Defenders
Luke Ryan (Dockers v Crows) · Avg: 98.0 · Pred: 98.4
Adelaide are the league’s 2nd-easiest matchup for intercept + rebound-50 rate conceded (+3.5%) — a genuinely strong number for an intercepting defender.
Jordan Clark (Dockers v Crows) · Avg: 96.3 · Pred: 95.2
Shares Ryan’s favourable Adelaide draw for intercept + rebound-50 rate conceded (+3.5%, 2nd) — good signs for a rebounding half-back looking to run and carry.
Karl Worner (Dockers v Crows) · Avg: 92.9 · Pred: 88.5
Rounds out the Fremantle defensive trio benefiting from the same +3.5% (2nd) Adelaide number for intercept + rebound-50 rate conceded.
Rory Laird (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 105.0 · Pred: 109.1
Fremantle sit at -0.8% (12th) for intercept + rebound-50 rate conceded — a mild negative, not a major concern but not a boost either. Laird’s own volume and rebound game are doing the work.
Josh Worrell (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 96.9 · Pred: 97.5
Shares Laird’s mild Fremantle headwind for intercept + rebound-50 rate conceded (-0.8%, 12th) as a genuine key defender relying on class over matchup.
Mark Keane (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 68.0 · Pred: 82.0
Same -0.8% (12th) Fremantle number for intercept + rebound-50 rate conceded as his Adelaide teammates — a below-average draw offset by a prediction well above his own season average.
Max Michalanney (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 70.9 · Pred: 71.2
Completes the Adelaide defensive unit against the same mildly unfavourable Fremantle number for intercept + rebound-50 rate conceded (-0.8%, 12th).
Midfielders
Andrew Brayshaw (Dockers v Crows) · Avg: 107.9 · Pred: 111.4
The best midfield matchup in the squad. Adelaide are the league’s 2nd-easiest team to win clearances against (+8.6%) — an excellent number for an inside midfielder.
Caleb Serong (Dockers v Crows) · Avg: 107.8 · Pred: 105.5
Shares Brayshaw’s strong Adelaide draw for clearance differential conceded (+8.6%, 2nd) — genuinely good news for another contested-ball Docker.
Hayden Young (Dockers v Crows) · Avg: 84.7 · Pred: 87.9
Rounds out the Fremantle midfield trio on the same +8.6% (2nd) Adelaide number for clearance differential conceded, with his own versatility across midfield and half-back adding upside on top.
Jordan Dawson (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 136.6 · Pred: 138.3
The toughest midfield draw in the squad, and it’s a significant one. Fremantle are the league’s 2nd-hardest team to win clearances against (-7.5%, 17th) — a genuinely difficult matchup. Dawson’s sheer class and output keep him in the squad despite it, with the highest prediction of the group.
Sam Berry (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 107.3 · Pred: 102.9
Shares Dawson’s tough Fremantle draw for clearance differential conceded (-7.5%, 17th) — selected on volume rather than any matchup edge.
James Peatling (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 96.8 · Pred: 94.2
Same difficult Fremantle clearance differential conceded number (-7.5%, 17th) as his Adelaide teammates — a genuinely hard matchup for a hard-running midfielder.
Jake Soligo (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 82.1 · Pred: 82.4
Completes the Adelaide midfield contingent against the same -7.5% (17th) Fremantle number for clearance differential conceded — the toughest draw on the board.
Rucks
Luke Jackson (Dockers v Crows) · Avg: 115.1 · Pred: 119.7
Adelaide are a mild positive for hitouts conceded (+1.2%, 7th) — a reasonable number for a ruck who also contributes heavily around the ground.
Lachlan McAndrew (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 95.3 · Pred: 102.1
The tougher ruck draw of the two. Fremantle rank 16th (-3.0%) for hitouts conceded — a genuinely hard matchup at the stoppages, with the prediction lift over his season average reflecting his own improving form rather than the opponent.
Forwards
Shai Bolton (Dockers v Crows) · Avg: 99.2 · Pred: 90.9
The toughest forward draw in the entire squad, in either direction. Adelaide are the league’s 2nd-hardest team for forward-50 entries conceded (-27.5%, 17th) — a genuinely brutal number for a small forward reliant on repeat entries. Bolton’s class is the only thing keeping this pick afloat, and his regular midfield minutes give him another way to find the ball beyond forward-half supply.
Josh Treacy (Dockers v Crows) · Avg: 95.8 · Pred: 89.9
Shares Bolton’s difficult Adelaide draw for forward-50 entries conceded (-27.5%, 17th) — a hard matchup for a key forward needing service inside 50.
Izak Rankine (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 108.7 · Pred: 109.8
The best forward matchup of the round. Fremantle rank 6th (+5.0%) for forward-50 entries conceded — a mild positive that suits a small forward thriving on scoreboard impact. Rankine also gets regular midfield time, adding upside beyond this matchup alone.
Josh Rachele (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 89.6 · Pred: 91.6
Shares Rankine’s favourable Fremantle draw for forward-50 entries conceded (+5.0%, 6th) as a genuine crumbing forward.
Riley Thilthorpe (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 81.3 · Pred: 86.8
Same +5.0% (6th) Fremantle number for forward-50 entries conceded as his Adelaide teammates — a modest positive for a key forward.
Darcy Fogarty (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 78.8 · Pred: 80.1
Rounds out the Adelaide forward line on the same +5.0% (6th) Fremantle draw for forward-50 entries conceded — a genuine key forward whose selection gives the line some marking presence alongside the smalls.
Ben Keays (Crows v Dockers) · Avg: 75.4 · Pred: 78.7
Completes the squad on the same favourable Fremantle forward-50 entries conceded number (+5.0%, 6th) — Keays’s forward-midfield swing role adds a further source of output beyond the forward-50 matchup alone.
