Loading matchups...

Welcome to The Stats Lab

NFL Fantasy Volatility Explorer

Floor vs ceiling for every projected starter. The colour is the model's own quadrant: high projected value with a dependable week-to-week range (Safe), high projected value but a wide week-to-week range (Swing), modest projected value with a dependable week-to-week range (Steady) and modest projected value where the case rests on upside weeks (Lottery). Click any point for the full player page.

Position
ADP from / to
to
Min games
526 players
Floor vs ceiling
SafeSwingSteadyLottery
Filtered players
PlayerTeamPosADPFloorCeilingRiskVolatility
Malik Willis
MIA logo
MIA
QB195.25.337.781
Swing
Josh Allen
BUF logo
BUF
QB21.918.236.524
Safe
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET logo
DET
RB1.113.435.833
Safe
Joe Burrow
CIN logo
CIN
QB53.315.132.731
Safe
Lamar Jackson
BAL logo
BAL
QB35.617.132.423
Safe
TreVeyon Henderson
NE logo
NE
RB50.44.832.265
Swing
Jayden Daniels
WAS logo
WAS
QB65.517.531.727
Safe
Dak Prescott
DAL logo
DAL
QB83.213.731.431
Safe
Jaxson Dart
NYG logo
NYG
QB101.816.931.355
Swing
Brock Purdy
SF logo
SF
QB121.416.231.332
Safe
Sam Darnold
SEA logo
SEA
QB167.911.331.127
Safe
Jordan Love
GB logo
GB
QB164.413.831.026
Safe
Tua Tagovailoa
ATL logo
ATL
QB-11.730.936
Safe
Caleb Williams
CHI logo
CHI
QB75.212.130.824
Safe
Baker Mayfield
TB logo
TB
QB151.215.130.621
Safe
Jonathan Taylor
IND logo
IND
RB5.310.330.534
Safe
Jalen Hurts
PHI logo
PHI
QB62.416.130.421
Safe
Bo Nix
DEN logo
DEN
QB118.214.630.323
Safe
Justin Herbert
LAC logo
LAC
QB80.213.530.023
Safe
Bijan Robinson
ATL logo
ATL
RB2.714.229.426
Safe
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET logo
DET
WR8.910.229.229
Safe
Fernando Mendoza
LV logo
LV
QB189.25.428.486
Swing
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN logo
CIN
WR3.79.228.433
Safe
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA logo
SEA
WR7.710.628.429
Safe
Christian McCaffrey
SF logo
SF
RB5.211.828.333
Safe
Puka Nacua
LA logo
LA
WR4.711.628.128
Safe
Bryce Young
CAR logo
CAR
QB233.612.227.931
Safe
Jared Goff
DET logo
DET
QB140.013.127.824
Safe
Patrick Mahomes
KC logo
KC
QB109.713.927.719
Safe
Kyler Murray
MIN logo
MIN
QB148.714.127.630
Safe
James Cook
BUF logo
BUF
RB9.49.327.130
Safe
Geno Smith
NYJ logo
NYJ
QB-9.926.927
Safe
Matthew Stafford
LA logo
LA
QB106.412.726.822
Safe
Aaron Rodgers
PIT logo
PIT
QB237.113.326.626
Safe
C.J. Stroud
HOU logo
HOU
QB207.314.326.522
Safe
Drake Maye
NE logo
NE
QB52.116.026.416
Safe
Tee Higgins
CIN logo
CIN
WR38.58.026.439
Safe
Drake London
ATL logo
ATL
WR20.77.826.339
Swing
Luther Burden
CHI logo
CHI
WR58.84.826.171
Swing
George Pickens
DAL logo
DAL
WR25.87.125.934
Safe
Colston Loveland
CHI logo
CHI
TE43.65.525.561
Swing
Tyler Shough
NO logo
NO
QB175.613.625.449
Swing
Trevor Lawrence
JAX logo
JAX
QB97.513.025.427
Safe
Derrick Henry
BAL logo
BAL
RB16.59.225.331
Safe
Omarion Hampton
LAC logo
LAC
RB15.98.025.265
Swing
De'Von Achane
MIA logo
MIA
RB14.911.525.224
Safe
Jeremiyah Love
ARI logo
ARI
RB27.54.725.086
Swing
Saquon Barkley
PHI logo
PHI
RB11.77.424.932
Safe
Daniel Jones
IND logo
IND
QB214.613.324.832
Safe
Ashton Jeanty
LV logo
LV
RB13.46.224.756
Swing
David Montgomery
HOU logo
HOU
RB46.17.524.735
Safe
Chase Brown
CIN logo
CIN
RB17.98.824.727
Safe
Cam Ward
TEN logo
TEN
QB218.111.024.444
Safe
Nico Collins
HOU logo
HOU
WR23.49.324.327
Safe
Kenneth Walker
KC logo
KC
RB17.37.423.935
Safe
A.J. Brown
NE logo
NE
WR19.17.223.838
Swing
Brock Bowers
LV logo
LV
TE22.87.122.638
Safe
Jacoby Brissett
