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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NFL Fantasy Volatility Explorer

Floor vs ceiling for every projected starter. The colour is the model's own quadrant: high projected value with a dependable week-to-week range (Safe), high projected value but a wide week-to-week range (Swing), modest projected value with a dependable week-to-week range (Steady) and modest projected value where the case rests on upside weeks (Lottery). Click any point for the full player page.

Position
ADP from / to
to
Min games
580 players
Floor vs ceiling
SafeSwingSteadyLottery
Filtered players
PlayerTeamPosADPFloor (GDS)Ceiling (GDS)RiskVolatility
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET logo
DET
RB1.415.137.931
Safe
Josh Allen
BUF logo
BUF
QB20.018.537.524
Safe
Kenneth Walker
KC logo
KC
RB18.99.134.834
Safe
Lamar Jackson
BAL logo
BAL
QB34.118.934.322
Safe
Brock Purdy
SF logo
SF
QB127.416.533.724
Safe
Ollie Gordon
MIA logo
MIA
RB-0.432.669
Swing
Malik Willis
MIA logo
MIA
QB202.13.032.467
Swing
Jonathan Taylor
IND logo
IND
RB5.910.331.433
Safe
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET logo
DET
WR7.410.131.132
Safe
Bijan Robinson
ATL logo
ATL
RB2.514.229.926
Safe
Ashton Jeanty
LV logo
LV
RB17.77.129.847
Swing
Christian McCaffrey
SF logo
SF
RB4.113.129.726
Safe
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA logo
SEA
WR9.211.229.729
Safe
Bryce Young
CAR logo
CAR
QB234.611.829.430
Safe
Kirk Cousins
LV logo
LV
QB-9.728.834
Safe
Dak Prescott
DAL logo
DAL
QB86.614.328.723
Safe
Drake Maye
NE logo
NE
QB51.815.628.622
Safe
Jared Goff
DET logo
DET
QB142.112.528.422
Safe
Tua Tagovailoa
ATL logo
ATL
QB-10.328.438
Safe
Zay Flowers
BAL logo
BAL
WR39.810.428.433
Safe
Kyler Murray
MIN logo
MIN
QB150.912.428.329
Safe
Jalen Hurts
PHI logo
PHI
QB61.913.728.321
Safe
Jaxson Dart
NYG logo
NYG
QB111.110.928.255
Swing
Joe Burrow
CIN logo
CIN
QB54.114.328.222
Safe
Jordan Love
GB logo
GB
QB164.712.928.224
Safe
Javonte Williams
DAL logo
DAL
RB30.58.028.132
Safe
Trevor Lawrence
JAX logo
JAX
QB97.214.127.824
Safe
Chuba Hubbard
CAR logo
CAR
RB79.66.527.739
Swing
Jayden Daniels
WAS logo
WAS
QB71.214.127.623
Safe
Derrick Henry
BAL logo
BAL
RB14.311.627.629
Safe
Fernando Mendoza
LV logo
LV
QB209.35.227.584
Swing
Caleb Williams
CHI logo
CHI
QB74.010.327.426
Safe
Bo Nix
DEN logo
DEN
QB119.512.827.424
Safe
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN logo
CIN
WR3.48.527.234
Safe
Sam Darnold
SEA logo
SEA
QB177.09.627.130
Safe
De'Von Achane
MIA logo
MIA
RB13.811.026.927
Safe
Geno Smith
NYJ logo
NYJ
QB-9.626.827
Safe
Patrick Mahomes
KC logo
KC
QB117.213.426.818
Safe
Saquon Barkley
PHI logo
PHI
RB10.97.226.836
Safe
Puka Nacua
LA logo
LA
WR6.210.626.728
Safe
Drake London
ATL logo
ATL
WR21.57.826.436
Safe
James Cook
BUF logo
BUF
RB7.29.226.328
Safe
Mike Evans
SF logo
SF
WR63.79.425.936
Safe
DJ Moore
BUF logo
BUF
WR49.85.425.942
Swing
Tyler Shough
NO logo
NO
QB183.210.725.848
Swing
Parker Washington
JAX logo
JAX
WR68.13.825.845
Swing
Matthew Golden
GB logo
GB
WR118.42.925.662
Swing
Baker Mayfield
TB logo
TB
QB163.311.825.621
Safe
Justin Herbert
LAC logo
LAC
QB79.310.525.623
Safe
Matthew Stafford
LA logo
LA
QB105.811.225.023
Safe
CeeDee Lamb
DAL logo
DAL
WR11.310.424.834
Safe
Chase Brown
CIN logo
CIN
RB16.08.624.728
Safe
Chris Olave
NO logo
NO
WR29.19.324.633
Safe
C.J. Stroud
HOU logo
HOU
QB206.212.624.621
Safe
Jameis Winston
NYG logo
NYG
QB-1.324.566
Swing
Jacoby Brissett
ARI logo
ARI
QB-7.824.535
Safe
Tee Higgins
CIN logo
CIN
WR39.67.224.234
Safe
Christian Watson
GB logo
GB
WR65.66.024.142
Swing
Nico Collins
HOU logo
HOU
WR22.98.823.927
Safe
Aaron Rodgers
PIT logo
PIT
QB235.511.723.826
Safe
Michael Penix
ATL logo
ATL
QB-7.523.648
Swing
David Montgomery
HOU logo
HOU
RB42.76.123.640
Swing
Kyren Williams
LA logo
LA
RB23.412.323.622
Safe
TreVeyon Henderson
NE logo
NE
RB59.84.123.459
Swing
Jalen Coker
CAR logo
CAR
WR143.24.023.056
Swing
Cam Ward
TEN logo
TEN
QB228.110.523.036
Safe
Bucky Irving
TB logo
TB
RB47.27.722.829
Safe
D'Andre Swift
CHI logo
CHI
RB45.78.522.730
Safe
Justin Jefferson
MIN logo
MIN
WR12.78.722.733
Safe
Isaiah Likely
NYG logo
NYG
TE108.02.722.657
Swing
Brock Bowers
LV logo
LV
TE23.07.022.434
Safe
Bhayshul Tuten
JAX logo
JAX
RB58.83.722.453
Swing
A.J. Brown
NE logo
NE
WR19.35.822.338
Swing
Garrett Wilson
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR46.07.522.333
Safe
Luther Burden
CHI logo
CHI
WR60.35.622.258
Swing
Michael Wilson
