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Welcome to The Stats Lab, your new home for advanced analysis and insights for fantasy sportsWelcome to The Stats Lab

NFL Fantasy Value Picks 2026

Where the market and our projections disagree. A positive gap means the market drafts a player later than our value says it should — a value pick. Negative gaps are reaches. Free and sortable.

PPR Half PPR Standard

snapshot 2026-08-25 · 216 players

Half PPR Value Board

216 players

#	Player	Team	Pos	ADP	ADP rank	VOR	VOR rank	Gap	Volatility
1	5001	HOU	TE	209.1	182	-0.3	86	+96	Steady
2	7002	NO	TE	187.2	163	3.0	76	+87	Steady
3	11603	SEA	TE	192.2	167	-3.1	89	+78	Lottery
4	12502	TEN	TE	237.2	203	-23.5	126	+77	Lottery
5	8111	TB	TE	247.4	214	-32.0	137	+77	Lottery
6	8210	WAS	TE	196.0	171	-7.5	98	+73	Lottery
7	8172	MIA	TE	244.5	211	-42.3	146	+65	Lottery
8	7600	PIT	TE	233.2	199	-32.7	139	+60	Lottery
9	8183	SF	QB	121.1	118	17.9	62	+56	Safe
10	9504	HOU	WR	237.9	204	-43.4	148	+56	Lottery
11	5012	BAL	TE	122.4	119	14.9	65	+54	Swing
12	12484	HOU	WR	194.3	169	-19.8	123	+46	Lottery
13	11646	CAR	WR	146.1	135	-3.6	90	+45	Swing
14	3214	NE	TE	148.6	137	-5.1	92	+45	Lottery
15	5844	MIN	TE	186.7	162	-18.6	117	+45	Steady
16	5022	PHI	TE	124.5	121	2.1	78	+43	Steady
17	11783	DAL	WR	240.9	206	-65.6	164	+42	Lottery
18	1466	KC	TE	95.3	95	30.3	53	+42	Safe
19	10222	GB	WR	103.9	102	18.1	61	+41	Swing
20	4217	SF	TE	87.6	87	34.3	46	+41	Safe
21	9228	CAR	QB	232.8	198	-57.4	157	+41	Safe
22	96	PIT	QB	235.8	201	-64.3	162	+39	Safe
23	9758	HOU	QB	207.5	180	-35.3	141	+39	Safe
24	5870	IND	QB	213.5	185	-43.1	147	+38	Safe
25	4943	SEA	QB	167.6	149	-17.4	113	+36	Safe
26	6804	GB	QB	167.5	148	-17.6	114	+34	Safe
27	7021	PIT	RB	83.0	83	30.4	52	+31	Swing
28	13349	PHI	TE	248.8	215	-94.2	186	+29	Lottery
29	3163	DET	QB	140.0	130	-9.5	101	+29	Safe
30	8228	PIT	RB	69.2	69	40.5	40	+29	Safe
31	12522	TEN	QB	216.1	188	-62.0	160	+28	Safe
32	10213	LV	WR	190.2	165	-32.3	138	+27	Lottery
33	9484	GB	TE	66.0	66	43.9	39	+27	Swing
34	12508	NYG	QB	101.3	101	6.0	75	+26	Swing
35	12545	NO	QB	175.0	154	-24.3	128	+26	Swing
36	1479	IND	WR	202.5	176	-47.5	150	+26	Lottery
37	8110	DAL	TE	107.8	106	0.2	80	+26	Steady
38	8131	NYG	TE	113.5	111	0.0	85	+26	Lottery
39	8142	IND	WR	96.9	96	11.0	70	+26	Safe
40	9500	IND	WR	108.0	107	0.1	81	+26	Safe
41	13285	NYG	WR	228.0	194	-74.0	169	+25	Lottery
42	8161	MIA	QB	195.0	170	-39.1	145	+25	Swing
43	9506	TB	RB	249.5	216	-95.5	191	+25	Lottery
44	13274	PIT	WR	244.7	212	-94.9	188	+24	Lottery
45	4033	LAC	TE	230.1	196	-77.0	172	+24	Lottery
46	5892	HOU	RB	46.9	46	66.7	22	+24	Safe
47	9480	JAX	TE	155.4	141	-18.7	118	+23	Steady
48	13311	MIA	WR	242.3	209	-94.6	187	+22	Lottery
