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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NFL Fantasy Value Picks 2026

Where the market and our projections disagree. A positive gap means the market drafts a player later than our value says it should — a value pick. Negative gaps are reaches. Free and sortable.

snapshot 2026-10-15 · 208 players
PPR Value Board
208 players
#PlayerTeamPosADPADP rankVORVOR rankGapVolatility
19228
CAR logo
CAR
QB226.3196-5.288+108
Safe
212484
HOU logo
HOU
WR226.5197-31.5112+85
Lottery
37002
NO logo
NO
TE175.415211.967+85
Steady
411646
CAR logo
CAR
WR146.513428.451+83
Swing
58183
SF logo
SF
QB122.111654.739+77
Safe
69480
JAX logo
JAX
TE161.91434.278+65
Lottery
712522
TEN logo
TEN
QB229.8208-56.1146+62
Safe
812545
NO logo
NO
QB181.5156-19.797+59
Swing
95844
MIN logo
MIN
TE163.4144-3.386+58
Lottery
108172
MIA logo
MIA
TE229.7207-57.5149+58
Lottery
117594
CAR logo
CAR
RB80.58084.025+55
Swing
125001
HOU logo
HOU
TE178.8154-20.8100+54
Lottery
137523
JAX logo
JAX
QB102.79939.646+53
Safe
1496
PIT logo
PIT
QB228.8204-59.7152+52
Safe
159758
HOU logo
HOU
QB199.2170-36.8118+52
Safe
166804
GB logo
GB
QB158.3140-5.589+51
Safe
173163
DET logo
DET
QB131.51227.072+50
Safe
188161
MIA logo
MIA
QB206.9177-42.3127+50
Swing
198131
NYG logo
NYG
TE105.910127.453+48
Swing
2011576
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB209.1179-44.9132+47
Lottery
214217
SF logo
SF
TE79.97967.632+47
Safe
2211603
SEA logo
SEA
TE187.6161-33.5115+46
Lottery
2312501
GB logo
GB
WR125.81178.871+46
Swing
248228
PIT logo
PIT
RB70.37085.224+46
Safe
2512492
DEN logo
DEN
WR227.2199-65.9156+43
Lottery
265022
PHI logo
PHI
TE119.01139.970+43
Safe
275012
BAL logo
BAL
TE125.81185.277+41
Swing
281466
KC logo
KC
TE89.08830.750+38
Safe
294046
KC logo
KC
QB110.210610.168+38
Safe
307611
NE logo
NE
RB78.47846.341+37
Swing
319487
JAX logo
JAX
WR71.17164.234+37
Swing
3211559
ATL logo
ATL
QB227.9201-87.7167+34
Swing
3310232
ARI logo
ARI
WR88.58725.255+32
Swing
3412474
HOU logo
HOU
RB147.0135-22.7103+32
Lottery
3513346
CLE logo
CLE
WR169.0148-33.6116+32
Lottery
362216
SF logo
SF
WR62.96369.431+32
Safe
374199
MIN logo
MIN
RB127.9119-4.087+32
Steady
385849
MIN logo
MIN
QB150.5137-24.8105+32
Safe
393214
NE logo
NE
TE141.9129-19.798+31
Lottery
408167
GB logo
GB
WR66.06662.335+31
Swing
4111610
MIA logo
MIA
WR176.6153-40.2123+30
Steady
4210213
LV logo
LV
WR202.7173-55.5144+29
Lottery
4313330
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE172.0149-37.8120+29
Lottery
4412487
LA logo
LA
TE204.4175-58.5150+25
Swing
458210
WAS logo
WAS
TE188.2162-48.0137+25
Lottery
4612469
CLE logo
CLE
RB208.5178-64.8155+23
Lottery
479997
BAL logo
BAL
WR41.54199.218+23
Safe
486790
CHI logo
CHI
RB49.44979.927+22
Safe
497588
DAL logo
DAL
