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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NFL Fantasy Volatility Explorer

Floor vs ceiling for every projected starter. The colour is the model's own quadrant: high projected value with a dependable week-to-week range (Safe), high projected value but a wide week-to-week range (Swing), modest projected value with a dependable week-to-week range (Steady) and modest projected value where the case rests on upside weeks (Lottery). Click any point for the full player page.

Position
ADP from / to
to
Min games
587 players
Floor vs ceiling
SafeSwingSteadyLottery
Filtered players
PlayerTeamPosADPFloor (GDS)Ceiling (GDS)RiskVolatility
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET logo
DET
RB1.415.438.631
Safe
Josh Allen
BUF logo
BUF
QB20.018.738.224
Safe
Kenneth Walker III
KC logo
KC
RB18.99.336.234
Safe
Brock Purdy
SF logo
SF
QB128.516.833.724
Safe
Lamar Jackson
BAL logo
BAL
QB34.118.533.522
Safe
Ollie Gordon II
MIA logo
MIA
RB-0.431.769
Swing
Malik Willis
MIA logo
MIA
QB202.12.931.567
Swing
Jonathan Taylor
IND logo
IND
RB5.910.631.132
Safe
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA logo
SEA
WR9.211.731.029
Safe
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET logo
DET
WR6.610.130.932
Safe
Bijan Robinson
ATL logo
ATL
RB2.514.230.627
Safe
Drake Maye
NE logo
NE
QB51.816.029.022
Safe
Ashton Jeanty
LV logo
LV
RB17.77.628.845
Safe
Christian McCaffrey
SF logo
SF
RB4.113.128.824
Safe
Trevor Lawrence
JAX logo
JAX
QB97.114.128.823
Safe
Bryce Young
CAR logo
CAR
QB234.611.828.829
Safe
Jared Goff
DET logo
DET
QB142.012.628.622
Safe
Joe Burrow
CIN logo
CIN
QB54.114.428.622
Safe
Javonte Williams
DAL logo
DAL
RB30.48.428.631
Safe
Dak Prescott
DAL logo
DAL
QB86.613.628.423
Safe
Tua Tagovailoa
ATL logo
ATL
QB-10.328.438
Safe
Jaxson Dart
NYG logo
NYG
QB111.110.928.255
Swing
Kyler Murray
MIN logo
MIN
QB150.812.428.229
Safe
Puka Nacua
LA logo
LA
WR6.210.428.128
Safe
Jayden Daniels
WAS logo
WAS
QB71.214.528.022
Safe
Kirk Cousins
LV logo
LV
QB-9.727.932
Safe
Zay Flowers
BAL logo
BAL
WR40.110.327.833
Safe
Jordan Love
GB logo
GB
QB164.613.127.723
Safe
Jalen Hurts
PHI logo
PHI
QB61.913.427.721
Safe
Chuba Hubbard
CAR logo
CAR
RB80.47.127.638
Swing
Fernando Mendoza
LV logo
LV
QB209.35.227.584
Swing
Patrick Mahomes
KC logo
KC
QB117.113.727.519
Safe
Derrick Henry
BAL logo
BAL
RB13.710.327.430
Safe
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN logo
CIN
WR3.48.627.434
Safe
Bo Nix
DEN logo
DEN
QB118.512.727.225
Safe
Sam Darnold
SEA logo
SEA
QB177.99.727.129
Safe
Caleb Williams
CHI logo
CHI
QB74.010.227.025
Safe
De'Von Achane
MIA logo
MIA
RB13.811.026.927
Safe
Geno Smith
NYJ logo
NYJ
QB-9.626.627
Safe
Mike Evans
SF logo
SF
WR62.39.726.434
Safe
Drake London
ATL logo
ATL
WR20.58.026.336
Safe
James Cook III
BUF logo
BUF
RB8.89.126.027
Safe
Matthew Golden
GB logo
GB
WR118.32.825.960
Swing
Saquon Barkley
PHI logo
PHI
RB10.07.025.836
Safe
Tyler Shough
NO logo
NO
QB184.710.525.747
Swing
Baker Mayfield
TB logo
TB
QB163.311.725.521
Safe
DJ Moore
BUF logo
BUF
WR48.25.325.442
Swing
Justin Herbert
LAC logo
LAC
QB79.310.325.224
Safe
Parker Washington
JAX logo
JAX
WR68.13.925.244
Swing
Jameis Winston
NYG logo
NYG
QB-1.925.164
Swing
Christian Watson
GB logo
GB
WR65.66.725.142
Swing
C.J. Stroud
HOU logo
HOU
QB206.812.725.121
Safe
Jacoby Brissett
ARI logo
ARI
QB-8.024.734
Safe
Matthew Stafford
LA logo
LA
QB104.211.324.623
Safe
CeeDee Lamb
DAL logo
DAL
WR11.310.424.333
Safe
Nico Collins
HOU logo
HOU
WR22.99.324.227
Safe
Chase Brown
CIN logo
CIN
RB16.08.424.228
Safe
Aaron Rodgers
PIT logo
PIT
QB235.512.124.225
Safe
Chris Olave
NO logo
NO
WR29.19.224.031
Safe
Tee Higgins
CIN logo
CIN
WR39.67.123.934
Safe
Isaiah Likely
NYG logo
NYG
TE108.92.723.857
Swing
Kyren Williams
LA logo
LA
RB24.611.623.722
Safe
Bucky Irving
TB logo
TB
RB47.17.523.430
Safe
Justin Jefferson
MIN logo
MIN
WR12.78.823.033
Safe
Michael Penix Jr.
