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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 20 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 20. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 20 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 20

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 54.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.7 below the competition average of 62.0 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Samuela Fainu (Second Row), Sione Fainu (Second Row)

Roosters logo

Roosters centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 67.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.9 above the competition average of 57.5 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Billy Smith (Centre), Hugo Savala (Centre)

Warriors logo

Warriors fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 72.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.7 above the competition average of 63.2 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Taine Tuaupiki (Fullback)

Dolphins logo

Dolphins hookers vs Cowboys

Softest of 17

Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.1 above the competition average of 50.0 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Jeremy Marshall-King (Hooker)

Sharks logo

Sharks fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 72.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 8.8 above the competition average of 63.2 across 23 player-games.

Named there: William Kennedy (Fullback)

Panthers vs Broncos

Thursday Night · 16 July · CommBank Stadium
Broncos logo

Broncos wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 46.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 9.9 below the competition average of 56.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Josiah Karapani (Winger), Deine Mariner (Winger)

Panthers logo

Panthers middle forwards vs Broncos

2nd toughest of 17

Broncos concede 50.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.4 below the competition average of 53.5 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Moses Leota (Prop), Lindsay Smith (Prop), Isaah Yeo (Lock)

Sharks vs Knights

Friday Evening · 17 July · Sharks Stadium
Sharks logo

Sharks fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 72.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 8.8 above the competition average of 63.2 across 23 player-games.

Named there: William Kennedy (Fullback)

Sharks logo

Sharks edge forwards vs Knights

2nd toughest of 17

Knights concede 56.8 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 5.2 below the competition average of 62.0 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Briton Nikora (Second Row), Teig Wilton (Second Row)

Roosters vs Storm

Friday Night · 17 July · Allianz Stadium
Roosters logo

Roosters centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 67.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.9 above the competition average of 57.5 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Billy Smith (Centre), Hugo Savala (Centre)

Storm logo

Storm fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 54.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 63.2 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Sualauvi Faalogo (Fullback)

Raiders vs Rabbitohs

Saturday Day · 18 July · GIO Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs edge forwards vs Raiders

Softest of 17

Raiders concede 67.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 5.0 above the competition average of 62.0 across 46 player-games.

Named there: David Fifita (Second Row), Euan Aitken (Second Row)

Raiders logo

Raiders hookers vs Rabbitohs

4th softest of 17

Rabbitohs concede 55.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.1 above the competition average of 50.0 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Owen Pattie (Hooker)

Warriors vs Dragons

Saturday Night · 18 July · Go Media Stadium
Warriors logo

Warriors fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 72.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.7 above the competition average of 63.2 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Taine Tuaupiki (Fullback)

Dragons logo

Dragons hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.9 below the competition average of 50.0 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Damien Cook (Hooker)

Bulldogs vs Wests Tigers

Saturday Night · 18 July · Accor Stadium
Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 54.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.7 below the competition average of 62.0 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Samuela Fainu (Second Row), Sione Fainu (Second Row)

Bulldogs logo

Bulldogs hookers vs Wests Tigers

2nd softest of 17

Wests Tigers concede 55.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.5 above the competition average of 50.0 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Bailey Hayward (Hooker)

Titans vs Sea Eagles

Sunday Day · 19 July · Cbus Super Stadium
Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles middle forwards vs Titans

2nd softest of 17

Titans concede 57.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.8 above the competition average of 53.5 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Taniela Paseka (Prop), Simione Laiafi (Prop), Jake Trbojevic (Lock)

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles centres vs Titans

2nd softest of 17

Titans concede 65.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 7.6 above the competition average of 57.5 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Tolutau Koula (Centre), Reuben Garrick (Centre)

Dolphins vs Cowboys

Sunday Day · 19 July · Suncorp Stadium
Dolphins logo

Dolphins hookers vs Cowboys

Softest of 17

Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.1 above the competition average of 50.0 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Jeremy Marshall-King (Hooker)

Cowboys logo

Cowboys middle forwards vs Dolphins

Softest of 17

Dolphins concede 57.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 53.5 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Griffin Neame (Prop), Jason Taumalolo (Prop), Reuben Cotter (Lock)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 20 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 20 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 20 late mail.

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