49	10859	DET	TE	64.0	64	36.7	44	+20	Safe
50	4039	SEA	WR	205.3	178	-57.7	158	+20	Lottery
51	12517	CHI	TE	43.1	43	66.0	24	+19	Swing
52	7049	MIN	WR	200.9	175	-53.9	156	+19	Lottery
53	8134	BUF	WR	145.8	134	-18.2	115	+19	Steady
54	7594	CAR	RB	76.7	77	20.9	59	+18	Swing
55	11625	NYJ	WR	220.8	192	-79.5	175	+17	Lottery
56	12519	CHI	WR	58.3	58	40.5	41	+17	Swing
57	8167	GB	WR	68.0	68	31.7	51	+17	Swing
58	12518	IND	TE	51.0	51	47.9	35	+16	Swing
59	7553	ATL	TE	69.5	70	26.2	56	+14	Swing
60	5995	BAL	RB	229.0	195	-88.2	182	+13	Lottery
61	7611	NE	RB	76.2	76	15.3	63	+13	Swing
62	11563	DEN	QB	118.8	115	-10.4	103	+12	Safe
63	8136	WAS	RB	120.3	117	-12.0	105	+12	Lottery
64	13301	WAS	WR	246.6	213	-110.2	202	+11	Lottery
65	11618	TB	WR	198.9	173	-65.1	163	+10	Lottery
66	12506	CLE	TE	74.8	74	14.9	64	+10	Swing
67	12512	CLE	RB	48.0	48	44.1	38	+10	Swing
68	3294	DAL	QB	84.0	84	7.1	74	+10	Safe
69	4046	KC	QB	110.1	109	-7.6	99	+10	Safe
70	4892	TB	QB	151.9	139	-25.4	129	+10	Safe
71	11604	LV	TE	22.9	22	88.2	13	+9	Safe
72	13287	ARI	RB	27.4	28	71.4	19	+9	Swing
73	6783	CLE	WR	216.9	189	-84.7	180	+9	Lottery
74	7569	HOU	WR	23.3	23	78.7	14	+9	Safe
75	8130	ARI	TE	24.2	24	78.0	15	+9	Safe
76	12487	LA	TE	208.4	181	-78.5	173	+8	Lottery
77	12509	LAC	WR	219.1	191	-88.3	183	+8	Lottery
78	8148	DET	WR	57.7	57	34.0	49	+8	Safe
79	11637	BUF	WR	242.2	208	-108.6	201	+7	Lottery
80	12469	CLE	RB	191.3	166	-60.6	159	+7	Lottery
81	5872	SF	WR	131.1	126	-18.9	119	+7	Safe
82	6801	CIN	WR	38.0	38	55.4	31	+7	Safe
83	8155	NYJ	RB	32.8	32	65.0	26	+6	Safe
84	9224	CIN	RB	17.9	17	94.7	11	+6	Safe
85	11643	MIA	RB	243.6	210	-115.5	205	+5	Lottery
86	2449	WAS	WR	116.7	114	-15.2	109	+5	Steady
87	9226	MIA	RB	13.7	14	108.7	9	+5	Safe
88	3198	BAL	RB	16.4	16	93.8	12	+4	Safe
89	7526	DEN	WR	47.0	47	39.3	43	+4	Safe
90	7588	DAL	RB	33.8	33	61.6	29	+4	Safe
91	9997	BAL	WR	41.2	41	44.8	37	+4	Safe
92	12481	NYG	RB	37.2	37	49.7	34	+3	Swing
93	2216	SF	WR	61.9	61	22.4	58	+3	Safe
94	9486	PHI	WR	206.0	179	-79.6	176	+3	Lottery
95	9756	MIN	WR	100.1	100	-7.3	97	+3	Lottery
96	11624	KC	WR	127.9	123	-19.1	121	+2	Swing
97	4034	SF	RB	5.0	5	178.0	3	+2	Safe
98	6813	IND	RB	6.5	6	145.2	4	+2	Safe
99	8138	BUF	RB	9.7	9	118.5	7	+2	Safe
100	9488	SEA	WR	6.9	7	127.4	5	+2	Safe
101	8150	LA	RB	26.5	26	65.5	25	+1	Safe
102	8151	KC	RB	18.5	18	75.6	17	+1	Safe
103	13347	MIN	RB	241.2	207	-120.3	207	0	Lottery
104	5850	GB	RB	27.1	27	64.7	27	0	Safe
105	7547	DET	WR	8.3	8	109.0	8	0	Safe
106	9221	DET	RB	1.6	1	190.3	1	0	Safe
107	9509	ATL	RB	2.2	2	178.4	2	0	Safe
108	9754	LAC	WR	104.9	104	-11.4	104	0	Steady
109	10236	BUF	TE	92.5	92	-5.1	93	-1	Steady
110	6790	CHI	RB	48.7	49	33.4	50	-1	Safe
111	8144	NO	WR	31.4	31	51.5	32	-1	Safe
112	11560	CHI	QB	75.4	75	2.7	77	-2	Safe