ARI logo
ARI
QB-8.322.541
Safe
CeeDee Lamb
DAL logo
DAL
WR10.010.222.129
Safe
Breece Hall
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB32.46.522.033
Safe
Justin Jefferson
MIN logo
MIN
WR11.89.521.931
Safe
Josh Jacobs
GB logo
GB
RB28.09.321.829
Safe
Chris Olave
NO logo
NO
WR31.08.421.843
Safe
Jaylen Waddle
DEN logo
DEN
WR47.17.021.635
Safe
Christian Watson
GB logo
GB
WR68.36.721.446
Swing
Emeka Egbuka
TB logo
TB
WR40.84.621.263
Swing
Jameson Williams
DET logo
DET
WR57.36.321.132
Safe
Javonte Williams
DAL logo
DAL
RB33.76.020.832
Safe
DeVonta Smith
PHI logo
PHI
WR34.47.020.737
Safe
Chuba Hubbard
CAR logo
CAR
RB77.84.220.742
Swing
Zay Flowers
BAL logo
BAL
WR41.17.020.635
Safe
Bhayshul Tuten
JAX logo
JAX
RB59.53.020.466
Swing
Travis Kelce
KC logo
KC
TE96.05.320.435
Safe
Deshaun Watson
CLE logo
CLE
QB-10.820.452
Swing
Josh Downs
IND logo
IND
WR107.55.520.435
Safe
Jayden Reed
GB logo
GB
WR103.76.920.346
Swing
Trey McBride
ARI logo
ARI
TE23.77.620.228
Safe
Alec Pierce
IND logo
IND
WR95.64.620.240
Safe
DJ Moore
BUF logo
BUF
WR55.75.320.138
Swing
Cam Skattebo
NYG logo
NYG
RB37.79.220.062
Swing
Jordan Mason
MIN logo
MIN
RB99.03.719.846
Swing
Malik Nabers
NYG logo
NYG
WR29.27.019.755
Swing
Ladd McConkey
LAC logo
LAC
WR39.16.319.737
Safe
Mike Evans
SF logo
SF
WR61.97.519.643
Safe
Rashee Rice
KC logo
KC
WR29.06.819.153
Swing
Terry McLaurin
WAS logo
WAS
WR53.37.319.129
Safe
Blake Corum
LA logo
LA
RB93.73.119.057
Swing
Rome Odunze
CHI logo
CHI
WR63.34.418.943
Swing
Xavier Worthy
KC logo
KC
WR125.94.618.940
Swing
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR logo
CAR
WR35.28.118.850
Swing
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
WAS logo
WAS
RB98.43.118.870
Swing
Kyren Williams
LA logo
LA
RB26.18.918.821
Safe
Quinshon Judkins
CLE logo
CLE
RB47.86.318.657
Swing
Chris Godwin
TB logo
TB
WR94.24.618.562
Swing
Bucky Irving
TB logo
TB
RB45.07.118.429
Safe
Tyler Warren
IND logo
IND
TE51.56.218.446
Swing
Carnell Tate
TEN logo
TEN
WR67.53.518.486
Swing
D'Andre Swift
CHI logo
CHI
RB49.27.018.429
Safe
Rico Dowdle
PIT logo
PIT
RB83.26.018.442
Swing
Jalen Coker
CAR logo
CAR
WR146.15.218.155
Swing
Travis Etienne
NO logo
NO
RB41.76.017.931
Safe
Brian Thomas
JAX logo
JAX
WR71.25.717.833
Steady
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE logo
NE
RB76.54.117.840
Swing
DK Metcalf
PIT logo
PIT
WR77.25.717.730
Steady
Parker Washington
JAX logo
JAX
WR71.94.917.739
Steady
Matthew Golden
GB logo
GB
WR124.42.817.674
Lottery
Mark Andrews
BAL logo
BAL
TE122.63.617.645
Swing
Isaiah Likely
NYG logo
NYG
TE113.73.617.550
Lottery
Tucker Kraft
GB logo
GB
TE65.94.317.547
Swing
Jordan Addison
MIN logo
MIN
WR100.34.817.540
Lottery
Garrett Wilson
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR44.86.017.439
Safe
Stefon Diggs
WAS logo
WAS
WR116.54.517.334
Steady
Jaylen Warren
PIT logo
PIT
RB69.87.317.331
Safe
Michael Wilson
ARI logo
ARI
WR89.14.017.146
Lottery
RJ Harvey
DEN logo
DEN
RB81.33.816.952
Lottery
Davante Adams
LA logo
LA
WR56.55.616.730
Steady
Kenny Gainwell
TB logo
TB
RB110.22.016.654
Lottery
Quentin Johnston
LAC logo
LAC
WR105.54.216.637
Steady
Jordyn Tyson
NO logo
NO
WR89.13.116.386
Lottery
Jadarian Price
SEA logo
SEA
RB59.53.116.386
Lottery
Rachaad White
WAS logo
WAS
RB119.34.716.239
Lottery
Harold Fannin
CLE logo
CLE
TE74.26.015.950
Swing
Kyle Monangai
CHI logo
CHI
RB91.93.515.956
Lottery
Michael Pittman
PIT logo
PIT
WR104.83.415.837
Steady
Romeo Doubs
NE logo
NE
WR128.44.215.839
Lottery
Jalen Nailor
LV logo
LV
WR165.92.615.850
Lottery
Chig Okonkwo
