5.9 marks (16 games)
- Lachie Ash
101.9 SC avg · 28.4 disposals · 0.1 goals · 7.7 marks (18 games)
- Finn Callaghan
97.6 SC avg · 26.9 disposals · 0.4 goals · 2.9 marks (18 games)
Gold Coast Suns
- Noah Anderson
106.1 SC avg · 27.9 disposals · 0.3 goals · 5.3 marks (18 games)
- Christian Petracca
100.7 SC avg · 24.8 disposals · 1.3 goals · 3.3 marks (17 games)
- Bodhi Uwland
99.4 SC avg · 23.7 disposals · 0.1 goals · 6.3 marks (19 games)
- John Noble
99.3 SC avg · 25.9 disposals · 0.4 goals · 6.9 marks (19 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members — to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 22 match previews page, with deeper club data on the GWS Giants and Gold Coast Suns team hubs.