ATL logo
ATL
QB-7.322.846
Swing
David Montgomery
HOU logo
HOU
RB41.25.922.840
Swing
Cam Ward
TEN logo
TEN
QB228.19.922.535
Safe
A.J. Brown
NE logo
NE
WR19.35.322.539
Swing
Brock Bowers
LV logo
LV
TE23.07.222.434
Safe
D'Andre Swift
CHI logo
CHI
RB45.68.522.430
Safe
Garrett Wilson
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR46.07.222.332
Safe
Jalen Coker
CAR logo
CAR
WR144.64.121.853
Swing
Bhayshul Tuten
JAX logo
JAX
RB58.83.521.554
Swing
Luther Burden III
CHI logo
CHI
WR60.35.521.555
Swing
Josh Jacobs
GB logo
GB
RB53.39.021.229
Safe
Trey McBride
ARI logo
ARI
TE26.88.221.227
Safe
Michael Wilson
ARI logo
ARI
WR89.94.821.045
Swing
Tanner McKee
PHI logo
PHI
QB-1.421.088
Swing
Roman Wilson
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.020.973
Swing
TreVeyon Henderson
NE logo
NE
RB59.83.620.959
Swing
George Pickens
DAL logo
DAL
WR25.75.920.934
Safe
George Kittle
SF logo
SF
TE83.96.020.833
Safe
Travis Kelce
KC logo
KC
TE96.35.320.535
Safe
Breece Hall
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB32.26.620.432
Safe
Davante Adams
LA logo
LA
WR55.36.320.334
Safe
Rashee Rice
KC logo
KC
WR31.47.520.252
Swing
Malik Nabers
NYG logo
NYG
WR27.57.620.146
Swing
Jaylen Warren
PIT logo
PIT
RB67.88.520.134
Safe
Jaylen Waddle
DEN logo
DEN
WR44.65.419.838
Swing
Ladd McConkey
LAC logo
LAC
WR34.95.719.739
Swing
Daniel Jones
IND logo
IND
QB219.88.919.725
Safe
Colston Loveland
CHI logo
CHI
TE43.83.519.558
Swing
Jameson Williams
DET logo
DET
WR57.55.019.537
Safe
Carnell Tate
TEN logo
TEN
WR69.95.319.273
Swing
Emeka Egbuka
TB logo
TB
WR41.34.419.150
Swing
Chris Godwin Jr.
TB logo
TB
WR88.15.219.153
Swing
Mark Andrews
BAL logo
BAL
TE124.23.518.747
Swing
Jordan Mason
MIN logo
MIN
RB90.83.818.643
Swing
DeVonta Smith
PHI logo
PHI
WR33.56.218.436
Safe
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE logo
NE
RB69.23.818.340
Swing
Xavier Worthy
KC logo
KC
WR129.84.218.142
Swing
Deshaun Watson
CLE logo
CLE
QB-9.018.142
Safe
Jeremiyah Love
ARI logo
ARI
RB27.56.617.973
Swing
RJ Harvey
DEN logo
DEN
RB85.04.117.845
Lottery
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR logo
CAR
WR38.27.917.850
Swing
DK Metcalf
PIT logo
PIT
WR78.25.617.830
Steady
Quinshon Judkins
CLE logo
CLE
RB48.15.917.749
Swing
Dallas Goedert
PHI logo
PHI
TE127.24.517.736
Steady
Sam LaPorta
DET logo
DET
TE62.55.417.430
Safe
Alec Pierce
IND logo
IND
WR93.72.617.443
Lottery
Rome Odunze
CHI logo
CHI
WR64.54.417.244
Lottery
Josh Downs
IND logo
IND
WR114.65.017.234
Steady
Harold Fannin Jr.
CLE logo
CLE
TE76.24.317.048
Lottery
Omarion Hampton
LAC logo
LAC
RB15.85.217.056
Lottery
Kenyon Sadiq
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE188.10.516.991
Lottery
Deebo Samuel Sr.
SF logo
SF
WR132.33.516.837
Steady
Pat Bryant
DEN logo
DEN
WR223.31.716.762
Lottery
T.J. Hockenson
MIN logo
MIN
TE180.94.116.539
Lottery
Kenny Gainwell
TB logo
TB
RB106.92.116.556
Lottery
Kyle Monangai
CHI logo
CHI
RB100.13.116.454
Lottery
Dalton Kincaid
BUF logo
BUF
TE94.23.616.339
Lottery
Tony Pollard
TEN logo
TEN
RB76.36.216.330
Steady
Jayden Higgins
HOU logo
HOU
WR228.13.716.255
Lottery
Terry McLaurin
WAS logo
WAS
WR55.75.516.231
Steady
Tyjae Spears
TEN logo
TEN
RB167.72.816.249
Lottery
Stefon Diggs
WAS logo
WAS
WR109.24.516.132
Steady
Romeo Doubs
NE logo
NE
WR130.03.115.942
Lottery
Brenton Strange
JAX logo
JAX
TE166.33.215.937
Steady
Shedeur Sanders
CLE logo
CLE
QB-4.515.681
Lottery
Travis Etienne Jr.
NO logo
NO
RB37.65.215.631
Steady
Pat Freiermuth
PIT logo
PIT
TE230.33.115.649
Lottery
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
WAS logo
WAS
RB101.73.315.558
Lottery
Tyler Goodson
DAL logo
DAL
RB-0.015.560
Lottery
Rashod Bateman
BAL logo
BAL
WR-2.215.455
Lottery
Aaron Jones Sr.