WAS logo
WAS
TE196.83.015.837
Lottery
Rashid Shaheed
SEA logo
SEA
WR149.94.215.844
Lottery
Tony Pollard
TEN logo
TEN
RB79.26.015.630
Steady
Kyle Pitts
ATL logo
ATL
TE70.63.615.650
Swing
Sam LaPorta
DET logo
DET
TE64.74.915.537
Safe
Jayden Higgins
HOU logo
HOU
WR176.94.515.553
Lottery
AJ Barner
SEA logo
SEA
TE191.72.515.447
Lottery
Marvin Harrison
ARI logo
ARI
WR73.24.015.439
Steady
Khalil Shakir
BUF logo
BUF
WR145.36.215.330
Steady
Dylan Sampson
CLE logo
CLE
RB179.91.715.277
Lottery
Courtland Sutton
DEN logo
DEN
WR82.06.015.231
Steady
Tyjae Spears
TEN logo
TEN
RB172.03.515.152
Lottery
Chris Rodriguez
JAX logo
JAX
RB130.81.615.056
Lottery
Dalton Schultz
HOU logo
HOU
TE209.23.714.835
Steady
Deebo Samuel
SF logo
SF
WR131.03.014.737
Steady
Makai Lemon
PHI logo
PHI
WR86.92.814.686
Lottery
Keenan Allen
IND logo
IND
WR202.43.614.241
Lottery
George Kittle
SF logo
SF
TE87.75.614.035
Safe
Jakobi Meyers
JAX logo
JAX
WR119.54.813.929
Steady
Jauan Jennings
MIN logo
MIN
WR201.04.213.840
Lottery
Jalen McMillan
TB logo
TB
WR197.62.013.565
Lottery
Wan'Dale Robinson
TEN logo
TEN
WR115.84.713.536
Steady
KC Concepcion
CLE logo
CLE
WR113.12.513.486
Lottery
Isaiah Davis
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB-1.313.267
Lottery
Aaron Jones
MIN logo
MIN
RB112.75.513.127
Steady
Devaughn Vele
NO logo
NO
WR-2.513.056
Lottery
T.J. Hockenson
MIN logo
MIN
TE187.03.813.040
Steady
Jake Ferguson
DAL logo
DAL
TE107.62.913.037
Steady
Juwan Johnson
NO logo
NO
TE190.14.912.930
Steady
Gunnar Helm
TEN logo
TEN
TE239.52.812.663
Lottery
Jaylin Noel
HOU logo
HOU
WR-1.612.681
Lottery
Hunter Henry
NE logo
NE
TE147.53.612.641
Lottery
J.K. Dobbins
DEN logo
DEN
RB85.94.912.333
Steady
Dalton Kincaid
BUF logo
BUF
TE92.43.812.235
Steady
Michael Penix
ATL logo
ATL
QB-3.212.257
Lottery
Calvin Ridley
TEN logo
TEN
WR-2.712.252
Lottery
Dallas Goedert
PHI logo
PHI
TE123.93.512.234
Steady
Darnell Mooney
NYG logo
NYG
WR-2.512.249
Lottery
Cade Otton
TB logo
TB
TE245.72.912.245
Lottery
Darren Waller
CAR logo
CAR
TE-3.112.074
Lottery
Brian Robinson
ATL logo
ATL
RB169.91.712.052
Lottery
Pat Freiermuth
PIT logo
PIT
TE236.62.611.947
Lottery
Omar Cooper
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR179.52.211.886
Lottery
Brenton Strange
JAX logo
JAX
TE155.02.711.840
Steady
Marvin Mims
DEN logo
DEN
WR-1.311.856
Lottery
Oronde Gadsden
LAC logo
LAC
TE143.82.411.772
Lottery
Jonathon Brooks
CAR logo
CAR
RB88.02.211.681
Lottery
Mike Gesicki
CIN logo
CIN
TE-2.111.459
Lottery
Woody Marks
HOU logo
HOU
RB143.73.211.358
Lottery
Rashod Bateman
BAL logo
BAL
WR-2.411.348
Lottery
Tre Tucker
LV logo
LV
WR193.53.011.253
Lottery
Shedeur Sanders
CLE logo
CLE
QB-3.511.276
Lottery
De'Zhaun Stribling
SF logo
SF
WR127.92.111.186
Lottery
Malik Washington
MIA logo
MIA
WR184.62.110.339
Steady
Cooper Kupp
SEA logo
SEA
WR206.22.510.239
Lottery
Tyrone Tracy
NYG logo
NYG
RB134.02.410.139
Lottery
Jerry Jeudy
CLE logo
CLE
WR215.92.010.147
Lottery
Ray Davis
BUF logo
BUF
RB211.40.79.957
Lottery
Kirk Cousins
LV logo
LV
QB-2.99.747
Lottery
Denzel Boston
CLE logo
CLE
WR155.91.89.686
Lottery
Tyler Allgeier
ARI logo
ARI
RB133.61.99.643
Lottery
Kendrick Bourne
ARI logo
ARI
WR-1.79.561
Lottery
Kenyon Sadiq
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE174.01.89.386
Lottery
Keaton Mitchell
LAC logo
LAC
RB161.32.49.361
Lottery
Ryan Flournoy
DAL logo
DAL
WR242.02.19.264
Lottery
Tank Dell
HOU logo
HOU
WR186.03.19.256
Lottery
Jahan Dotson
ATL logo
ATL
WR-1.48.957
Lottery
Tyquan Thornton
KC logo
KC
WR-2.88.958
Lottery
Alvin Kamara
