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Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies Prediction, Tips & Preview - AFL Round 25 2026

Who wins Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies? Our form-based model leans Western Bulldogs by 12-23. Read the full preview below.

A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.

Round 25 · 2026
Friday 28 Aug 2026Marvel Stadium
Our prediction
Western Bulldogs logo

Western Bulldogs by 12-23

Model score: Western Bulldogs 8876 Collingwood Magpies

Total points: the model's 164-point expected total leans lower-scoring than a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).

How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.

What the numbers say

Across their last 3 meetings it is Western Bulldogs 2, Collingwood Magpies 1, averaging 172.7 total points per game. Western Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5. Collingwood Magpies have won 2 of their last 5.

Recent head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Western Bulldogs 2, Collingwood Magpies 1, averaging 172.7 total points per game.

Western Bulldogs 9793 Collingwood MagpiesRd 12 2026 · Docklands
Western Bulldogs 7076 Collingwood MagpiesRd 2 2025 · MCG
Collingwood Magpies 82100 Western BulldogsRd 12 2024 · Marvel Stadium
Form guide: last 5 games
Western Bulldogs logo
Western BulldogsWWWLL
  • 13453 v GWS Giants14 Mar 2026
  • 9488 @ Adelaide Crows20 Mar 2026
  • 9965 v Essendon Bombers5 Apr 2026
  • 64104 @ Hawthorn Hawks11 Apr 2026
  • 56131 @ Geelong Cats17 Apr 2026
Collingwood Magpies logo
Collingwood MagpiesLWLLW
  • 7993 v Adelaide Crows14 Mar 2026
  • 8754 v GWS Giants27 Mar 2026
  • 65119 @ Brisbane Lions2 Apr 2026
  • 3945 v Fremantle Dockers10 Apr 2026
  • 8883 @ Carlton Blues16 Apr 2026
Key players: season averages

Western Bulldogs

  • Marcus Bontempelli

    117.2 SC avg · 26.3 disposals · 1.4 goals · 4.1 marks (22 games)

  • Ed Richards

    111.1 SC avg · 26.0 disposals · 0.9 goals · 3.7 marks (22 games)

  • Bailey Dale

    102.3 SC avg · 27.0 disposals · 0.1 goals · 4.6 marks (18 games)

  • Tim English

    100.1 SC avg · 14.7 disposals · 0.4 goals · 4.7 marks (15 games)

Collingwood Magpies

  • Nick Daicos

    119.5 SC avg · 34.9 disposals · 1.1 goals · 4.0 marks (22 games)

  • Josh Daicos

    95.5 SC avg · 27.2 disposals · 0.0 goals · 5.9 marks (23 games)

  • Darcy Cameron

    94.0 SC avg · 17.6 disposals · 0.1 goals · 3.7 marks (22 games)

  • Jordan De Goey

    86.2 SC avg · 21.7 disposals · 0.9 goals · 5.0 marks (21 games)

Go deeper before lockout

Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members, to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.

More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 25 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Western Bulldogs and Collingwood Magpies team hubs.