ARI logo
ARI
WR89.94.921.545
Swing
Trey McBride
ARI logo
ARI
TE26.88.221.226
Safe
George Pickens
DAL logo
DAL
WR25.76.021.134
Safe
Davante Adams
LA logo
LA
WR55.36.820.933
Safe
George Kittle
SF logo
SF
TE83.05.820.933
Safe
Colston Loveland
CHI logo
CHI
TE43.83.520.861
Swing
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE logo
NE
RB69.25.020.839
Swing
Roman Wilson
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.020.773
Swing
Breece Hall
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB31.86.620.532
Safe
Malik Nabers
NYG logo
NYG
WR28.57.420.349
Swing
Rashee Rice
KC logo
KC
WR31.47.420.152
Swing
Travis Kelce
KC logo
KC
TE95.65.120.035
Safe
DeVonta Smith
PHI logo
PHI
WR33.56.420.036
Safe
Daniel Jones
IND logo
IND
QB219.88.919.927
Safe
Jaylen Waddle
DEN logo
DEN
WR44.65.619.937
Swing
Jaylen Warren
PIT logo
PIT
RB67.98.419.934
Safe
Carnell Tate
TEN logo
TEN
WR70.16.019.578
Swing
Jameson Williams
DET logo
DET
WR57.54.919.437
Safe
Ladd McConkey
LAC logo
LAC
WR35.16.019.238
Swing
Cam Skattebo
NYG logo
NYG
RB36.37.119.156
Swing
Mark Andrews
BAL logo
BAL
TE124.33.919.045
Swing
RJ Harvey
DEN logo
DEN
RB85.04.318.948
Swing
Emeka Egbuka
TB logo
TB
WR41.34.218.953
Swing
Jeremiyah Love
ARI logo
ARI
RB27.56.918.973
Swing
Dallas Goedert
PHI logo
PHI
TE127.24.718.936
Safe
Jordan Mason
MIN logo
MIN
RB91.23.718.543
Swing
Chris Godwin
TB logo
TB
WR87.95.018.355
Swing
Xavier Worthy
KC logo
KC
WR129.84.118.243
Swing
Terrance Ferguson
LA logo
LA
TE204.60.018.174
Swing
Alec Pierce
IND logo
IND
WR93.72.718.143
Swing
Quinshon Judkins
CLE logo
CLE
RB47.96.018.049
Swing
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR logo
CAR
WR38.27.517.853
Swing
Deshaun Watson
CLE logo
CLE
QB-10.317.843
Steady
Josh Downs
IND logo
IND
WR114.65.017.734
Steady
Josh Jacobs
GB logo
GB
RB53.37.517.629
Safe
Omarion Hampton
LAC logo
LAC
RB15.85.517.257
Lottery
DK Metcalf
PIT logo
PIT
WR78.35.417.231
Steady
Sam LaPorta
DET logo
DET
TE62.55.317.130
Safe
Rome Odunze
CHI logo
CHI
WR63.54.216.944
Lottery
Stefon Diggs
WAS logo
WAS
WR109.24.716.932
Steady
Pat Bryant
DEN logo
DEN
WR223.31.716.762
Lottery
Harold Fannin
CLE logo
CLE
TE77.85.316.747
Lottery
Deebo Samuel
SF logo
SF
WR133.73.516.737
Steady
Dalton Kincaid
BUF logo
BUF
TE94.23.716.639
Lottery
Kyle Monangai
CHI logo
CHI
RB100.13.216.554
Lottery
T.J. Hockenson
MIN logo
MIN
TE180.04.116.539
Lottery
Travis Etienne
NO logo
NO
RB37.65.516.531
Steady
Kenyon Sadiq
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE189.00.016.493
Lottery
Kenny Gainwell
TB logo
TB
RB106.92.016.456
Lottery
Tony Pollard
TEN logo
TEN
RB76.46.116.330
Steady
Tyler Goodson
DAL logo
DAL
RB-0.016.361
Lottery
Jayden Higgins
HOU logo
HOU
WR228.13.716.255
Lottery
Brenton Strange
JAX logo
JAX
TE166.43.016.238
Lottery
Tyjae Spears
TEN logo
TEN
RB167.62.916.048
Lottery
Terry McLaurin
WAS logo
WAS
WR55.75.815.830
Steady
Blake Corum
LA logo
LA
RB92.12.515.453
Lottery
Shedeur Sanders
CLE logo
CLE
QB-4.415.381
Lottery
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
WAS logo
WAS
RB101.73.315.358
Lottery
Kalif Raymond
CHI logo
CHI
WR-1.115.357
Lottery
Pat Freiermuth
PIT logo
PIT
TE230.33.115.348
Lottery
Rashod Bateman
BAL logo
BAL
WR-2.515.253
Lottery
Romeo Doubs
NE logo
NE
WR130.12.915.243
Lottery
Kendrick Bourne
ARI logo
ARI
WR-2.115.157
Lottery
Jordyn Tyson
NO logo
NO
WR119.82.815.086
Lottery
Aaron Jones
MIN logo
MIN
RB115.46.615.025
Steady
Jordan Addison
MIN logo
MIN
WR102.83.915.043
Lottery
Tyler Warren
IND logo
IND
TE50.05.514.938
Safe
Wan'Dale Robinson
TEN logo
TEN
WR122.65.314.836
Steady
Malik Washington
MIA logo
MIA
WR178.22.714.736
Steady
Quentin Johnston
LAC logo
LAC
WR103.42.214.745
Lottery
Dalton Schultz
HOU logo
HOU
TE205.93.514.538
Lottery
Juwan Johnson
NO logo
NO
TE162.24.514.533
Steady
Tucker Kraft
GB logo
GB
TE66.64.314.541
Swing
Woody Marks
HOU logo
HOU
RB134.14.914.448
Lottery
Brian Thomas
JAX logo
JAX
WR75.04.014.337
Lottery
Darren Waller
CAR logo
CAR
TE-3.214.270
Lottery
Jayden Reed
GB logo
GB
WR99.33.714.150
Lottery
AJ Barner
SEA logo
SEA
TE211.42.114.149
Lottery
Jaylin Noel
HOU logo
HOU
WR-0.014.166
Lottery
Jakobi Meyers
JAX logo
JAX
WR135.84.514.130
Steady
Courtland Sutton
DEN logo
DEN
WR82.94.514.036
Steady
J.K. Dobbins
DEN logo
DEN
RB84.95.214.030
Steady
Keenan Allen
IND logo
IND
WR179.83.513.941
Lottery
Michael Mayer
LV logo
LV
TE-1.613.957
Lottery
Dylan Sampson
CLE logo
CLE
RB191.21.513.877
Lottery
Tre' Harris
LAC logo
LAC
WR228.23.413.851
Lottery
Mike Gesicki
CIN logo
CIN
TE-1.813.855