NO logo
NO
RB153.63.28.847
Lottery
Tre' Harris
LAC logo
LAC
WR220.12.98.751
Lottery
Noah Gray
KC logo
KC
TE-1.58.659
Lottery
Ty Johnson
BUF logo
BUF
RB-1.58.548
Lottery
Darius Slayton
NYG logo
NYG
WR-2.28.442
Lottery
Tank Bigsby
PHI logo
PHI
RB166.40.88.361
Lottery
Pat Bryant
DEN logo
DEN
WR215.32.58.259
Lottery
Germie Bernard
PIT logo
PIT
WR245.61.58.186
Lottery
Chris Bell
MIA logo
MIA
WR247.71.58.186
Lottery
Zachariah Branch
ATL logo
ATL
WR212.91.58.186
Lottery
Isaac TeSlaa
DET logo
DET
WR219.32.17.961
Lottery
KaVontae Turpin
DAL logo
DAL
WR-1.57.946
Lottery
Cole Kmet
CHI logo
CHI
TE-1.57.652
Lottery
Colby Parkinson
LA logo
LAR
TE-1.67.644
Lottery
Andrei Iosivas
CIN logo
CIN
WR-1.77.342
Lottery
Greg Dulcich
MIA logo
MIA
TE244.82.97.362
Lottery
Michael Mayer
LV logo
LV
TE-1.17.365
Lottery
Troy Franklin
DEN logo
DEN
WR-1.27.247
Lottery
Isiah Pacheco
DET logo
DET
RB173.81.97.245
Lottery
Braelon Allen
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB194.40.87.169
Lottery
Ollie Gordon
MIA logo
MIA
RB-0.57.179
Lottery
Dontayvion Wicks
PHI logo
PHI
WR208.71.57.161
Lottery
Mason Taylor
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE-1.57.068
Lottery
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU logo
HOU
WR-1.56.953
Lottery
Olamide Zaccheaus
ATL logo
ATL
WR-1.26.949
Lottery
Justice Hill
BAL logo
BAL
RB232.71.26.862
Lottery
Calvin Austin
NYG logo
NYG
WR-0.86.852
Lottery
Darnell Washington
PIT logo
PIT
TE-1.46.840
Steady
Dawson Knox
BUF logo
BUF
TE-1.36.747
Lottery
DeMario Douglas
NE logo
NE
WR-1.46.745
Lottery
Tory Horton
SEA logo
SEA
WR-3.86.665
Lottery
Adonai Mitchell
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR221.91.06.463
Lottery
Xavier Legette
CAR logo
CAR
WR-1.06.455
Lottery
Travis Hunter
JAX logo
JAX
WR177.41.86.478
Lottery
Antonio Williams
WAS logo
WAS
WR224.41.26.486
Lottery
MarShawn Lloyd
GB logo
GB
RB182.01.26.384
Lottery
Evan Engram
DEN logo
DEN
TE-1.76.340
Steady
Jack Bech
LV logo
LV
WR-2.66.260
Lottery
Elijah Arroyo
SEA logo
SEA
TE-1.16.280
Lottery
Malachi Fields
NYG logo
NYG
WR230.51.26.286
Lottery
Chimere Dike
TEN logo
TEN
WR-0.86.173
Lottery
Kalif Raymond
CHI logo
CHI
WR-0.96.159
Lottery
Jalen Tolbert
MIA logo
MIA
WR-1.66.147
Lottery
Kayshon Boutte
NE logo
NE
WR248.21.16.146
Lottery
Jaylen Wright
MIA logo
MIA
RB243.30.66.069
Lottery
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
IND logo
IND
WR-1.06.068
Lottery
Emanuel Wilson
SEA logo
SEA
RB-0.55.857
Lottery
Will Kacmarek
MIA logo
MIA
TE-1.15.886
Lottery
John Metchie
CAR logo
CAR
WR-0.95.864
Lottery
Mike Washington
LV logo
LV
RB159.91.15.786
Lottery
Jonah Coleman
DEN logo
DEN
RB142.61.15.786
Lottery
Terrance Ferguson
LA logo
LA
TE209.11.35.669
Lottery
Zach Charbonnet
SEA logo
SEA
RB131.41.35.641
Lottery
Sean Tucker
TB logo
TB
RB-0.95.566
Lottery
Jordan James
SF logo
SF
RB233.21.05.484
Lottery
Eli Stowers
PHI logo
PHI
TE249.61.05.486
Lottery
David Njoku
LAC logo
LAC
TE231.01.65.451
Lottery
Emmett Johnson
KC logo
KC
RB199.81.05.386
Lottery
Theo Johnson
NYG logo
NYG
TE-1.65.246
Lottery
Kimani Vidal
LAC logo
LAC
RB239.50.65.266
Lottery
George Holani
SEA logo
SEA
RB-0.75.278
Lottery
Zavion Thomas
CHI logo
CHI
WR-1.05.286
Lottery
Noah Fant
NO logo
NO
TE-1.65.248
Lottery
Elijah Sarratt
BAL logo
BAL
WR-1.05.186
Lottery
Justin Joly
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.95.086
Lottery
Samaje Perine
CIN logo
CIN
RB-1.25.048
Lottery
Elic Ayomanor
TEN logo
TEN
WR-1.14.955
Lottery
Elijah Higgins
ARI logo
ARI
TE-0.84.858
Lottery
Theo Wease
MIA logo
MIA
WR-0.94.881
