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NRL Round 1 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position
Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 1. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.
The standouts in Round 1
Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.
Storm halves vs Eels
Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.
Named there: Cameron Munster (five-eighth), Jahrome Hughes (halfback)
Bulldogs fullbacks vs Dragons
Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.
Named there: Connor Tracey (fullback)
Roosters hookers vs Warriors
Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.
Named there: Benaiah Ioelu (hooker)
Cowboys fullbacks vs Knights
Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.
Named there: Scott Drinkwater (fullback)
Sharks middle forwards vs Titans
Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.
Named there: Addin Fonua-Blake (prop), Thomas Hazelton (prop), Jesse Colquhoun (lock)
Knights vs Cowboys
Saturday Evening · 1 March · Allegiant StadiumCowboys fullbacks vs Knights
Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.
Named there: Scott Drinkwater (fullback)
Knights hookers vs Cowboys
Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.
Named there: Phoenix Crossland (hooker)
Bulldogs vs Dragons
Saturday Night · 1 March · Allegiant StadiumBulldogs fullbacks vs Dragons
Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.
Named there: Connor Tracey (fullback)
Bulldogs wingers vs Dragons
Dragons concede 65.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 8.8 above the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.
Named there: Jacob Kiraz (winger), Marcelo Montoya (winger)
Storm vs Eels
Thursday Night · 5 March · AAMI ParkStorm halves vs Eels
Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.
Named there: Cameron Munster (five-eighth), Jahrome Hughes (halfback)
Eels centres vs Storm
Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.
Named there: Will Penisini (centre), Brian Kelly (centre)
Broncos vs Panthers
Friday Night · 6 March · Suncorp Stadium
Broncos wingers vs Panthers
Panthers concede 47.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.1 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.
Named there: Josiah Karapani (winger), Deine Mariner (winger)
Panthers middle forwards vs Broncos
Broncos concede 51.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 2.9 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.
Named there: Moses Leota (prop), Lindsay Smith (prop), Isaah Yeo (lock)
Warriors vs Roosters
Friday Night · 6 March · Go Media StadiumRoosters hookers vs Warriors
Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.
Named there: Benaiah Ioelu (hooker)
Warriors fullbacks vs Roosters
Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.
Named there: Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad (fullback)
Sharks vs Titans
Saturday Evening · 7 March · Sharks StadiumSharks middle forwards vs Titans
Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.
Named there: Addin Fonua-Blake (prop), Thomas Hazelton (prop), Jesse Colquhoun (lock)
Sharks centres vs Titans
Titans concede 66.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 7.8 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.
Named there: Jesse Ramien (centre), KL Iro (centre)
Sea Eagles vs Raiders
Saturday Night · 7 March · 4 Pines Park
Raiders middle forwards vs Sea Eagles
Sea Eagles concede 52.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 2.4 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.
Named there: Josh Papalii (prop), Joseph Tapine (prop), Corey Horsburgh (lock)
Dolphins vs Rabbitohs
Sunday Day · 8 March · Suncorp Stadium
Rabbitohs wingers vs Dolphins
Dolphins concede 46.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.2 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.
Named there: Alex Johnston (winger), Campbell Graham (winger)
Rabbitohs middle forwards vs Dolphins
Dolphins concede 58.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.7 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.
Named there: Tevita Tatola (prop), Keaon Koloamatangi (prop), Cameron Murray (lock)
How the edges are worked out
For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.
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More this round: our call on every game in the Round 1 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 1 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 1 late mail.
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