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Panthers vs Raiders Prediction & Match Analysis — NRL Round 22 2026
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages — head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Raiders by 1-6
Model score: Panthers 22 — 26 Raiders
Total points: the model's 48-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical NRL game (~41 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty — injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 5 meetings it is Panthers 3, Raiders 2, averaging 44.2 total points per game. Panthers have won 2 of their last 5. Raiders have won 4 of their last 5.
Last 5 meetings: Panthers 3, Raiders 2 — averaging 44.2 total points per game.
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- 12 — 26 @ Cowboys27 June 2026
- 18 — 19 @ Titans20 June 2026
- 56 — 10 v Wests Tigers25 July 2026
- 34 — 24 v Rabbitohs18 July 2026
- 40 — 16 @ Bulldogs11 July 2026
- 24 — 16 v Dragons28 June 2026
- 20 — 42 @ Storm21 June 2026
Panthers
- Nathan Cleary
93.9 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 101m run · 20.3 tackles (15 games)
- Thomas Jenkins
82.8 SC avg · 1.4 tries · 187m run · 5.4 tackles (18 games)
- Dylan Edwards
77.7 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 217m run · 6.1 tackles (17 games)
- Isaiah Papali'i
68.3 SC avg · 0.1 tries · 123m run · 33.2 tackles (17 games)
Raiders
- Hudson Young
79.5 SC avg · 0.4 tries · 130m run · 29.7 tackles (14 games)
- Simi Sasagi
75.5 SC avg · 0.4 tries · 174m run · 15.8 tackles (13 games)
- Noah Martin
66.5 SC avg · 0.4 tries · 75m run · 40.0 tackles (10 games)
- Joseph Tapine
62.0 SC avg · 0.0 tries · 135m run · 31.3 tackles (19 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Full projections, DVP and prop hit rates for members — plus the multi builder for same-game analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 22 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Panthers and Raiders team hubs.
Every published play, graded — Best Plays Tracker