113	5927	WAS	WR	53.3	53	27.0	55	-2	Safe
114	9493	LA	WR	4.5	4	120.4	6	-2	Safe
115	7543	NO	RB	41.7	42	36.5	45	-3	Safe
116	8112	ATL	WR	20.2	20	66.6	23	-3	Swing
117	8408	MIN	RB	99.3	99	-9.5	102	-3	Swing
118	9508	TEN	RB	171.9	151	-50.7	155	-4	Lottery
119	12507	LAC	RB	15.2	15	67.7	20	-5	Swing
120	4866	PHI	RB	11.5	11	75.8	16	-5	Safe
121	5846	PIT	WR	78.7	78	0.0	83	-5	Steady
122	5967	TEN	RB	79.5	79	0.0	84	-5	Steady
123	8676	SEA	WR	149.6	138	-38.3	143	-5	Lottery
124	11575	BUF	RB	209.2	183	-95.4	189	-6	Lottery
125	12490	JAX	RB	60.6	60	13.9	66	-6	Swing
126	5849	MIN	QB	146.6	136	-38.2	142	-6	Safe
127	6770	CIN	QB	54.5	54	20.3	60	-6	Safe
128	8121	NE	WR	128.2	124	-25.5	130	-6	Lottery
129	10219	JAX	RB	129.1	125	-26.8	132	-7	Lottery
130	10229	KC	WR	29.0	29	45.5	36	-7	Swing
131	12529	NE	RB	50.5	50	24.1	57	-7	Swing
132	13296	MIA	WR	202.7	177	-93.0	184	-7	Lottery
133	7564	CIN	WR	3.9	3	107.8	10	-7	Safe
134	8180	LV	WR	165.2	146	-50.4	153	-7	Lottery
135	9511	LAC	RB	162.8	145	-50.0	152	-7	Lottery
136	12492	DEN	WR	211.8	184	-96.8	192	-8	Lottery
137	6786	DAL	WR	10.9	10	74.9	18	-8	Safe
138	6904	PHI	QB	62.8	63	11.0	71	-8	Safe
139	7525	PHI	WR	34.2	34	40.1	42	-8	Safe
140	8137	DAL	WR	25.3	25	51.0	33	-8	Safe
141	11584	TB	RB	45.4	45	27.7	54	-9	Safe
142	11647	LAC	RB	239.7	205	-136.4	214	-9	Lottery
143	5859	NE	WR	19.7	19	63.5	28	-9	Swing
144	6794	MIN	WR	12.9	12	67.0	21	-9	Safe
145	11610	MIA	WR	182.0	160	-76.2	170	-10	Steady
146	12489	DEN	RB	81.5	81	-3.7	91	-10	Lottery
147	13317	TB	WR	236.7	202	-124.8	212	-10	Lottery
148	4137	ARI	RB	222.6	193	-111.2	203	-10	Lottery
149	10232	ARI	WR	89.0	89	-9.1	100	-11	Lottery
150	12526	CAR	WR	36.4	36	34.2	48	-12	Swing
151	12501	GB	WR	123.1	120	-27.4	133	-13	Lottery
152	7523	JAX	QB	97.6	98	-16.5	111	-13	Safe
153	11566	WAS	QB	65.4	65	1.1	79	-14	Safe
154	12535	DET	WR	218.9	190	-114.8	204	-14	Lottery
155	12533	WAS	RB	97.4	97	-16.6	112	-15	Swing
156	13405	WAS	RB	234.7	200	-139.6	215	-15	Lottery
157	12467	SF	RB	230.6	197	-128.0	213	-16	Lottery
158	7567	TB	RB	109.7	108	-20.0	124	-16	Lottery
159	9502	HOU	WR	184.3	161	-80.4	177	-16	Lottery
160	11586	LA	RB	93.8	93	-16.5	110	-17	Lottery
161	12527	LV	RB	13.6	13	58.0	30	-17	Swing
162	2133	LA	WR	55.3	55	8.7	73	-18	Steady
163	13320	ATL	WR	215.4	187	-117.0	206	-19	Lottery
164	12474	HOU	RB	142.2	131	-49.3	151	-20	Lottery
165	13269	LV	QB	188.4	164	-93.4	185	-21	Swing
166	13330	NYJ	TE	174.8	153	-78.6	174	-21	Lottery
167	11581	GB	RB	180.4	158	-87.4	181	-23	Lottery
168	12457	DAL	RB	214.4	186	-123.1	209	-23	Lottery
169	9487	JAX	WR	72.3	72	-6.2	95	-23	Steady
170	4199	MIN	RB	111.4	110	-28.6	134	-24	Steady
171	6819	PIT	WR	104.8	103	-24.1	127	-24	Steady
172	13337	KC	RB	199.0	174	-106.0	199	-25	Lottery
