Who will win Panthers vs Roosters?

Our form-based model leans Panthers by 7-12 points, from a model score of Panthers 24 to 15 Roosters.

What is the Panthers vs Roosters prediction for NRL Round 28 2026?

Our form-based model leans Panthers by 7-12 points, from a model score of Panthers 24 to 15 Roosters. The model expects about 39 combined points — in line with a typical NRL game. The prediction is built from each side's recent points scored and conceded, with a home-ground adjustment.

Are these Panthers vs Roosters tips free?

Yes. The predicted winner, margin band and total-points lean for Panthers vs Roosters are free and need no account. Stats Lab members also get player projections, DVP matchup tools and the multi builder for the fixture.

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Panthers vs Roosters Prediction Round 28 2026

Who wins Panthers vs Roosters? Our form-based model leans Panthers by 7-12. Read the full preview below.

A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side. Includes multi tips for the fixture.

Panthers

Roosters

Round 28 · 2026

Sunday AfternoonCommBank Stadium

Our prediction

Panthers by 7-12

Model score: Panthers 24–15 Roosters

Total points: the model's 39-point expected total sits in line with a typical NRL game (~41 combined points).

How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.

What the numbers say

Across their last 5 meetings it is Panthers 3, Roosters 2, averaging 44.8 total points per game. Panthers have won 3 of their last 5. Roosters have won 2 of their last 5.

Recent head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Panthers 3, Roosters 2, averaging 44.8 total points per game.

Panthers 6–12 RoostersRd 24 2026 · CommBank Stadium

Roosters 4–40 PanthersRd 3 2026 · Allianz Stadium

Roosters 12–40 PanthersRd 7 2025 · Allianz Stadium

Panthers 32–38 RoostersRd 2 2025 · CommBank Stadium

Panthers 30–10 RoostersRd 28 2024 · Bluebet Stadium

Form guide: last 5 games

PanthersWWWLL

38–10 v Wests Tigers6 Sept 2026
24–10 v Bulldogs28 Aug 2026
22–14 @ Storm20 Aug 2026
6–12 v Roosters13 Aug 2026
12–28 @ Warriors7 Aug 2026

RoostersLLLWW

20–50 @ Rabbitohs4 Sept 2026
12–26 v Dolphins29 Aug 2026
24–25 v Wests Tigers23 Aug 2026
12–6 @ Panthers13 Aug 2026
20–18 v Bulldogs7 Aug 2026

Key players: season averages

Panthers

Nathan Cleary
91.9 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 97m run · 20.2 tackles (21 games)
Thomas Jenkins
81.3 SC avg · 1.3 tries · 196m run · 5.4 tackles (24 games)
Dylan Edwards
73.4 SC avg · 0.5 tries · 214m run · 5.7 tackles (21 games)
Isaiah Papali'i
70.3 SC avg · 0.1 tries · 122m run · 33.4 tackles (23 games)

Roosters

James Tedesco
79.8 SC avg · 0.7 tries · 199m run · 2.8 tackles (17 games)
Sam Walker
76.9 SC avg · 0.5 tries · 89m run · 15.3 tackles (21 games)
Billy Smith
73.9 SC avg · 0.9 tries · 154m run · 9.9 tackles (14 games)
Robert Toia
72.2 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 112m run · 20.7 tackles (20 games)

Go deeper before lockout

Full projections and DVP for members, plus the multi builder for same-game analysis.

Lockout hub Multi builder

More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 28 match previews page, all Round 28 predictions sit on one page, with deeper club data on the Panthers and Roosters team hubs.

Which club leaks points to which position across the whole round, matched to the players named opposite them: Round 28 matchup edge.

Every published play, graded on the Best Plays Tracker