Lottery
Justice Hill
BAL logo
BAL
RB220.22.813.850
Lottery
Rico Dowdle
PIT logo
PIT
RB81.33.813.744
Lottery
Jake Ferguson
DAL logo
DAL
TE116.92.513.442
Lottery
Alvin Kamara
NO logo
NO
RB165.33.513.243
Lottery
Jadarian Price
SEA logo
SEA
RB52.02.513.181
Lottery
Tre Tucker
LV logo
LV
WR183.93.513.054
Lottery
Adonai Mitchell
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR222.51.213.057
Lottery
KC Concepcion
CLE logo
CLE
WR110.43.212.971
Lottery
Hunter Henry
NE logo
NE
TE148.53.112.942
Lottery
Cade Otton
TB logo
TB
TE-3.412.946
Lottery
Devaughn Vele
NO logo
NO
WR-1.912.853
Lottery
Khalil Shakir
BUF logo
BUF
WR151.74.512.830
Steady
Zach Charbonnet
SEA logo
SEA
RB143.93.012.841
Lottery
Braelon Allen
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB187.61.612.758
Lottery
Brian Robinson
ATL logo
ATL
RB171.61.612.657
Lottery
Chig Okonkwo
WAS logo
WAS
TE188.52.412.542
Lottery
George Holani
SEA logo
SEA
RB-1.612.470
Lottery
Michael Pittman
PIT logo
PIT
WR107.62.212.439
Lottery
Dontayvion Wicks
PHI logo
PHI
WR203.11.612.457
Lottery
Rashid Shaheed
SEA logo
SEA
WR149.72.612.341
Lottery
MarShawn Lloyd
GB logo
GB
RB98.03.112.273
Lottery
Demarcus Robinson
SF logo
SF
WR-1.412.257
Lottery
Kayshon Boutte
HOU logo
HOU
WR175.32.212.249
Lottery
Keaton Mitchell
LAC logo
LAC
RB167.41.512.257
Lottery
Chris Bell
MIA logo
MIA
WR197.10.012.193
Lottery
Cooper Kupp
SEA logo
SEA
WR207.82.612.042
Lottery
Tyler Allgeier
ARI logo
ARI
RB131.62.411.842
Lottery
Chris Rodriguez
JAX logo
JAX
RB126.60.611.753
Lottery
Mike Washington
LV logo
LV
RB123.22.111.691
Lottery
Denzel Boston
CLE logo
CLE
WR169.67.911.552
Lottery
Keon Coleman
BUF logo
BUF
WR-2.511.445
Lottery
Ryan Flournoy
DAL logo
DAL
WR231.70.011.457
Lottery
Jauan Jennings
MIN logo
MIN
WR231.02.711.248
Lottery
Rachaad White
WAS logo
WAS
RB125.22.811.240
Lottery
Greg Dulcich
MIA logo
MIA
TE-0.011.261
Lottery
Marvin Mims
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.811.057
Lottery
Jonathon Brooks
CAR logo
CAR
RB87.71.210.985
Lottery
Elic Ayomanor
TEN logo
TEN
WR-2.110.949
Lottery
Caleb Douglas
MIA logo
MIA
WR201.22.010.883
Lottery
Jack Bech
LV logo
LV
WR-0.010.774
Lottery
Cody White
LV logo
LV
WR-0.010.774
Lottery
Jalen Nailor
LV logo
LV
WR170.60.910.757
Lottery
Kyle Pitts
ATL logo
ATL
TE71.31.910.555
Lottery
Isaac TeSlaa
DET logo
DET
WR229.50.010.469
Lottery
Germie Bernard
PIT logo
PIT
WR-2.210.391
Lottery
Ty Johnson
BUF logo
BUF
RB-1.810.349
Lottery
Darnell Washington
PIT logo
PIT
TE-1.410.349
Lottery
Noah Fant
NO logo
NO
TE-1.710.255
Lottery
Tyquan Thornton
KC logo
KC
WR-0.010.166
Lottery
Andrei Iosivas
CIN logo
CIN
WR-1.310.054
Lottery
Mack Hollins
NE logo
NE
WR-1.910.040
Lottery
Malik Davis
DAL logo
DAL
RB-0.310.086
Lottery
Darnell Mooney
NYG logo
NYG
WR-1.79.952
Lottery
Gunnar Helm
TEN logo
TEN
TE-2.39.758
Lottery
Jaylen Wright
MIA logo
MIA
RB223.90.69.559
Lottery
De'Zhaun Stribling
SF logo
SF
WR111.11.89.584
Lottery
Najee Harris
NYG logo
NYG
RB-2.69.549
Lottery
Evan Engram
DEN logo
DEN
TE-1.89.441
Lottery
Samaje Perine
CIN logo
CIN
RB-2.09.353
Lottery
Colby Parkinson
LA logo
LAR
TE-1.09.357
Lottery
Emanuel Wilson
SEA logo
SEA
RB-0.89.257
Lottery
Darius Cooper
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.09.074
Lottery
Oronde Gadsden
LAC logo
LAC
TE186.52.28.967
Lottery
DeMario Douglas
NE logo
NE
WR-1.68.853
Lottery
Calvin Austin
NYG logo
NYG
WR-0.78.657
Lottery
Noah Gray
KC logo
KC
TE-0.68.457
Lottery
Antonio Williams
WAS logo
WAS
WR238.22.98.379
Lottery
Omar Cooper
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR195.91.58.184
Lottery
Tory Horton
SEA logo
SEA
WR-0.08.083
Lottery
Malachi Fields
NYG logo
NYG
WR199.42.78.076
Lottery
Makai Lemon
PHI logo
PHI
WR90.61.98.070
Lottery
Jahan Dotson
ATL logo
ATL
WR-0.08.057
Lottery
Tank Bigsby
PHI logo
PHI
RB151.50.78.057
Lottery
Jalen McMillan
TB logo
TB
WR213.80.87.971
Lottery
Kaelon Black
SF logo
SF
RB161.32.37.981
Lottery
Cole Kmet
CHI logo
CHI
TE-0.97.957
Lottery
Devontez Walker
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.07.869
Lottery
Chris Brooks
GB logo
GB
RB-0.67.754
Lottery
Xavier Legette
CAR logo
CAR
WR-1.17.657
Lottery
Calvin Ridley
TEN logo
TEN
WR-1.17.553
Lottery
Kendre Miller
NO logo
NO
RB-2.07.560
Lottery
Raheim Sanders
CLE logo
CLE
RB-3.07.456
Lottery
Kyle Williams
NE logo
NE
WR-0.07.363
Lottery
Ted Hurst
TB logo
TB
WR-3.17.379
Lottery
Ja'Kobi Lane
BAL logo
BAL
WR147.31.47.284
Lottery
Laquon Treadwell
IND logo
IND
WR-0.07.283
Lottery
Foster Moreau