MIN logo
MIN
RB115.36.715.225
Steady
Blake Corum
LA logo
LA
RB92.12.415.152
Lottery
DeMario Douglas
NE logo
NE
WR-2.415.153
Lottery
Tyler Warren
IND logo
IND
TE50.05.515.038
Safe
Kalif Raymond
CHI logo
CHI
WR-1.115.057
Lottery
Jakobi Meyers
JAX logo
JAX
WR135.84.915.029
Steady
Jordan Addison
MIN logo
MIN
WR102.83.915.043
Lottery
Darren Waller
CAR logo
CAR
TE-2.314.973
Lottery
Tyler Higbee
LA logo
LAR
TE-2.214.958
Lottery
J.K. Dobbins
DEN logo
DEN
RB83.15.614.928
Steady
Tucker Kraft
GB logo
GB
TE66.64.414.941
Swing
Woody Marks
HOU logo
HOU
RB134.05.314.846
Lottery
Germie Bernard
PIT logo
PIT
WR-1.814.891
Lottery
Jordyn Tyson
NO logo
NO
WR120.22.814.886
Lottery
Quentin Johnston
LAC logo
LAC
WR103.42.314.745
Lottery
Juwan Johnson
NO logo
NO
TE162.14.214.635
Steady
Wan'Dale Robinson
TEN logo
TEN
WR122.65.214.636
Steady
Michael Mayer
LV logo
LV
TE-1.614.554
Lottery
Malik Washington
MIA logo
MIA
WR178.12.714.436
Steady
Kendrick Bourne
ARI logo
ARI
WR-2.314.457
Lottery
Dalton Schultz
HOU logo
HOU
TE205.93.514.438
Lottery
Rachaad White
WAS logo
WAS
RB125.23.714.439
Lottery
Jayden Reed
GB logo
GB
WR99.33.714.150
Lottery
Mike Gesicki
CIN logo
CIN
TE-1.914.055
Lottery
Rico Dowdle
PIT logo
PIT
RB81.33.914.044
Lottery
AJ Barner
SEA logo
SEA
TE211.32.113.949
Lottery
Efton Chism III
NE logo
NE
WR-0.013.979
Lottery
Keenan Allen
IND logo
IND
WR179.73.613.840
Lottery
Courtland Sutton
DEN logo
DEN
WR82.93.813.737
Steady
Tre Tucker
LV logo
LV
WR183.93.413.654
Lottery
Kyle Williams
NE logo
NE
WR-0.013.561
Lottery
Jake Ferguson
DAL logo
DAL
TE116.92.513.543
Lottery
Cade Otton
TB logo
TB
TE-3.513.547
Lottery
Braelon Allen
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB187.31.613.454
Lottery
Terrance Ferguson
LA logo
LA
TE204.50.013.474
Lottery
Khalil Shakir
BUF logo
BUF
WR151.74.913.130
Steady
Jadarian Price
SEA logo
SEA
RB52.02.513.081
Lottery
Denzel Boston
CLE logo
CLE
WR169.46.813.061
Lottery
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
NYG logo
NYG
RB153.62.912.948
Lottery
Cooper Kupp
SEA logo
SEA
WR207.72.812.941
Lottery
Tyler Allgeier
ARI logo
ARI
RB131.62.712.942
Lottery
Brian Robinson Jr.
ATL logo
ATL
RB171.51.712.957
Lottery
Hunter Henry
NE logo
NE
TE148.53.412.841
Lottery
Devaughn Vele
NO logo
NO
WR-2.012.652
Lottery
Keaton Mitchell
LAC logo
LAC
RB167.41.412.558
Lottery
Jaylin Noel
HOU logo
HOU
WR-0.012.464
Lottery
Michael Pittman Jr.
PIT logo
PIT
WR107.62.212.439
Lottery
Zach Charbonnet
SEA logo
SEA
RB143.82.912.441
Lottery
Kayshon Boutte
HOU logo
HOU
WR174.82.112.349
Lottery
Keon Coleman
BUF logo
BUF
WR-2.612.244
Lottery
Ryan Flournoy
DAL logo
DAL
WR231.70.012.257
Lottery
George Holani
SEA logo
SEA
RB-1.812.267
Lottery
Justice Hill
BAL logo
BAL
RB220.02.312.157
Lottery
Chig Okonkwo
WAS logo
WAS
TE188.42.312.141
Lottery
Omar Cooper Jr.
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR195.92.312.083
Lottery
Demarcus Robinson
SF logo
SF
WR-1.412.057
Lottery
Kyle Pitts Sr.
ATL logo
ATL
TE72.71.911.854
Lottery
KC Concepcion Jr.
CLE logo
CLE
WR110.44.311.766
Lottery
Dontayvion Wicks
PHI logo
PHI
WR202.11.711.757
Lottery
Rashid Shaheed
SEA logo
SEA
WR149.72.511.640
Lottery
Chris Bell
MIA logo
MIA
WR197.10.011.593
Lottery
MarShawn Lloyd
GB logo
GB
RB98.02.611.479
Lottery
Alvin Kamara
NO logo
NO
RB165.23.211.441
Lottery
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
JAX logo
JAX
RB125.40.711.351
Lottery
Dylan Sampson
CLE logo
CLE
RB192.71.311.377
Lottery
Jonathon Brooks
CAR logo
CAR
RB87.61.211.085
Lottery
Cam Skattebo
NYG logo
NYG
RB36.34.011.059
Lottery
Jauan Jennings
MIN logo
MIN
WR231.02.610.948
Lottery
Greg Dulcich
MIA logo
MIA
TE-0.010.861
Lottery
Marvin Mims Jr.