RB32.632125.010+22
Safe
5013269
LV logo
LV
QB201.8172-59.5151+21
Swing
518150
LA logo
LA
RB26.827128.98+19
Safe
5212489
DEN logo
DEN
RB82.38215.564+18
Swing
534943
SEA logo
SEA
QB161.7142-40.4124+18
Safe
547528
NYG logo
NYG
RB221.3188-93.5170+18
Lottery
5511563
DEN logo
DEN
QB116.4111-18.595+16
Safe
564035
NO logo
NO
RB166.3147-43.6131+16
Lottery
579757
NO logo
NO
RB224.8194-103.3178+16
Lottery
5811584
TB logo
TB
RB43.94374.428+15
Safe
5912490
JAX logo
JAX
RB62.66239.447+15
Swing
601479
IND logo
IND
WR205.3176-73.4161+15
Lottery
612133
LA logo
LA
WR50.15061.336+14
Safe
628151
KC logo
KC
RB19.919165.45+14
Safe
6310236
BUF logo
BUF
TE87.2866.773+13
Lottery
648126
TEN logo
TEN
WR121.8115-22.0102+13
Steady
659508
TEN logo
TEN
RB165.2146-45.3133+13
Lottery
6612457
PHI logo
PHI
RB228.6202-139.7190+12
Lottery
677049
MIN logo
MIN
WR212.7183-94.9171+12
Lottery
6812498
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE224.3192-112.9181+11
Lottery
698146
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR44.54464.633+11
Safe
709753
SEA logo
SEA
RB149.0136-42.3125+11
Lottery
7112535
DET logo
DET
WR226.5198-132.2188+10
Lottery
7212536
HOU logo
HOU
WR213.7184-99.3174+10
Lottery
735872
SF logo
SF
WR130.0121-31.3111+10
Steady
748130
ARI logo
ARI
TE25.525106.815+10
Safe
758144
NO logo
NO
WR30.13089.920+10
Safe
7610859
DET logo
DET
TE57.75734.649+8
Safe
7712497
SEA logo
SEA
WR228.7203-148.1195+8
Lottery
789500
IND logo
IND
WR113.2109-21.9101+8
Steady
794033
LAC logo
LAC
TE223.6190-115.3184+6
Lottery
805870
IND logo
IND
QB200.3171-86.2165+6
Safe
813198
BAL logo
BAL
RB17.617117.312+5
Safe
8211604
LV logo
LV
TE23.22397.319+4
Safe
8312508
NYG logo
NYG
QB97.094-6.790+4
Swing
8413285
NYG logo
NYG
WR218.6186-114.5182+4
Lottery
855892
HOU logo
HOU
RB46.04645.442+4
Swing
869226
MIA logo
MIA
RB13.713128.69+4
Safe
879511
LAC logo
LAC
RB183.6158-63.4154+4
Lottery
8811624
KC logo
KC
WR134.6124-40.1121+3
Swing
8912540
TEN logo
TEN
WR229.4206-171.1203+3
Lottery
9013279
TEN logo
TEN
WR69.26912.366+3
Swing
9113288
TEN logo
TEN
RB227.2200-151.7197+3
Lottery
9213296
MIA logo
MIA
WR197.5169-86.9166+3
Lottery
933294
DAL logo
DAL
QB77.6776.175+2
Safe
944034
SF logo
SF
RB5.15186.53+2
Safe
954892
TB logo
TB
QB143.6132-42.7130+2
Safe
967569
HOU logo
HOU
WR24.32488.922+2
Safe
979488
SEA logo
SEA
WR6.76171.84+2
Safe
984881
BAL logo
BAL
QB31.43169.430+1
Safe
996813
IND logo
IND
RB7.17163.36+1
Safe
1008408
MIN logo
MIN
RB109.1105-23.2104+1
Swing
1014983
BUF logo
BUF
WR53.65427.3540
Swing
1025967
TEN logo
TEN
RB84.3840.0840
Steady
1039221
DET logo
DET
RB1.41248.310
Safe
1049509
ATL logo
ATL
RB2.72206.520
Safe
10511581
GB logo
GB
RB137.3125-42.3126-1
Lottery
10612506
CLE logo
CLE
TE73.5736.774-1
Lottery
10713268
BAL logo
BAL
WR229.2205-185.7206-1
Lottery