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.07.257
Lottery
Jalen Brooks
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.07.166
Lottery
Jonnu Smith
GB logo
GB
TE-0.76.957
Lottery
Jerry Jeudy
CLE logo
CLE
WR212.61.36.954
Lottery
Emmett Johnson
KC logo
KC
RB176.01.66.875
Lottery
Mason Taylor
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE-0.66.770
Lottery
Jonah Coleman
DEN logo
DEN
RB145.31.36.783
Lottery
Kimani Vidal
LAC logo
LAC
RB226.00.66.659
Lottery
Tommy Tremble
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.66.657
Lottery
Kevin Coleman
MIA logo
MIA
WR-0.06.393
Lottery
David Njoku
LAC logo
LAC
TE221.41.46.251
Lottery
Austin Ekeler
WAS logo
WAS
RB-1.76.250
Lottery
Will Shipley
PHI logo
PHI
RB-0.06.157
Lottery
Tez Johnson
TB logo
TB
WR-0.26.170
Lottery
Austin Hooper
ATL logo
ATL
TE-0.86.157
Lottery
Josh Oliver
MIN logo
MIN
TE-0.06.157
Lottery
Marvin Harrison
HOU logo
HOU
WR73.81.45.942
Lottery
Sione Vaki
DET logo
DET
RB-0.45.968
Lottery
Efton Chism
NE logo
NE
WR-0.05.980
Lottery
Konata Mumpfield
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.05.964
Lottery
Matt Hibner
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.05.893
Lottery
Isaiah Davis
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB-0.55.761
Lottery
Troy Franklin
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.85.657
Lottery
Eli Raridon
NE logo
NE
TE-2.25.566
Lottery
Charlie Kolar
LAC logo
LAC
TE-0.05.557
Lottery
Isaiah Bond
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.55.470
Lottery
Tyler Higbee
LA logo
LAR
TE-0.95.459
Lottery
Dawson Knox
BUF logo
BUF
TE-0.75.454
Lottery
Seth McGowan
IND logo
IND
RB-0.75.387
Lottery
Luke Musgrave
GB logo
GB
TE-0.55.363
Lottery
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU logo
HOU
WR-0.75.254
Lottery
Isaiah Williams
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.05.267
Lottery
Drew Lock
SEA logo
SEA
QB-0.05.279
Lottery
Joshua Palmer
BUF logo
BUF
WR-1.25.243
Lottery
KaVontae Turpin
DAL logo
DAL
WR-0.85.154
Lottery
Daniel Bellinger
TEN logo
TEN
TE-0.05.057
Lottery
Nate Adkins
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.04.957
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Drew Sample
CIN logo
CIN
TE-0.04.857
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Ray Davis
BUF logo
BUF
RB207.60.14.757
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Theo Johnson
NYG logo
NYG
TE-0.64.748
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Chimere Dike
TEN logo
TEN
WR-0.44.769
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Carson Beck
ARI logo
ARI
QB-0.94.786
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Brock Wright
DET logo
DET
TE-0.04.757
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Tyler Badie
DEN logo
DEN
RB-0.84.761
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Tyson Bagent
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CHI
QB-0.14.686
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Jake Tonges
SF logo
SF
TE-0.04.657
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Josh Cameron
JAX logo
JAX
WR-2.84.568
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Jalon Daniels
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TB
QB-0.94.581
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Emari Demercado
DAL logo
DAL
RB-0.44.461
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Jaydon Blue
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PHI
RB233.10.34.493
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Bryce Lance
NO logo
NO
WR-0.04.493
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Ameer Abdullah
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JAX
RB-0.24.457
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Skyy Moore
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GB
WR-0.84.447
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Jaleel McLaughlin
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CLE
RB-0.74.348
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Jalen Royals
KC logo
KC
WR-0.04.286
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Brycen Tremayne
CAR logo
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WR-0.04.167
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Jahdae Walker
CHI logo
CHI
WR-0.04.183
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Olamide Zaccheaus
ATL logo
ATL
WR-0.64.157
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Pierre Strong
GB logo
GB
RB-0.64.180
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Elijah Higgins