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.810.857
Lottery
Kimani Vidal
LAC logo
LAC
RB226.71.010.657
Lottery
Caleb Douglas
MIA logo
MIA
WR201.22.010.683
Lottery
Mike Washington Jr.
LV logo
LV
RB123.22.110.583
Lottery
Cody White
LV logo
LV
WR-0.010.573
Lottery
Noah Fant
NO logo
NO
TE-1.410.457
Lottery
Ty Johnson
BUF logo
BUF
RB-1.810.449
Lottery
Elic Ayomanor
TEN logo
TEN
WR-2.010.350
Lottery
Isaac TeSlaa
DET logo
DET
WR229.50.010.369
Lottery
Emanuel Wilson
SEA logo
SEA
RB-0.910.257
Lottery
Adonai Mitchell
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR222.50.910.257
Lottery
Tyquan Thornton
KC logo
KC
WR-0.010.166
Lottery
Tre' Harris
LAC logo
LAC
WR228.22.510.051
Lottery
Malik Davis
DAL logo
DAL
RB-0.310.086
Lottery
Andrei Iosivas
CIN logo
CIN
WR-1.39.954
Lottery
Devin Singletary
NYG logo
NYG
RB-1.49.953
Lottery
Darnell Washington
PIT logo
PIT
TE-1.49.950
Lottery
Brian Thomas Jr.
JAX logo
JAX
WR75.02.79.839
Lottery
Mack Hollins
NE logo
NE
WR-1.99.840
Lottery
Darnell Mooney
NYG logo
NYG
WR-1.49.853
Lottery
Gunnar Helm
TEN logo
TEN
TE-2.39.659
Lottery
Evan Engram
DEN logo
DEN
TE-1.99.641
Lottery
De'Zhaun Stribling
SF logo
SF
WR111.11.89.584
Lottery
Samaje Perine
CIN logo
CIN
RB-2.09.353
Lottery
Jalen Nailor
LV logo
LV
WR170.60.89.257
Lottery
Colby Parkinson
LA logo
LAR
TE-0.99.156
Lottery
Darius Cooper
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.08.773
Lottery
Kaelon Black
SF logo
SF
RB160.72.48.674
Lottery
Calvin Austin III
NYG logo
NYG
WR-0.78.657
Lottery
Foster Moreau
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.08.557
Lottery
Devontez Walker
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.08.467
Lottery
Jaylen Wright
MIA logo
MIA
RB223.60.58.259
Lottery
Jalen McMillan
TB logo
TB
WR213.80.88.171
Lottery
Antonio Williams
WAS logo
WAS
WR238.22.98.173
Lottery
Cole Kmet
CHI logo
CHI
TE-1.08.157
Lottery
Noah Gray
KC logo
KC
TE-0.68.157
Lottery
Jahan Dotson
ATL logo
ATL
WR-0.08.157
Lottery
Tory Horton
SEA logo
SEA
WR-0.08.081
Lottery
Najee HarrisFARB-1.77.951
Lottery
Jack Bech
LV logo
LV
WR-0.07.874
Lottery
Tez Johnson
TB logo
TB
WR-0.47.769
Lottery
Malachi Fields
NYG logo
NYG
WR200.62.87.775
Lottery
Tank Bigsby
PHI logo
PHI
RB152.50.77.757
Lottery
Kendre Miller
NO logo
NO
RB-2.07.757
Lottery
Chris Brooks
GB logo
GB
RB-0.67.654
Lottery
Raheim Sanders
CLE logo
CLE
RB-3.07.456
Lottery
Calvin Ridley
TEN logo
TEN
WR-1.07.454
Lottery
Oronde Gadsden
LAC logo
LAC
TE186.51.87.366
Lottery
Ja'Kobi Lane
BAL logo
BAL
WR146.71.47.383
Lottery
Makai Lemon
PHI logo
PHI
WR90.62.57.366
Lottery
Ted Hurst III
TB logo
TB
WR-3.27.272
Lottery
Laquon Treadwell
IND logo
IND
WR-0.07.281
Lottery
Jonnu Smith
GB logo
GB
TE-0.67.157
Lottery
Eli Raridon
NE logo
NE
TE-1.56.971
Lottery
Jerry Jeudy
CLE logo
CLE
WR212.61.36.852
Lottery
Tommy Tremble
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.56.857
Lottery
Dameon Pierce
PHI logo
PHI
RB-0.26.876
Lottery
Emmett Johnson
KC logo
KC
RB176.01.76.770
Lottery
Xavier Legette
CAR logo
CAR
WR-1.06.657
Lottery
Mason Taylor
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE-0.76.666
Lottery
Jonah Coleman
DEN logo
DEN
RB145.31.26.683
Lottery
Corey Kiner
NE logo
NE
RB-0.66.577
Lottery
Jalen Brooks
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.06.464
Lottery
Sione Vaki
DET logo
DET
RB-0.46.368
Lottery
Austin Hooper
ATL logo
ATL
TE-0.86.357
Lottery
Marvin Harrison Jr.
HOU logo
HOU
WR73.81.66.243
Lottery
Konata Mumpfield
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.06.263
Lottery
Kevin Coleman Jr.