Lottery
Ja'Kobi Lane
BAL logo
BAL
WR161.20.94.886
Lottery
Ted Hurst
TB logo
TB
WR238.30.94.886
Lottery
Carson Beck
ARI logo
ARI
QB-0.94.786
Lottery
Savion Williams
GB logo
GB
WR-0.44.686
Lottery
Tez Johnson
TB logo
TB
WR-0.64.675
Lottery
Daniel Bellinger
TEN logo
TEN
TE-0.94.675
Lottery
Chris Brooks
GB logo
GB
RB-0.74.552
Lottery
Kaelon Black
SF logo
SF
RB183.90.94.586
Lottery
Tommy Tremble
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.54.562
Lottery
Malik Davis
DAL logo
DAL
RB-0.34.587
Lottery
Luke Musgrave
GB logo
GB
TE-0.94.558
Lottery
Josh Oliver
MIN logo
MIN
TE-0.54.467
Lottery
Roman Wilson
PIT logo
PIT
WR-0.54.390
Lottery
James Conner
ARI logo
ARI
RB223.81.74.345
Lottery
Marquise Brown
PHI logo
PHI
WR-1.64.350
Lottery
Adam Trautman
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.54.369
Lottery
Tutu Atwell
MIA logo
MIA
WR-0.94.359
Lottery
Will Shipley
PHI logo
PHI
RB-0.34.276
Lottery
Austin Hooper
ATL logo
ATL
TE-1.04.241
Lottery
Charlie Kolar
LAC logo
LAC
TE-0.74.272
Lottery
Marlin Klein
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.84.186
Lottery
Keon Coleman
BUF logo
BUF
WR242.21.14.041
Lottery
Tahj Brooks
CIN logo
CIN
RB-0.84.077
Lottery
Demond Claiborne
MIN logo
MIN
RB241.20.84.086
Lottery
Skyler Bell
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.74.086
Lottery
Jaydon Blue
DAL logo
DAL
RB217.30.93.988
Lottery
Konata Mumpfield
LA logo
LAR
WR-1.03.971
Lottery
Nicholas Singleton
TEN logo
TEN
RB197.50.73.986
Lottery
Caleb Douglas
MIA logo
MIA
WR203.40.73.986
Lottery
Kevin Coleman
MIA logo
MIA
WR-0.73.986
Lottery
Mack Hollins
NE logo
NE
WR-1.03.937
Steady
Gardner Minshew
ARI logo
ARI
QB-0.43.980
Lottery
Grant Calcaterra
PHI logo
PHI
TE-0.53.966
Lottery
Kyle Williams
NE logo
NE
WR-0.43.884
Lottery
Brock Wright
DET logo
DET
TE-0.93.762
Lottery
Cade Klubnik
NYJ logo
NYJ
QB-0.73.686
Lottery
Cyrus Allen
KC logo
KC
WR181.00.73.686
Lottery
Treylon Burks
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.83.669
Lottery
Isaiah Bond
CLE logo
CLE
WR-1.03.567
Lottery
Christian Kirk
SF logo
SF
WR-0.33.570
Lottery
Mac Jones
SF logo
SF
QB-0.33.556
Lottery
Jerome Ford
WAS logo
WAS
RB-0.33.561
Lottery
Ben Sinnott
WAS logo
WAS
TE-0.63.467
Lottery
Jalen Royals
KC logo
KC
WR-0.63.484
Lottery
Jackson Hawes
BUF logo
BUF
TE-0.73.466
Lottery
Oscar Delp
NO logo
NO
TE-0.63.486
Lottery
Joe Royer
CLE logo
CLE
TE-0.63.486
Lottery
Luke Schoonmaker
DAL logo
DAL
TE-0.53.370
Lottery
Mitch Tinsley
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.93.373
Lottery
Emari Demercado
KC logo
KC
RB-0.63.358
Lottery
LeQuint Allen
JAX logo
JAX
RB-1.53.350
Lottery
CJ Daniels
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.63.386
Lottery
Erick All
CIN logo
CIN
TE-1.73.251
Lottery
Jahdae Walker
CHI logo
CHI
WR-0.63.281
Lottery
Eli Raridon
NE logo
NE
TE-0.63.286
Lottery
Demarcus Robinson
SF logo
SF
WR-0.73.254
Lottery
Jake Tonges
SF logo
SF
TE-1.03.260
Lottery
Efton Chism
NE logo
NE
WR-0.63.181
Lottery
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.63.186
Lottery
Barion Brown
NO logo
NO
WR-0.63.186
Lottery
Drew Sample
CIN logo
CIN
TE-0.63.170
Lottery
Joshua Palmer
BUF logo
BUF
WR-1.03.143
Lottery
Colbie Young
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.63.086
Lottery
Joe Flacco
CIN logo
CIN
QB-0.52.957
Lottery
Tyler Higbee
LA logo
LAR
TE-0.72.959
Lottery
Sam Roush
CHI logo
CHI
TE-0.52.886
Lottery
Jaylin Lane
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.72.763
Lottery
Bryce Lance
NO logo
NO
WR-0.52.786
Lottery
Greg Dortch
DET logo