1089484
GB logo
GB
TE64.36412.765-1
Swing
10913337
KC logo
KC
RB203.4174-101.2176-2
Lottery
110421
LA logo
LA
QB94.492-18.194-2
Safe
1114984
BUF logo
BUF
QB21.32188.923-2
Safe
1127547
DET logo
DET
WR8.89121.711-2
Safe
1137567
TB logo
TB
RB111.8107-27.7109-2
Lottery
1149494
DEN logo
DEN
WR219.5187-138.1189-2
Lottery
11511575
BUF logo
BUF
RB224.6193-150.8196-3
Lottery
11612533
WAS logo
WAS
RB115.0110-31.9113-3
Lottery
1176786
DAL logo
DAL
WR10.010114.013-3
Safe
1189224
CIN logo
CIN
RB14.01499.217-3
Safe
1199493
LA logo
LA
WR4.94134.17-3
Safe
12012481
NYG logo
NYG
RB40.64041.444-4
Swing
1216801
CIN logo
CIN
WR36.03646.440-4
Safe
1228155
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB34.63457.338-4
Safe
1239504
HOU logo
HOU
WR196.4168-95.5172-4
Lottery
12411564
NE logo
NE
QB47.94727.452-5
Safe
12512527
LV logo
LV
RB16.71689.321-5
Swing
12612504
GB logo
GB
RB215.1185-140.8191-6
Lottery
1272449
WAS logo
WAS
WR104.6100-25.3106-6
Steady
1284039
SEA logo
SEA
WR195.1167-96.0173-6
Lottery
1298138
BUF logo
BUF
RB8.68111.114-6
Safe
13012455
KC logo
KC
RB226.3195-170.8202-7
Lottery
13112526
CAR logo
CAR
WR37.53740.645-8
Swing
13211560
CHI logo
CHI
QB71.5720.081-9
Safe
13312518
IND logo
IND
TE48.04822.857-9
Safe
1348112
ATL logo
ATL
WR20.92073.829-9
Safe
13512512
CLE logo
CLE
RB53.15316.463-10
Swing
13613281
NO logo
NO
WR116.4112-40.1122-10
Lottery
1375850
GB logo
GB
RB51.35117.661-10
Safe
1388110
DAL logo
DAL
TE98.696-25.6107-11
Lottery
1398132
ARI logo
ARI
RB143.3131-52.9142-11
Lottery
1408134
BUF logo
BUF
WR145.9133-55.9145-12
Steady
14111618
TB logo
TB
WR210.8180-145.4193-13
Lottery
1427564
CIN logo
CIN
WR3.53101.616-13
Safe
14312534
CHI logo
CHI
RB107.3103-34.5117-14
Lottery
1446794
MIN logo
MIN
WR12.11283.326-14
Safe
14512547
NE logo
NE
WR222.1189-172.8204-15
Lottery
1465947
JAX logo
JAX
WR129.3120-47.0136-16
Steady
14711565
NYG logo
NYG
QB224.2191-295.6208-17
Lottery
14813320
ATL logo
ATL
WR211.5181-153.8199-18
Lottery
14910229
KC logo
KC
WR29.12935.248-19
Swing
15012476
WAS logo
WAS
RB211.9182-158.8201-19
Lottery
15112493
LAC logo
LAC
TE152.1139-68.5158-19
Lottery
15213276
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR192.2166-118.0185-19
Lottery
1538154
ATL logo
ATL
RB173.7150-91.0169-19
Lottery
1547543
NO logo
NO
RB42.54216.862-20
Steady
15513298
CLE logo
CLE
WR120.7114-46.2135-21
Lottery
1565846
PIT logo
PIT
WR75.775-18.996-21
Steady
1576806
DEN logo
DEN
RB91.489-29.7110-21
Steady
15813414
SF logo
SF
RB174.8151-100.0175-24
Lottery
1596770
CIN logo
CIN
QB52.3526.076-24
Safe
1607526
DEN logo
DEN
WR44.9459.969-24
Swing
1615859
NE logo
NE
WR17.91845.343-25
Swing
1627525
PHI logo
PHI
WR33.73320.958-25
Safe
1638121
NE logo
NE
WR133.0123-56.9148-25
Lottery
1648136
WAS logo
WAS
RB140.5128-62.8153-25
Lottery