MIA logo
MIA
WR-0.06.293
Lottery
Will Shipley
PHI logo
PHI
RB-0.06.157
Lottery
David Njoku
LAC logo
LAC
TE221.41.46.151
Lottery
Josh Oliver
MIN logo
MIN
TE-0.06.157
Lottery
Austin Ekeler
WAS logo
WAS
RB-1.66.051
Lottery
Isaiah Bond
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.15.769
Lottery
Matt Hibner
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.05.793
Lottery
Josh Cameron
JAX logo
JAX
WR-0.95.778
Lottery
Troy Franklin
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.75.657
Lottery
Jalen Royals
KC logo
KC
WR-0.05.684
Lottery
Joshua Palmer
BUF logo
BUF
WR-1.45.642
Lottery
Dawson Knox
BUF logo
BUF
TE-0.75.556
Lottery
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU logo
HOU
WR-0.75.454
Lottery
Charlie Kolar
LAC logo
LAC
TE-0.05.357
Lottery
Luke Musgrave
GB logo
GB
TE-0.55.363
Lottery
Drew Lock
SEA logo
SEA
QB-0.05.279
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Nate Adkins
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.05.157
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KaVontae Turpin
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DAL
WR-0.85.154
Lottery
Isaiah Davis
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NYJ
RB-0.55.060
Lottery
Seth McGowan
IND logo
IND
RB-1.05.078
Lottery
Drew Sample
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CIN
TE-0.04.957
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Tyler Badie
DEN logo
DEN
RB-0.84.960
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Daniel Bellinger
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TEN
TE-0.04.957
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Jaleel McLaughlin
CLE logo
CLE
RB-0.94.847
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Isaiah Williams
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.04.866
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Zachariah Branch
ATL logo
ATL
WR229.90.64.880
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Ray Davis
BUF logo
BUF
RB208.40.14.757
Lottery
Theo Johnson
NYG logo
NYG
TE-0.64.748
Lottery
Carson Beck
ARI logo
ARI
QB-0.94.786
Lottery
CJ Donaldson
NO logo
NO
RB-0.94.777
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Brock Wright
DET logo
DET
TE-0.04.757
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Tyson Bagent
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CHI
QB-0.14.686
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Jake Tonges
SF logo
SF
TE-0.04.657
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Tyler Huntley
BAL logo
BAL
QB-1.34.563
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Chimere Dike
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TEN
WR-0.24.467
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Bryce Lance
NO logo
NO
WR-0.24.491
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Jalon Daniels
TB logo
TB
QB-3.14.471
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Skyy Moore
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GB
WR-0.84.447
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Brycen Tremayne
CAR logo
CAR
WR-0.04.366
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Ameer Abdullah
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RB-0.24.357
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Lil'Jordan Humphrey
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.04.257
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Olamide Zaccheaus
ATL logo
ATL
WR-0.54.257
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Jordan Whittington
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.04.157
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Treylon Burks
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WAS
WR-0.54.171
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Elijah Higgins
ARI logo
ARI
TE-0.34.057
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Trevor Etienne
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RB-0.84.063
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Marcus Mariota
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WAS
QB-0.03.959
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Gardner Minshew II
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ARI
QB-0.43.980
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DeeJay Dallas
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RB-0.43.980
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Zonovan Knight
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ARI
RB-0.93.864
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Grant Calcaterra
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PHI
TE-0.03.857
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Tai Felton
MIN logo
MIN
WR-0.03.787
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Elijah Arroyo
SEA logo
SEA
TE-0.03.771
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Cooper RushFAQB-0.13.774
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Mac Jones
SF logo
SF
QB-0.13.758
Lottery
Tutu Atwell
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.03.757
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Dyami Brown
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.13.757
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John Bates
WAS logo
WAS
TE-0.03.757
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Luke Farrell
SF logo
SF
TE-0.03.757
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Tank Dell
HOU logo
HOU
WR191.91.23.760
Lottery
Mitch Tinsley
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.03.674
Lottery
Savion Williams
GB logo
GB
WR-0.13.681
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Cade Klubnik
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NYJ
QB-0.73.686
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Marquez Valdes-Scantling
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PIT
WR-0.03.661
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Ashton Dulin
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IND
WR-0.03.659
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Adam Trautman
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.03.657
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Erick All Jr.
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CIN
TE-0.03.580
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Kaleb Johnson
GB logo
GB
RB195.30.43.572
Lottery
Jerome Ford
ARI logo
ARI
RB-0.33.561
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Roschon Johnson
CHI logo
CHI
RB-0.23.471
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Zach Ertz
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PHI
TE-0.83.441
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Tim Patrick
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NYJ
WR-0.03.457
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John Metchie III
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CAR
WR-0.03.457
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Davis Allen
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LAR
TE-0.03.357
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Tanner Hudson
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CIN
TE-0.33.361
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Emari Demercado
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RB-0.33.261
Lottery
Blake Whiteheart
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CLE
TE-0.63.243
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Sam Roush
CHI logo
CHI
TE-0.63.277
Lottery
Jahdae Walker
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CHI
WR-0.03.181
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Christian Kirk
SF logo
SF
WR-0.23.167
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Jeremy Ruckert
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NYJ
TE-0.03.157
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Brevyn Spann-Ford
DAL logo
DAL
TE-0.03.057
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Joe Flacco
CIN logo
CIN
QB-0.53.058
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Darius SlaytonFAWR-0.63.044
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Mitchell Evans
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.02.967
Lottery
Dillon Gabriel
CLE logo
CLE
QB-0.12.983
Lottery
Case Keenum
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CHI
QB-0.52.981
Lottery
David Moore
CAR logo
CAR
WR-0.02.966
Lottery
Xavier Smith
SF logo
SF
WR-0.02.857
Lottery
LeQuint Allen Jr.
