Welcome to The Stats Lab, your new home for advanced analysis and insights for fantasy sportsWelcome to The Stats Lab
Wests Tigers vs Eels Prediction & Match Analysis — NRL Round 22 2026
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages — head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Eels by 7-12
Model score: Wests Tigers 15 — 23 Eels
Total points: the model's 38-point expected total leans lower-scoring than a typical NRL game (~41 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty — injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 5 meetings it is Wests Tigers 3, Eels 2, averaging 51.8 total points per game. Wests Tigers have won 0 of their last 5. Eels have won 2 of their last 5.
Last 5 meetings: Wests Tigers 3, Eels 2 — averaging 51.8 total points per game.
- 10 — 56 @ Raiders25 July 2026
- 0 — 32 @ Bulldogs18 July 2026
- 6 — 32 v Warriors10 July 2026
- 10 — 24 @ Dragons4 July 2026
- 6 — 12 @ Knights28 June 2026
- 18 — 24 v Panthers23 July 2026
- 12 — 28 @ Roosters11 July 2026
- 23 — 14 v Sea Eagles5 July 2026
- 12 — 32 v Rabbitohs25 June 2026
- 15 — 12 v Raiders13 June 2026
Wests Tigers
- Terrell May
81.7 SC avg · 0.1 tries · 148m run · 40.1 tackles (18 games)
- Adam Doueihi
76.4 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 126m run · 14.0 tackles (12 games)
- Alex Twal
76.3 SC avg · 0.0 tries · 124m run · 45.1 tackles (14 games)
- Kai Pearce-Paul
70.0 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 72m run · 35.3 tackles (12 games)
Eels
- Jack Williams
65.8 SC avg · 0.1 tries · 114m run · 40.2 tackles (18 games)
- Isaiah Iongi
63.6 SC avg · 0.4 tries · 163m run · 7.5 tackles (11 games)
- Kitione Kautoga
61.5 SC avg · 0.1 tries · 105m run · 29.8 tackles (13 games)
- Kelma Tuilagi
60.6 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 107m run · 30.3 tackles (15 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Full projections, DVP and prop hit rates for members — plus the multi builder for same-game analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 22 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Wests Tigers and Eels team hubs.
Every published play, graded — Best Plays Tracker