ARI logo
ARI
TE-0.34.057
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Zachariah Branch
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ATL
WR229.91.94.069
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Grant Calcaterra
PHI logo
PHI
TE-0.04.057
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Marcus Mariota
WAS logo
WAS
QB-0.03.959
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Gardner Minshew
ARI logo
ARI
QB-0.43.980
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DeeJay Dallas
MIN logo
MIN
RB-0.43.980
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Trevor Etienne
CAR logo
CAR
RB-0.73.864
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Tai Felton
MIN logo
MIN
WR-0.03.787
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Kaleb Johnson
GB logo
GB
RB196.90.53.768
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Cooper Rush
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ATL
QB-0.13.774
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Ashton Dulin
IND logo
IND
WR-0.03.759
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Mac Jones
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SF
QB-0.13.758
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John Bates
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WAS
TE-0.03.757
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Luke Farrell
SF logo
SF
TE-0.03.757
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Mitch Tinsley
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CIN
WR-0.03.674
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Jordan Whittington
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.03.657
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Elijah Arroyo
SEA logo
SEA
TE-0.03.673
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CJ Donaldson
NO logo
NO
RB-0.63.685
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Cade Klubnik
NYJ logo
NYJ
QB-0.73.686
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Zach Ertz
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PHI
TE-0.83.641
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Marquez Valdes-Scantling
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.03.661
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Devin Singletary
NYG logo
NYG
RB-0.53.653
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Lil'Jordan Humphrey
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.03.557
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Adam Trautman
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.03.557
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Jerome Ford
ARI logo
ARI
RB-0.33.561
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Erick All
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CIN
TE-0.03.480
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Brevyn Spann-Ford
DAL logo
DAL
TE-0.03.357
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Tanner Hudson
CIN logo
CIN
TE-0.33.361
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CJ Daniels
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.63.286
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Sam Roush
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CHI
TE-0.63.279
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Tyler Huntley
BAL logo
BAL
QB-0.83.268
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Blake Whiteheart
CLE logo
CLE
TE-0.63.143
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David Moore
CAR logo
CAR
WR-0.03.167
Lottery
Kaytron Allen
MIA logo
MIA
RB233.60.63.081
Lottery
Joe Flacco
CIN logo
CIN
QB-0.53.058
Lottery
Darius Slayton
IND logo
IND
WR-0.63.044
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Davis Allen
LA logo
LAR
TE-0.02.957
Lottery
Tyrone Tracy
NYG logo
NYG
RB153.70.62.949
Lottery
Mitchell Evans
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.02.969
Lottery
Dillon Gabriel
CLE logo
CLE
QB-0.12.983
Lottery
Case Keenum
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CHI
QB-0.52.981
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Johnny Mundt
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PHI
TE-0.02.957
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Tim Patrick
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.02.957
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Xavier Smith
SF logo
SF
WR-0.02.857
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Savion Williams
GB logo
GB
WR-0.12.883