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JAX
RB-0.22.858
Lottery
Dohnte Meyers
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.72.888
Lottery
Nate Boerkircher
JAX logo
JAX
TE-0.22.891
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Marlin Klein
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.52.881
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Brenen Thompson
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.52.883
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Johnny Mundt
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PHI
TE-0.02.857
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Andy Dalton
ATL logo
ATL
QB-0.22.884
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Jimmy Horn Jr.
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.02.779
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Kaytron Allen
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MIA
RB233.60.52.781
Lottery
James Conner
ARI logo
ARI
RB225.31.12.745
Lottery
Jalen Tolbert
MIA logo
MIA
WR-0.12.757
Lottery
Luke Schoonmaker
DAL logo
DAL
TE-0.02.657
Lottery
Nicholas Singleton
TEN logo
TEN
RB214.00.52.683
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Colbie Young
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.52.681
Lottery
Pierre Strong Jr.
GB logo
GB
RB-0.32.677
Lottery
J.J. McCarthy
NYG logo
NYG
QB-0.82.561
Lottery
Audric Estime
CLE logo
CLE
RB-0.32.566
Lottery
Quinn Ewers
JAX logo
JAX
QB-0.42.580
Lottery
Will Kacmarek
MIA logo
MIA
TE-0.52.579
Lottery
KhaDarel HodgeFAWR-0.02.560
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Brandon Aiyuk
SF logo
SF
WR-0.92.572
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Jackson Hawes
BUF logo
BUF
TE-0.02.464
Lottery
Josh Cuevas
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.02.491
Lottery
Jeremy McNichols
WAS logo
WAS
RB-0.22.457
Lottery
Devin CulpFATE-0.02.379
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Jaydon Blue
PHI logo
PHI
RB233.10.22.393
Lottery
Jordan Watkins
SF logo
SF
WR-0.02.389
Lottery
Oscar Delp
NO logo
NO
TE-0.42.379
Lottery
Brandin Cooks
SF logo
SF
WR-0.62.353
Lottery
Isiah Pacheco
DET logo
DET
RB194.00.62.345
Lottery
Michael Trigg
DAL logo
DAL
TE-0.42.286
Lottery
JuJu Smith-SchusterFAWR-0.02.257
Lottery
Mason Rudolph
PIT logo
PIT
QB-0.02.277
Lottery
Joe Milton
PHI logo
PHI
QB-0.12.193
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Cade Stover
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.02.157
Lottery
Joe Royer
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CLE
TE-0.42.186
Lottery
Odell Beckham Jr.
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MIN
WR-0.42.169
Lottery
Chris Moore
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BAL
WR-0.02.169
Lottery
Mo Alie-Cox
IND logo
IND
TE-0.02.157
Lottery
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
IND logo
IND
WR-0.02.157
Lottery
Trey Lance
LAC logo
LAC
QB-0.12.189
Lottery
Jawhar Jordan
HOU logo
HOU
RB-0.62.072
Lottery
Lance MasonFATE-0.42.086
Lottery
Tanner Koziol
JAX logo
JAX
TE-0.42.080
Lottery
Zavion Thomas
CHI logo
CHI
WR-0.02.093
Lottery
Derek CarrFAQB-1.22.046
Lottery
Ben Skowronek
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.02.057
Lottery
Bo Melton
GB logo
GB
WR-0.02.057
Lottery
Sean Tucker
TB logo
TB
RB-0.22.057
Lottery
Tommy DeVito
NE logo
NE
QB-0.21.994
Lottery
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.01.984
Lottery
Demond Claiborne
MIN logo
MIN
RB-0.41.980
Lottery
Eli Stowers
PHI logo
PHI
TE-0.41.986
Lottery
Jaren Kanak
TEN logo
TEN
TE-0.41.986
Lottery
Miles Kitselman
DET logo
DET
TE-0.41.986
Lottery
Davis Mills
HOU logo
HOU
QB-0.21.985
Lottery
Jared Wayne
MIA logo
MIA
WR-0.81.864
Lottery
Ben Sinnott
WAS logo
WAS
TE-0.31.843
Lottery
Cyrus Allen
KC logo
KC
WR181.50.31.879
Lottery
Teddy BridgewaterFAQB-0.31.879
Lottery
Carson Wentz
MIN logo
MIN
QB-0.41.861
Lottery
AJ Dillon
CAR logo
CAR
RB-0.81.867
Lottery
Justin Fields
KC logo
KC
QB-0.21.859
Lottery
Ty Chandler
NO logo
NO
RB-0.11.879
Lottery
Devin Neal
WAS logo
WAS
RB-0.31.777
Lottery
CJ Daniels
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.31.786
Lottery
Travis Homer
PIT logo
PIT
RB-0.31.770
Lottery
Jaylin Lane
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.11.673
Lottery
Phil Mafah
NYG logo
NYG
RB-0.31.684
Lottery
DJ Herman
MIA logo
MIA
RB-0.31.679
Lottery
Mitchell Trubisky
TEN logo
TEN
QB-0.01.680
Lottery
Eric Saubert
SEA logo
SEA
TE-0.31.643
Lottery
Durham Smythe
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.31.643
Lottery
Greg Dortch
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.21.657
Lottery
Connor Heyward
LV logo