DET
WR-0.42.760
Lottery
Ashton Dulin
IND logo
IND
WR-0.52.783
Lottery
Najee Harris
NYG logo
NYG
RB-1.12.747
Lottery
Tai Felton
MIN logo
MIN
WR-0.52.681
Lottery
Jimmy Horn
CAR logo
CAR
WR-0.82.663
Lottery
Matt Hibner
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.52.686
Lottery
Kaytron Allen
WAS logo
WAS
RB235.50.52.686
Lottery
Brandon Aiyuk
SF logo
SF
WR-0.92.672
Lottery
Kaleb Johnson
PIT logo
PIT
RB-0.52.571
Lottery
Adam Randall
BAL logo
BAL
RB-0.52.586
Lottery
Mo Alie-Cox
IND logo
IND
TE-0.62.570
Lottery
Dont'e Thornton
LV logo
LV
WR-0.92.464
Lottery
Bo Melton
GB logo
GB
WR-0.72.475
Lottery
Andy Dalton
PHI logo
PHI
QB-0.32.487
Lottery
Rasheen Ali
BAL logo
BAL
RB-0.42.386
Lottery
Brevyn Spann-Ford
DAL logo
DAL
TE-0.32.371
Lottery
Cade Stover
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.82.357
Lottery
Ja'Tavion Sanders
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.42.351
Lottery
Trevor Etienne
CAR logo
CAR
RB-0.42.371
Lottery
Seth McGowan
IND logo
IND
RB-0.42.386
Lottery
Xavier Smith
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.32.280
Lottery
Isaiah Williams
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.62.268
Lottery
DJ Giddens
IND logo
IND
RB-1.02.270
Lottery
Dillon Gabriel
CLE logo
CLE
QB-0.62.266
Lottery
Nate Boerkircher
JAX logo
JAX
TE-0.42.286
Lottery
Josh Cameron
JAX logo
JAX
WR-0.42.286
Lottery
Michael Trigg
DAL logo
DAL
TE-0.42.286
Lottery
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
DAL logo
DAL
WR-0.22.275
Lottery
Joe Milton
DAL logo
DAL
QB-0.12.193
Lottery
Quinn Ewers
MIA logo
MIA
QB-1.12.167
Lottery
Deion Burks
IND logo
IND
WR-0.42.186
Lottery
Jameis Winston
NYG logo
NYG
QB-0.22.168
Lottery
Trey Lance
LAC logo
LAC
QB-0.12.189
Lottery
John Bates
WAS logo
WAS
TE-0.82.165
Lottery
Brashard Smith
KC logo
KC
RB-0.22.075
Lottery
Lance Mason
PIT logo
PIT
TE-0.42.086
Lottery
Brenen Thompson
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.42.086
Lottery
Derek CarrFAQB-1.22.046
Lottery
Connor Heyward
LV logo
LV
TE-0.12.079
Lottery
Tanner McKee
PHI logo
PHI
QB-0.12.091
Lottery
Audric Estime
NO logo
NO
RB-0.21.967
Lottery
Tanner Koziol
JAX logo
JAX
TE-0.41.986
Lottery
Jaren Kanak
TEN logo
TEN
TE-0.41.986
Lottery
Miles KitselmanFATE-0.41.986
Lottery
Jeremy McNichols
WAS logo
WAS
RB-0.21.957
Lottery
Devin Singletary
NYG logo
NYG
RB-0.31.950
Lottery
Davis Mills
HOU logo
HOU
QB-0.31.983
Lottery
Cedric Tillman
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.11.871
Lottery
Tyrell Shavers
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.31.885
Lottery
Teddy BridgewaterFAQB-0.31.880
Lottery
JuJu Smith-SchusterFAWR-0.31.856
Lottery
J.J. McCarthy
MIN logo
MIN
QB-0.61.761
Lottery
Devontez Walker
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.51.768
Lottery
Devin Neal
NO logo
NO
RB-0.31.777
Lottery
Max Klare
LA logo
LAR
TE-0.31.786
Lottery
Mason Rudolph
PIT logo
PIT
QB-0.31.778
Lottery
Foster Moreau
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.31.762
Lottery
Justin Fields
KC logo
KC
QB-0.21.756
Lottery
Tyler Goodson
ATL logo
ATL
RB-0.11.779
Lottery
Mitchell Evans
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.31.669
Lottery
Phil Mafah
DAL logo
DAL
RB-0.31.684
Lottery
Jaleel McLaughlin
DEN logo
DEN
RB-0.41.543
Lottery
Jalen Milroe
SEA logo
SEA
QB-0.31.581
Lottery
Mitchell Trubisky
TEN logo
TEN
QB-0.01.581
Lottery
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.31.559
Lottery
Tyler Badie
DEN logo
DEN
RB-0.31.561
Lottery
Ty Chandler
NO logo
NO
RB-0.21.573
Lottery
Tommy DeVito
NE logo