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LeQuint Allen
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JAX
RB-0.32.857
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Marlin Klein
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.52.881
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Brenen Thompson
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.52.883
Lottery
Jalen Tolbert
MIA logo
MIA
WR-0.12.857
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Andy DaltonFAQB-0.22.884
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Luke Schoonmaker
DAL logo
DAL
TE-0.02.757
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Ben Sinnott
WAS logo
WAS
TE-0.02.757
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Jimmy Horn
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.02.779
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James Conner
ARI logo
ARI
RB225.31.12.745
Lottery
Dameon Pierce
PHI logo
PHI
RB-0.12.777
Lottery
Nicholas Singleton
TEN logo
TEN
RB214.10.52.683
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Will Kacmarek
MIA logo
MIA
TE-0.52.679
Lottery
Quinn Ewers
JAX logo
JAX
QB-0.42.580
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Nate Boerkircher
JAX logo
JAX
TE-0.02.588
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KhaDarel HodgeFAWR-0.02.560
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Brandon Aiyuk
SF logo
SF
WR-0.92.572
Lottery
Dyami Brown
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.02.557
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Jackson Hawes
BUF logo
BUF
TE-0.02.466
Lottery
Oscar Delp
NO logo
NO
TE-0.52.480
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Christian Kirk
SF logo
SF
WR-0.22.467
Lottery
Jeremy Ruckert
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE-0.02.457
Lottery
Devin Culp
CLE logo
CLE
TE-0.02.379
Lottery
Isiah Pacheco
DET logo
DET
RB194.10.62.345
Lottery
Tank Dell
HOU logo
HOU
WR191.00.82.360
Lottery
Jared Wayne
MIA logo
MIA
WR-1.02.264
Lottery
Michael Trigg
DAL logo
DAL
TE-0.42.286
Lottery
JuJu Smith-SchusterFAWR-0.02.257
Lottery
Mason Rudolph
PIT logo
PIT
QB-0.02.277
Lottery
Cedric Tillman
NO logo
NO
WR-0.12.164
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Joe Milton
DAL logo
DAL
QB-0.12.193
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Elijah Sarratt
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.42.184
Lottery
Joe Royer
CLE logo
CLE
TE-0.42.186
Lottery
Odell Beckham
MIN logo
MIN
WR-0.42.169
Lottery
Chris Moore
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.02.169
Lottery
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
IND logo
IND
WR-0.02.157
Lottery
Trey Lance
LAC logo
LAC
QB-0.12.189
Lottery
Audric Estime
CLE logo
CLE
RB-0.22.071
Lottery
Cade Stover
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.02.057
Lottery
Dohnte Meyers
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.52.088
Lottery
Josh Cuevas
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.02.093
Lottery
Eli Stowers
PHI logo
PHI
TE-0.42.086
Lottery
Lance MasonFATE-0.42.086
Lottery
Tanner Koziol
JAX logo
JAX
TE-0.42.081
Lottery
Derek CarrFAQB-1.22.046
Lottery
Tanner McKee
PHI logo
PHI
QB-0.12.091
Lottery
Tommy DeVito
NE logo
NE
QB-0.21.994
Lottery
Corey Kiner
NE logo
NE
RB-0.11.980
Lottery
Demond Claiborne
MIN logo
MIN
RB-0.41.980
Lottery
Jaren Kanak
TEN logo
TEN
TE-0.41.986
Lottery
Miles Kitselman
DET logo
DET
TE-0.41.986
Lottery
Davis Mills
HOU logo
HOU
QB-0.21.985
Lottery
Ben Skowronek
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.01.957
Lottery
Roschon Johnson
CHI logo
CHI
RB-0.11.874
Lottery
J.J. McCarthy
NYG logo
NYG
QB-0.51.865
Lottery
Jacob Cowing
SF logo
SF
WR-0.31.861
Lottery
Teddy BridgewaterFAQB-0.31.879
Lottery
Carson Wentz
MIN logo
MIN
QB-0.41.861
Lottery
Justin Fields
KC logo
KC
QB-0.21.859
Lottery
Treylon Burks
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.21.875
Lottery
Connor Heyward
LV logo
LV
RB-0.01.857
Lottery
Ty Chandler
NO logo
NO
RB-0.11.879
Lottery
Devin Neal
WAS logo
WAS
RB-0.31.777
Lottery
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.01.786
Lottery
Colbie Young
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.31.781
Lottery
Brandin Cooks
SF logo
SF
WR-0.41.754
Lottery
Travis Homer
PIT logo
PIT
RB-0.31.770
Lottery
AJ Dillon
CAR logo
CAR
RB-0.81.767
Lottery
John Metchie
CAR logo
CAR
WR-0.01.757
Lottery
Derius Davis
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.31.643
Lottery
Jordan Watkins