LV
RB-0.01.657
Lottery
Josh Whyle
GB logo
GB
TE-0.01.557
Lottery
Jacob Cowing
SF logo
SF
WR-0.31.560
Lottery
Jalen Milroe
SEA logo
SEA
QB-0.31.581
Lottery
Dare Ogunbowale
HOU logo
HOU
RB-0.01.557
Lottery
Tyrell Shavers
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.01.471
Lottery
Tip Reiman
ARI logo
ARI
TE-0.31.456
Lottery
Will Howard
PIT logo
PIT
QB-0.31.486
Lottery
Ty Simpson
LA logo
LAR
QB-0.31.486
Lottery
Ian Thomas
LV logo
LV
TE-0.01.464
Lottery
Tylan Wallace
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.01.457
Lottery
Will Levis
NYJ logo
NYJ
QB-0.71.459
Lottery
Trey Benson
ARI logo
ARI
RB-0.31.357
Lottery
Drew Allar
PIT logo
PIT
QB-0.21.386
Lottery
Barion Brown
NO logo
NO
WR-0.31.380
Lottery
Craig Reynolds
WAS logo
WAS
RB-0.01.376
Lottery
Spencer Rattler
NO logo
NO
QB-0.51.252
Lottery
Jordan James
SF logo
SF
RB221.90.21.281
Lottery
Gavin Bartholomew
MIN logo
MIN
TE-0.21.281
Lottery
Justin Joly
MIA logo
MIA
TE-0.21.286
Lottery
Nick Vannett
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.01.267
Lottery
Jarrett Stidham
DEN logo
DEN
QB-0.01.293
Lottery
Tay Martin
DET logo
DET
WR-0.01.291
Lottery
Tyrod Taylor
GB logo
GB
QB-0.31.277
Lottery
Derius Davis
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.21.143
Lottery
Cedric Tillman
NO logo
NO
WR-0.01.163
Lottery
Tahj Brooks
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CIN
RB-0.21.173
Lottery
Elijah Sarratt
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.21.184
Lottery
Malik Benson
LV logo
LV
WR-0.21.177
Lottery
Josh Johnson
CIN logo
CIN
QB-0.01.184
Lottery
Nick Mullens
JAX logo
JAX
QB-0.21.171
Lottery
Marquise Brown
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.31.153
Lottery
Isaiah Hodgins
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.01.186
Lottery
Elijah Moore
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.11.157
Lottery
Drew Ogletree
IND logo
IND
TE-0.21.143
Lottery
Stone Smartt
NO logo
NO
TE-0.01.169
Lottery
Anthony Richardson Sr.
IND logo
IND
QB-0.31.169
Lottery
Riley Leonard
IND logo
IND
QB-0.01.093
Lottery
Jake Briningstool
KC logo
KC
TE-0.21.079
Lottery
Jam Miller
ATL logo
ATL
RB-0.21.086
Lottery
Charlie Woerner
ATL logo
ATL
TE-0.21.043
Lottery
Brandon Johnson
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.21.080
Lottery
Lew Nichols
PIT logo
PIT
RB-0.21.083
Lottery
Will Mallory
IND logo
IND
TE-0.20.967
Lottery
Jacob Saylors
DET logo
DET
RB-0.20.979
Lottery
Dylan Laube
LV logo
LV
RB-0.20.966
Lottery
Xavier WeaverFAWR-0.00.986
Lottery
Colson Yankoff
WAS logo
WAS
TE-0.20.956
Lottery
Hayden Rucci
LAC logo
LAC
TE-0.20.974
Lottery
J'Mari Taylor
JAX logo
JAX
RB-0.20.986
Lottery
Skyler Bell
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.20.983
Lottery
Lewis Bond
HOU logo
HOU
WR-0.20.983
Lottery
Sterling Shepard
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.20.939
Lottery
Tyler Conklin
DET logo
DET
TE-0.00.959
Lottery
Dareke Young
LV logo
LV
WR-0.20.950
Lottery
Kameron Johnson
TB logo
TB
WR-0.10.854
Lottery
LaJohntay Wester
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.20.860
Lottery
Theo Wease Jr.
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.30.874
Lottery
Deion Burks
IND logo
IND
WR-0.00.893
Lottery
Quintin Morris
JAX logo
JAX
TE-0.10.843
Lottery
Kevin AustinFAWR-0.00.873
Lottery
Lucas Krull
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.00.876
Lottery
Cameron Latu
NE logo
NE
TE-0.10.757
Lottery
Zavier Scott
CHI logo
CHI
RB-0.20.787
Lottery
Ja'Tavion Sanders
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.10.757
Lottery
Luke McCaffrey
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.00.759
Lottery
Brashard Smith
KC logo
KC
RB-0.00.773
Lottery
DJ Giddens
IND logo
IND
RB-0.00.787
Lottery
Xavier Restrepo
TEN logo
TEN
WR-0.10.783
Lottery
Reggie Virgil
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.10.783
Lottery
Taylen Green
CLE logo
CLE
QB-0.10.786
Lottery
Pharaoh Brown
IND logo
IND
TE-0.10.754
Lottery
Brevin Jordan
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.10.779
Lottery
Frank Gore Jr.
BUF logo
BUF
RB-0.10.681
Lottery
Carson SteeleFARB-0.00.673
Lottery
Malachi Corley
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.00.666
Lottery
Isaac Guerendo
SF logo
SF
RB-0.00.679
Lottery
Josh Williams
TB logo
TB
RB-0.10.683
Lottery
Max Klare
LA logo
LAR
TE-0.10.684
Lottery
Garrett Nussmeier
KC logo
KC
QB-0.10.686
Lottery
Eli Heidenreich
PIT logo
PIT
RB-0.10.684
Lottery
J. Michael Sturdivant
GB logo
GB
WR-0.10.679
Lottery
Jamal HaynesFARB-0.10.686
Lottery
Braxton Berrios
NYG logo
NYG
WR-0.10.666
Lottery
Kyle Allen
BUF logo
BUF
QB-0.10.680
Lottery
Trent Sherfield Sr.