NE
QB-0.31.483
Lottery
Malachi Corley
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.31.464
Lottery
Jordan Whittington
LA logo
LAR
WR-0.21.462
Lottery
Will Howard
PIT logo
PIT
QB-0.31.486
Lottery
Ty Simpson
LA logo
LAR
QB-0.31.486
Lottery
Tyler Huntley
BAL logo
BAL
QB-0.51.469
Lottery
Will Levis
TEN logo
TEN
QB-0.71.459
Lottery
Davis Allen
LA logo
LAR
TE-0.21.358
Lottery
Trey Benson
ARI logo
ARI
RB-0.31.356
Lottery
Drew Allar
PIT logo
PIT
QB-0.21.386
Lottery
Kevin Austin
NO logo
NO
WR-0.51.370
Lottery
Josh Cuevas
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.21.286
Lottery
Noah Thomas
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.21.286
Lottery
Seydou Traore
MIA logo
MIA
TE-0.21.286
Lottery
Tim Patrick
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.21.264
Lottery
Jarrett Stidham
DEN logo
DEN
QB-0.01.294
Lottery
Nick Mullens
JAX logo
JAX
QB-0.21.176
Lottery
Tanner Hudson
CIN logo
CIN
TE-0.21.163
Lottery
Luke Farrell
SF logo
SF
TE-0.21.176
Lottery
Tyrod Taylor
GB logo
GB
QB-0.31.170
Lottery
Anthony Richardson
IND logo
IND
QB-0.31.169
Lottery
Blake Whiteheart
CLE logo
CLE
TE-0.11.091
Lottery
Spencer Rattler
NO logo
NO
QB-0.51.043
Steady
Jawhar Jordan
HOU logo
HOU
RB-0.21.080
Lottery
Tip Reiman
ARI logo
ARI
TE-0.71.049
Lottery
Jam Miller
NE logo
NE
RB-0.21.086
Lottery
Jeremy Ruckert
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE-0.41.044
Steady
Drew Ogletree
IND logo
IND
TE-0.21.076
Lottery
Payne Durham
TB logo
TB
TE-0.20.977
Lottery
Kameron Johnson
TB logo
TB
WR-0.10.994
Lottery
Riley Leonard
IND logo
IND
QB-0.00.994
Lottery
Jack Endries
CIN logo
CIN
TE-0.20.986
Lottery
J'Mari Taylor
JAX logo
JAX
RB-0.20.986
Lottery
Ameer Abdullah
JAX logo
JAX
RB-0.10.966
Lottery
Josh Johnson
CIN logo
CIN
QB-0.00.990
Lottery
Isaiah Hodgins
NYG logo
NYG
WR-0.10.990
Lottery
Dyami Brown
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.10.961
Lottery
Tylan Wallace
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.10.983
Lottery
Luke McCaffrey
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.20.860
Lottery
Lan Larison
NE logo
NE
RB-0.20.886
Lottery
Marcus Mariota
WAS logo
WAS
QB-0.10.862
Lottery
Eric Saubert
SEA logo
SEA
TE-0.20.865
Lottery
Durham Smythe
BAL logo
BAL
TE-0.50.835
Steady
Charlie Woerner
ATL logo
ATL
TE-0.40.859
Lottery
Quintin Morris
JAX logo
JAX
TE-0.20.871
Lottery
Josh Whyle
GB logo
GB
TE-0.10.771
Lottery
Zavier Scott
MIN logo
MIN
RB-0.20.787
Lottery
Dylan Laube
LV logo
LV
RB-0.10.777
Lottery
Devin Culp
TB logo
TB
TE-0.10.781
Lottery
Xavier Restrepo
TEN logo
TEN
WR-0.10.783
Lottery
Darius Cooper
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.20.766
Lottery
Taylen Green
CLE logo
CLE
QB-0.10.786
Lottery
Riley Nowakowski
PIT logo
PIT
TE-0.10.786
Lottery
David Sills
TB logo
TB
WR-0.10.772
Lottery
Dameon Pierce
PHI logo
PHI
RB-0.00.780
Lottery
Ronnie Rivers
LA logo
LAR
RB-0.10.789
Lottery
Julius Chestnut
TEN logo
TEN
RB-0.10.778
Lottery
Dareke Young
LV logo
LV
WR-0.10.781
Lottery
Derius Davis
LAC logo
LAC
WR-0.10.677
Lottery
Nate Adkins
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.10.672
Lottery
Isaac Guerendo
SF logo
SF
RB-0.00.683
Lottery
Sione Vaki
DET logo
DET
RB-0.10.679
Lottery
Raheim Sanders
CLE logo
CLE
RB-0.40.650
Lottery
Reggie Virgil
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.10.686
Lottery
Dean Connors
LA logo
LAR
RB-0.10.686
Lottery
Garrett Nussmeier
KC logo
KC
QB-0.10.686
Lottery
Jamal Haynes
CIN logo
CIN
RB-0.10.686
Lottery
Chris Manhertz
NYG logo
NYG
TE-0.20.683
Lottery