SF logo
SF
WR-0.01.690
Lottery
Jaylin Lane
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.11.673
Lottery
Phil Mafah
NYG logo
NYG
RB-0.31.684
Lottery
DJ Herman
MIA logo
MIA
RB-0.31.679
Lottery
Mitchell Trubisky
TEN logo
TEN
QB-0.01.680
Lottery
Mo Alie-Cox
IND logo
IND
TE-0.01.657
Lottery
Eric Saubert
SEA logo
SEA
TE-0.31.643
Lottery
Durham Smythe
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.31.643
Lottery
Greg Dortch
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.21.657
Lottery
Sean Tucker
TB logo
TB
RB-0.21.657
Lottery
Jalen Milroe
SEA logo
SEA
QB-0.31.581
Lottery
Malik Benson
LV logo
LV
WR-0.31.579
Lottery
Cyrus Allen
KC logo
KC
WR182.60.31.580
Lottery
Tylan Wallace
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.01.557
Lottery
Josh Whyle
GB logo
GB
TE-0.01.457
Lottery
Tyrell Shavers
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.01.471
Lottery
Tip Reiman
ARI logo
ARI
TE-0.31.456
Lottery
Will Howard
PIT logo
PIT
QB-0.31.486
Lottery
Ty Simpson
LA logo
LAR
QB-0.31.486
Lottery
Zavion Thomas
CHI logo
CHI
WR-0.31.480
Lottery
Bo Melton
GB logo
GB
WR-0.01.457
Lottery
Will Levis
NYJ logo
NYJ
QB-0.71.459
Lottery
Trey Benson
ARI logo
ARI
RB-0.31.357
Lottery
Drew Allar
PIT logo
PIT
QB-0.21.386
Lottery
Justin Joly
MIA logo
MIA
TE-0.21.386
Lottery
Barion Brown
NO logo
NO
WR-0.31.381
Lottery
Ian Thomas
LV logo
LV
TE-0.01.366
Lottery
Craig Reynolds
WAS logo
WAS
RB-0.01.376
Lottery
Tay Martin
DET logo
DET
WR-0.01.391
Lottery
Jordan James
SF logo
SF
RB221.90.21.281
Lottery
Jeremy McNichols
WAS logo
WAS
RB-0.11.257
Lottery
Jarrett Stidham
DEN logo
DEN
QB-0.01.293
Lottery
Tyrod Taylor
GB logo
GB
QB-0.31.277
Lottery
Spencer Rattler
NO logo
NO
QB-0.41.148
Lottery
Tahj Brooks
CIN logo
CIN
RB-0.21.173
Lottery
Josh Johnson
CIN logo
CIN
QB-0.01.184
Lottery
Nick Mullens
JAX logo
JAX
QB-0.21.171
Lottery
Marquise Brown
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.31.153
Lottery
Isaiah Hodgins
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.01.186
Lottery
Elijah Moore
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.11.157
Lottery
Stone Smartt
NO logo
NO
TE-0.01.169
Lottery
Anthony Richardson
IND logo
IND
QB-0.31.169
Lottery
Jawhar Jordan
HOU logo
HOU
RB-0.21.080
Lottery
Riley Leonard
IND logo
IND
QB-0.01.093
Lottery
Jake Briningstool
KC logo
KC
TE-0.21.080
Lottery
Jam Miller
ATL logo
ATL
RB-0.21.086
Lottery
Dare Ogunbowale
HOU logo
HOU
RB-0.01.057
Lottery
Jacob Saylors
DET logo
DET
RB-0.20.979
Lottery
Dylan Laube
LV logo
LV
RB-0.20.967
Lottery
Xavier WeaverFAWR-0.00.986
Lottery
Colson Yankoff
WAS logo
WAS
TE-0.20.957
Lottery
J'Mari Taylor
JAX logo
JAX
RB-0.20.986
Lottery
Lewis Bond
HOU logo
HOU
WR-0.20.983
Lottery
Sterling Shepard
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.20.939
Lottery
Tyler Conklin
DET logo
DET
TE-0.00.959
Lottery
Tutu Atwell
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.00.957
Lottery
Drew Ogletree
IND logo
IND
TE-0.20.943
Lottery
Dareke Young
LV logo
LV
WR-0.20.951
Lottery
LaJohntay Wester
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.20.861
Lottery
Skyler Bell
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.10.884
Lottery
Nick Vannett
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.00.869
Lottery
Quintin Morris
JAX logo
JAX
TE-0.10.843
Lottery
Kevin Austin
NO logo
NO
WR-0.00.873
Lottery
Lucas Krull
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.00.876
Lottery
Lew Nichols
PIT logo
PIT
RB-0.20.883
Lottery
Cameron Latu
NE logo
NE
TE-0.10.759
Lottery
Ja'Tavion Sanders
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.10.757
Lottery
Luke McCaffrey
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.00.760
Lottery
Kameron Johnson
TB logo
TB
WR-0.10.754
Lottery
Brashard Smith
KC logo
KC
RB-0.00.773
Lottery
DJ Giddens
IND logo
IND
RB-0.00.787
Lottery
Xavier Restrepo
TEN logo
TEN
WR-0.10.783
Lottery
Reggie Virgil
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.10.784
Lottery
Taylen Green
CLE logo
CLE
QB-0.10.786
Lottery
Eli Heidenreich
PIT logo
PIT
RB-0.10.784
Lottery
Charlie Woerner
ATL logo
ATL
TE-0.10.743
Lottery
Brevin Jordan
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.10.780
Lottery
Frank Gore
BUF logo
BUF
RB-0.10.681
Lottery
Isaac Guerendo
SF logo
SF
RB-0.00.679
Lottery
Theo Wease
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.20.674
Lottery
Max Klare
LA logo
LAR
TE-0.10.684
Lottery
Garrett Nussmeier
KC logo
KC
QB-0.10.686
Lottery
Jamal HaynesFARB-0.10.686
Lottery
Braxton Berrios