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.10.643
Lottery
Brandon Smith
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.10.681
Lottery
Ronnie Rivers
LA logo
LAR
RB-0.10.684
Lottery
Jelani Woods
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE-0.10.671
Lottery
Jonathan Mingo
DAL logo
DAL
WR-0.10.544
Lottery
E.J. Jenkins
PHI logo
PHI
TE-0.10.557
Lottery
Arian Smith
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.10.560
Lottery
Jacardia Wright
SEA logo
SEA
RB-0.10.584
Lottery
Malik McClain
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.10.581
Lottery
Justin Watson
KC logo
KC
WR-0.00.567
Lottery
David Sills V
TB logo
TB
WR-0.00.576
Lottery
Tyler JohnsonFAWR-0.00.561
Lottery
Reggie Gilliam
NE logo
NE
RB-0.10.543
Lottery
Khalil Herbert
ATL logo
ATL
RB-0.00.577
Lottery
Julius Chestnut
TEN logo
TEN
RB-0.10.557
Lottery
Payne Durham
TB logo
TB
TE-0.10.443
Lottery
Charlie Jones
NYG logo
NYG
WR-0.10.466
Lottery
Rasheen Ali
BAL logo
BAL
RB-0.00.480
Lottery
Anthony Gould
IND logo
IND
WR-0.10.470
Lottery
Adam Randall
BAL logo
BAL
RB-0.10.486
Lottery
Dane Key
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.10.486
Lottery
Jack Velling
ATL logo
ATL
TE-0.10.486
Lottery
Dante PettisFAWR-0.00.479
Lottery
Elijah Mitchell
PHI logo
PHI
RB-0.10.484
Lottery
Jack Stoll
SF logo
SF
TE-0.10.451
Lottery
Britain Covey
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.00.489
Lottery
Nikko Remigio
KC logo
KC
WR-0.00.364
Lottery
Treyton Welch
NO logo
NO
TE-0.10.377
Lottery
British Brooks
HOU logo
HOU
RB-0.10.364
Lottery
Kalel Mullings
TEN logo
TEN
RB-0.10.379
Lottery
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
LV logo
LV
WR-0.00.379
Lottery
Lan Larison
NE logo
NE
RB-0.10.384
Lottery
Myles Price
MIN logo
MIN
WR-0.00.367
Lottery
Ben Yurosek
MIN logo
MIN
TE-0.10.367
Lottery
Jack Endries
CIN logo
CIN
TE-0.10.384
Lottery
Dean Connors
LA logo
LAR
RB-0.10.386
Lottery
Trebor Pena
JAX logo
JAX
WR-0.10.386
Lottery
Chase RobertsFAWR-0.10.386
Lottery
Seydou Traore
MIA logo
MIA
TE-0.10.384
Lottery
Kaden Wetjen
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.10.386
Lottery
Dallen Bentley
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.10.386
Lottery
Carsen Ryan
CLE logo
CLE
TE-0.10.383
Lottery
Tom Kennedy
DET logo
DET
WR-0.10.374
Lottery
Devin Duvernay
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.10.359
Lottery
Michael Carter
TEN logo
TEN
RB-0.10.355
Lottery
Shane ZylstraFATE-0.10.361
Lottery
Jake Bobo
SEA logo
SEA
WR-0.00.257
Lottery
Damien MartinezFARB-0.00.286
Lottery
Bauer Sharp
TB logo
TB
TE-0.00.277
Lottery
Jaydn Ott
KC logo
KC
RB-0.00.286
Lottery
Riley Nowakowski
PIT logo
PIT
RB-0.00.277
Lottery
Max Bredeson
MIN logo
MIN
RB-0.00.279
Lottery
Chris Manhertz
NYG logo
NYG
TE-0.00.243
Lottery
Van Jefferson
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.00.253
Lottery
Kylen Granson
TEN logo
TEN
TE-0.00.243
Lottery
Kene Nwangwu
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB-0.00.291
Lottery
Israel Abanikanda
DAL logo
DAL
RB-0.00.286
Lottery
Carlos Washington Jr.
MIA logo
MIA
RB-0.00.184
Lottery
Jarquez Hunter
NO logo
NO
RB-0.00.186
Lottery
Ricky White III
SEA logo
SEA
WR-0.00.183
Lottery
Donovan EdwardsFARB-0.00.186
Lottery
Gage Larvadain
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.00.169
Lottery
Noah Thomas
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.00.186
Lottery
Robert Tonyan
PIT logo
PIT
TE-0.00.149
Lottery
Jake Browning
LAC logo
LAC
QB-0.00.189
Lottery
Josiah Deguara
SEA logo
SEA
TE-0.00.153
Lottery
Feleipe Franks
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.00.154
Lottery
Ko Kieft
TB logo
TB
TE-0.00.151
Lottery
Le'Veon MossFARB-0.00.086
Lottery

How to read it

The floor is a bad week (25th percentile) and the ceiling is a big week (90th percentile), each rescaled onto this season's projection from the player's own weekly history over the past two seasons. Players up and to the right have both a high floor and a high ceiling; the dashed line marks where ceiling equals floor. Players with under four played games are treated as unknown-spread, never as zero risk.

Use it alongside the ADP board and the draft kit.

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