173	8146	NYJ	WR	44.4	44	13.1	69	-25	Safe
174	11576	NYJ	RB	193.3	168	-102.0	194	-26	Lottery
175	421	LA	QB	106.1	105	-25.9	131	-26	Safe
176	4984	BUF	QB	20.8	21	34.3	47	-26	Safe
177	8126	TEN	WR	115.0	113	-33.2	140	-27	Steady
178	12493	LAC	TE	144.7	133	-63.4	161	-28	Lottery
179	4037	TB	WR	94.9	94	-19.7	122	-28	Swing
180	5947	JAX	WR	118.9	116	-38.8	144	-28	Steady
181	11635	LAC	WR	39.3	39	13.3	68	-29	Safe
182	13281	NO	WR	90.3	91	-19.0	120	-29	Lottery
183	8154	ATL	RB	170.5	150	-81.2	179	-29	Lottery
184	11564	NE	QB	52.3	52	0.0	82	-30	Safe
185	4035	NO	RB	153.8	140	-76.4	171	-31	Lottery
186	11620	CHI	WR	62.4	62	-5.5	94	-32	Swing
187	4881	BAL	QB	34.4	35	13.4	67	-32	Safe
188	4983	BUF	WR	55.3	56	-2.7	88	-32	Swing
189	5045	DEN	WR	82.6	82	-18.5	116	-34	Steady
190	11628	ARI	WR	73.6	73	-14.8	108	-35	Steady
191	11631	JAX	WR	71.3	71	-14.7	107	-36	Steady
192	13288	TEN	RB	197.3	172	-121.3	208	-36	Lottery
193	13346	CLE	WR	157.6	142	-80.9	178	-36	Lottery
194	13286	SEA	RB	59.4	59	-6.9	96	-37	Lottery
195	13298	CLE	WR	114.6	112	-46.3	149	-37	Lottery
196	8205	DET	RB	172.9	152	-95.5	190	-38	Lottery
197	11655	NYG	RB	134.7	129	-72.4	168	-39	Lottery
198	13276	NYJ	WR	178.4	156	-102.3	195	-39	Lottery
199	13279	TEN	WR	67.7	67	-12.5	106	-39	Lottery
200	8132	ARI	RB	132.8	127	-70.4	167	-40	Lottery
201	11632	NYG	WR	30.4	30	8.9	72	-42	Swing
202	13417	SF	WR	125.4	122	-68.3	166	-44	Lottery
203	12530	JAX	WR	177.5	155	-108.2	200	-45	Lottery
204	12534	CHI	RB	90.2	90	-28.8	135	-45	Lottery
205	6797	LAC	QB	80.6	80	-22.0	125	-45	Safe
206	9225	PHI	RB	166.6	147	-98.2	193	-46	Lottery
207	12514	TB	WR	40.0	40	-2.5	87	-47	Swing
208	6806	DEN	RB	85.0	85	-29.2	136	-51	Steady
209	13414	SF	RB	181.7	159	-124.6	211	-52	Lottery
210	13305	LV	RB	159.3	143	-104.8	198	-55	Lottery
211	13413	KC	WR	179.8	157	-143.9	216	-59	Lottery
212	13345	DEN	RB	143.9	132	-104.1	197	-65	Lottery
213	11583	CAR	RB	88.5	88	-50.5	154	-66	Lottery
214	13293	BAL	WR	160.7	144	-124.0	210	-66	Lottery
215	9753	SEA	RB	132.9	128	-103.8	196	-68	Lottery
216	13294	PHI	WR	86.8	86	-66.2	165	-79	Lottery

How the gap is measured

We take value over the projected QB10 / RB30 / WR30 / TE15 (VOR) and rank every player two ways within this board: by ADP and by VOR. The gap is the ADP rank minus the VOR rank. A player our model ranks a round earlier than his ADP shows a positive gap — the market is letting him slide. A player the market pays up for shows a negative gap. Ranks are computed over the same joined pool, so a gap of zero means the market and our value agree exactly.

Cross-check with the tier cheat sheet, the live ADP board and the rest of the draft kit.

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