NYG logo
NYG
WR-0.10.666
Lottery
Kyle Allen
BUF logo
BUF
QB-0.10.680
Lottery
Trent Sherfield
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.10.643
Lottery
Ronnie Rivers
LA logo
LAR
RB-0.10.684
Lottery
Jelani Woods
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE-0.10.673
Lottery
Will Mallory
IND logo
IND
TE-0.10.569
Lottery
Jonathan Mingo
DAL logo
DAL
WR-0.10.546
Lottery
E.J. Jenkins
PHI logo
PHI
TE-0.10.559
Lottery
Malachi Corley
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.00.567
Lottery
Hayden Rucci
LAC logo
LAC
TE-0.00.590
Lottery
Arian Smith
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.10.560
Lottery
Jacardia Wright
SEA logo
SEA
RB-0.10.584
Lottery
Deion Burks
IND logo
IND
WR-0.10.580
Lottery
David Sills
TB logo
TB
WR-0.00.576
Lottery
Tyler JohnsonFAWR-0.00.561
Lottery
Reggie Gilliam
NE logo
NE
RB-0.10.543
Lottery
Khalil Herbert
ATL logo
ATL
RB-0.00.577
Lottery
Julius Chestnut
TEN logo
TEN
RB-0.10.557
Lottery
Payne Durham
TB logo
TB
TE-0.10.443
Lottery
Charlie Jones
NYG logo
NYG
WR-0.10.467
Lottery
Rasheen Ali
BAL logo
BAL
RB-0.00.480
Lottery
Anthony Gould
IND logo
IND
WR-0.10.471
Lottery
Gavin Bartholomew
MIN logo
MIN
TE-0.10.481
Lottery
Adam Randall
BAL logo
BAL
RB-0.10.486
Lottery
Dane Key
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.10.486
Lottery
Malik McClain
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.10.481
Lottery
Jack Velling
ATL logo
ATL
TE-0.10.486
Lottery
Dante PettisFAWR-0.00.479
Lottery
Elijah MitchellFARB-0.10.484
Lottery
Jack Stoll
SF logo
SF
TE-0.10.451
Lottery
Britain Covey
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.00.489
Lottery
Nikko Remigio
KC logo
KC
WR-0.00.366
Lottery
Treyton Welch
NO logo
NO
TE-0.10.379
Lottery
British Brooks
HOU logo
HOU
RB-0.10.364
Lottery
Kalel Mullings
TEN logo
TEN
RB-0.10.379
Lottery
Josh Williams
TB logo
TB
RB-0.10.383
Lottery
Lan Larison
NE logo
NE
RB-0.10.384
Lottery
Myles Price
MIN logo
MIN
WR-0.00.367
Lottery
Ben Yurosek
MIN logo
MIN
TE-0.10.367
Lottery
Jack Endries
CIN logo
CIN
TE-0.10.384
Lottery
Dean Connors
LA logo
LAR
RB-0.10.386
Lottery
Trebor Pena
JAX logo
JAX
WR-0.10.386
Lottery
Chase RobertsFAWR-0.10.386
Lottery
Seydou Traore
MIA logo
MIA
TE-0.10.384
Lottery
Kaden Wetjen
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.10.386
Lottery
Dallen Bentley
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.10.386
Lottery
Carsen Ryan
CLE logo
CLE
TE-0.10.383
Lottery
Tom Kennedy
DET logo
DET
WR-0.10.374
Lottery
Devin Duvernay
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.10.359
Lottery
Kylen Granson
TEN logo
TEN
TE-0.00.343
Lottery
Michael Carter
TEN logo
TEN
RB-0.10.355
Lottery
Shane ZylstraFATE-0.10.361
Lottery
Jake Bobo
SEA logo
SEA
WR-0.00.257
Lottery
Damien MartinezFARB-0.00.286
Lottery
Dont'e Thornton
LV logo
LV
WR-0.00.279
Lottery
Bauer Sharp
TB logo
TB
TE-0.00.279
Lottery
Jaydn Ott
KC logo
KC
RB-0.00.286
Lottery
Riley Nowakowski
PIT logo
PIT
RB-0.00.279
Lottery
Max Bredeson
MIN logo
MIN
RB-0.00.279
Lottery
Chris Manhertz
NYG logo
NYG
TE-0.00.243
Lottery
Van Jefferson
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.00.253
Lottery
Kene Nwangwu
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB-0.00.291
Lottery
Israel Abanikanda
DAL logo
DAL
RB-0.00.286
Lottery
Carlos Washington
MIA logo
MIA
RB-0.00.184
Lottery
Zavier Scott
CHI logo
CHI
RB-0.00.187
Lottery
Jarquez Hunter
NO logo
NO
RB-0.00.186
Lottery
Ricky White
SEA logo
SEA
WR-0.00.183
Lottery
Donovan EdwardsFARB-0.00.186
Lottery
Gage Larvadain
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.00.169
Lottery
Noah Thomas
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.00.186
Lottery
Robert Tonyan
PIT logo
PIT
TE-0.00.150
Lottery
Jake Browning
LAC logo
LAC
QB-0.00.189
Lottery
Josiah DeguaraFATE-0.00.153
Lottery
Feleipe Franks
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.00.156
Lottery
Ko Kieft
TB logo
TB
TE-0.00.151
Lottery
Le'Veon MossFARB-0.00.086
Lottery

How to read it

The floor is a bad week (25th percentile) and the ceiling is a big week (90th percentile), each rescaled onto this season's projection from the player's own weekly history over the past two seasons. Players up and to the right have both a high floor and a high ceiling; the dashed line marks where ceiling equals floor. Players with under four played games are treated as unknown-spread, never as zero risk.

Use it alongside the ADP board and the draft kit.

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