Kyle Allen
BUF logo
BUF
QB-0.10.681
Lottery
Lucas Krull
DEN logo
DEN
TE-0.20.662
Lottery
Kendre Miller
NO logo
NO
RB-0.20.667
Lottery
Roschon Johnson
CHI logo
CHI
RB-0.00.576
Lottery
Jalen Brooks
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.20.569
Lottery
Tyson Bagent
CHI logo
CHI
QB-0.10.577
Lottery
Xavier Weaver
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.30.554
Lottery
Arian Smith
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR-0.10.570
Lottery
Jacardia Wright
SEA logo
SEA
RB-0.10.584
Lottery
Tyler Conklin
DET logo
DET
TE-0.10.565
Lottery
Cody White
SEA logo
SEA
WR-0.10.583
Lottery
Jack Stoll
CLE logo
CLE
TE-0.10.590
Lottery
Stone Smartt
PHI logo
PHI
TE-0.20.557
Lottery
Kalel Mullings
TEN logo
TEN
RB-0.10.483
Lottery
LaJohntay Wester
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.10.484
Lottery
Dane Key
DEN logo
DEN
WR-0.10.486
Lottery
Max Bredeson
MIN logo
MIN
TE-0.10.486
Lottery
Jack Velling
ATL logo
ATL
TE-0.10.486
Lottery
Chris Moore
BAL logo
BAL
WR-0.10.475
Lottery
Ian Thomas
LV logo
LV
TE-0.10.466
Lottery
Devin Duvernay
ARI logo
ARI
WR-0.00.483
Lottery
DeeJay Dallas
JAX logo
JAX
RB-0.10.478
Lottery
Tyler Johnson
DAL logo
DAL
WR-0.10.465
Lottery
Elijah MitchellFARB-0.10.486
Lottery
Michael Carter
TEN logo
TEN
RB-0.20.455
Lottery
Khalil Herbert
SF logo
SF
RB-0.00.484
Lottery
Charlie Jones
CIN logo
CIN
WR-0.00.381
Lottery
Nikko Remigio
KC logo
KC
WR-0.00.381
Lottery
Jarquez Hunter
LA logo
LAR
RB-0.00.386
Lottery
Anthony Gould
IND logo
IND
WR-0.10.381
Lottery
Jordan Watkins
SF logo
SF
WR-0.10.383
Lottery
Ben Yurosek
MIN logo
MIN
TE-0.10.383
Lottery
Trebor Pena
JAX logo
JAX
WR-0.10.386
Lottery
Chase Roberts
LV logo
LV
WR-0.10.386
Lottery
Carson Wentz
MIN logo
MIN
QB-0.10.361
Lottery
Dante Pettis
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.10.362
Lottery
Kylen Granson
TEN logo
TEN
TE-0.10.370
Lottery
Shane Zylstra
BUF logo
BUF
TE-0.10.383
Lottery
Skyy Moore
GB logo
GB
WR-0.10.366
Lottery
Cameron Latu
PHI logo
PHI
TE-0.00.286
Lottery
Jake Bobo
SEA logo
SEA
WR-0.00.272
Lottery
Damien Martinez
GB logo
GB
RB-0.00.286
Lottery
Jaydn Ott
KC logo
KC
RB-0.00.286
Lottery
Trent Sherfield
BUF logo
BUF
WR-0.10.276
Lottery
Tom Kennedy
DET logo
DET
WR-0.00.284
Lottery
Van Jefferson
WAS logo
WAS
WR-0.00.243
Lottery
Brevin Jordan
HOU logo
HOU
TE-0.00.283
Lottery
Kene Nwangwu
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB-0.10.265
Lottery
Ricky White
SEA logo
SEA
WR-0.00.186
Lottery
Donovan Edwards
MIA logo
MIA
RB-0.00.186
Lottery
Gage Larvadain
CLE logo
CLE
WR-0.10.170
Lottery
David Moore
CAR logo
CAR
WR-0.00.176
Lottery
Robert Tonyan
PIT logo
PIT
TE-0.00.184
Lottery
Jake Browning
TB logo
TB
QB-0.00.187
Lottery
Feleipe Franks
CAR logo
CAR
TE-0.00.180
Lottery
Britain Covey
PHI logo
PHI
WR-0.00.181
Lottery
Ko Kieft
TB logo
TB
TE-0.00.186
Lottery
Jacob Cowing
SF logo
SF
WR-0.00.081
Lottery
Le'Veon MossFARB-0.00.086
Lottery
Cooper Rush
ATL logo
ATL
QB-0.00.077
Lottery

How to read it

The floor is a bad week (25th percentile) and the ceiling is a big week (90th percentile), each rescaled onto this season's projection from the player's own weekly history over the past two seasons. Players up and to the right have both a high floor and a high ceiling; the dashed line marks where ceiling equals floor. Players with under four played games are treated as unknown-spread, never as zero risk.

Use it alongside the ADP board and the draft kit.

The free weekly cheat sheet

JT's best NRL + AFL calls, in your inbox before lockout every week.