1654866
PHI logo
PHI
RB11.81157.437-26
Safe
1669225
PHI logo
PHI
RB182.9157-114.7183-26
Lottery
16712519
CHI logo
CHI
WR56.7560.083-27
Swing
1686904
PHI logo
PHI
QB58.258-1.185-27
Safe
1698180
LV logo
LV
WR184.9159-119.1186-27
Lottery
17011632
NYG logo
NYG
WR26.22624.656-30
Swing
1718676
SEA logo
SEA
WR151.2138-90.7168-30
Lottery
17211566
WAS logo
WAS
QB68.968-20.699-31
Safe
17312529
NE logo
NE
RB60.860-7.091-31
Swing
1746783
CLE logo
CLE
WR188.7163-146.2194-31
Lottery
17513287
ARI logo
ARI
RB28.62820.360-32
Swing
1768148
DET logo
DET
WR59.059-10.292-33
Safe
17710219
JAX logo
JAX
RB142.9130-79.4164-34
Lottery
1787021
PIT logo
PIT
RB86.485-37.0119-34
Lottery
17913345
DEN logo
DEN
RB164.9145-106.7180-35
Lottery
1808142
IND logo
IND
WR96.293-42.5128-35
Swing
1818205
DET logo
DET
RB191.7165-155.2200-35
Lottery
18213305
LV logo
LV
RB139.7127-77.2163-36
Lottery
1838137
DAL logo
DAL
WR22.42220.459-37
Safe
18411655
NYG logo
NYG
RB186.8160-152.0198-38
Lottery
1855927
WAS logo
WAS
WR55.455-18.193-38
Steady
1864037
TB logo
TB
WR92.190-42.6129-39
Swing
1879502
HOU logo
HOU
WR190.7164-184.2205-41
Lottery
18811586
LA logo
LA
RB100.397-50.2139-42
Lottery
18910222
GB logo
GB
WR108.0104-56.8147-43
Lottery
19012517
CHI logo
CHI
TE39.0390.082-43
Swing
1919756
MIN logo
MIN
WR101.398-52.2141-43
Lottery
19211635
LAC logo
LAC
WR35.5351.180-45
Swing
19313293
BAL logo
BAL
WR159.3141-129.6187-46
Lottery
19411620
CHI logo
CHI
WR65.965-33.1114-49
Lottery
19513413
KC logo
KC
WR179.3155-192.5207-52
Lottery
19613417
SF logo
SF
WR138.7126-103.7179-53
Lottery
1979754
LAC logo
LAC
WR112.9108-75.5162-54
Lottery
1986797
LAC logo
LAC
QB83.683-51.4140-57
Safe
1996819
PIT logo
PIT
WR106.0102-72.8160-58
Lottery
20011583
CAR logo
CAR
RB98.595-66.3157-62
Lottery
2015045
DEN logo
DEN
WR80.881-53.1143-62
Steady
20212507
LAC logo
LAC
RB15.4153.879-64
Lottery
2037553
ATL logo
ATL
TE67.567-46.0134-67
Lottery
20412514
TB logo
TB
WR38.538-27.6108-70
Swing
20513286
SEA logo
SEA
RB61.861-48.4138-77
Lottery
20611631
JAX logo
JAX
WR74.074-72.4159-85
Lottery
20713294
PHI logo
PHI
WR93.291-102.3177-86
Lottery
20811628
HOU logo
HOU
WR76.076-144.5192-116
Lottery

How the gap is measured

We take value over the projected QB10 / RB30 / WR30 / TE15 (VOR) and rank every player two ways within this board: by ADP and by VOR. The gap is the ADP rank minus the VOR rank. A player our model ranks a round earlier than his ADP shows a positive gap — the market is letting him slide. A player the market pays up for shows a negative gap. Ranks are computed over the same joined pool, so a gap of zero means the market and our value agree exactly.

Cross-check with the tier cheat sheet, the live ADP board and the rest of the draft kit.

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