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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL 21 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in 21. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 21 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 21

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Warriors logo

Warriors edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 56.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 6.9 below the competition average of 63.0 across 48 player-games.

Named there: Kurt Capewell (Second Row), Jacob Laban (Second Row)

Knights logo

Knights fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 54.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 10.3 below the competition average of 65.2 across 28 player-games.

Named there: Kalyn Ponga (Fullback), Fletcher Sharpe (Fullback)

Panthers logo

Panthers halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 70.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.1 above the competition average of 59.0 across 48 player-games.

Named there: Blaize Talagi (Five-Eighth), Nathan Cleary (Halfback)

Dragons logo

Dragons middle forwards vs Titans

2nd softest of 17

Titans concede 59.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 5.2 above the competition average of 54.2 across 72 player-games.

Named there: Loko Pasifiki Tonga (Prop), Toby Couchman (Prop), Ryan Couchman (Lock)

Storm logo

Storm hookers vs Rabbitohs

Softest of 17

Rabbitohs concede 56.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.1 above the competition average of 50.5 across 25 player-games.

Named there: Trent Toelau (Hooker)

Eels vs Panthers

Thursday Night · 23 July · CommBank Stadium
Panthers logo

Panthers halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 70.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.1 above the competition average of 59.0 across 48 player-games.

Named there: Blaize Talagi (Five-Eighth), Nathan Cleary (Halfback)

Eels logo

Eels wingers vs Panthers

Toughest of 17

Panthers concede 47.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.1 below the competition average of 57.5 across 52 player-games.

Named there: Brian Kelly (Winger), Josh Addo-Carr (Winger)

Knights vs Roosters

Friday Evening · 24 July · McDonald Jones Stadium
Knights logo

Knights fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 54.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 10.3 below the competition average of 65.2 across 28 player-games.

Named there: Kalyn Ponga (Fullback), Fletcher Sharpe (Fullback)

Roosters logo

Roosters fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 72.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 7.0 above the competition average of 65.2 across 28 player-games.

Named there: James Tedesco (Fullback)

Rabbitohs vs Storm

Friday Night · 24 July · Accor Stadium
Storm logo

Storm hookers vs Rabbitohs

Softest of 17

Rabbitohs concede 56.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.1 above the competition average of 50.5 across 25 player-games.

Named there: Trent Toelau (Hooker)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs centres vs Storm

2nd softest of 17

Storm concede 66.8 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 8.1 above the competition average of 58.7 across 48 player-games.

Named there: Latrell Siegwalt (Centre), Jack Wighton (Centre)

Bulldogs vs Warriors

Saturday Evening · 25 July · Accor Stadium
Warriors logo

Warriors edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 56.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 6.9 below the competition average of 63.0 across 48 player-games.

Named there: Kurt Capewell (Second Row), Jacob Laban (Second Row)

Bulldogs logo

Bulldogs hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 44.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.5 below the competition average of 50.5 across 26 player-games.

Named there: Bailey Hayward (Hooker)

Cowboys vs Broncos

Saturday Night · 25 July · Queensland Country Bank Stadium
Broncos logo

Broncos hookers vs Cowboys

2nd softest of 17

Cowboys concede 56.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.7 above the competition average of 50.5 across 25 player-games.

Named there: Cory Paix (Hooker)

Broncos logo

Broncos halves vs Cowboys

2nd softest of 17

Cowboys concede 66.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 7.6 above the competition average of 59.0 across 50 player-games.

Named there: Ezra Mam (Five-Eighth), Adam Reynolds (Halfback)

Raiders vs Wests Tigers

Saturday Day · 25 July · GIO Stadium
Raiders logo

Raiders centres vs Wests Tigers

Softest of 17

Wests Tigers concede 67.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 8.3 above the competition average of 58.7 across 48 player-games.

Named there: Simi Sasagi (Centre), Matthew Timoko (Centre)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers edge forwards vs Raiders

Softest of 17

Raiders concede 67.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.5 above the competition average of 63.0 across 48 player-games.

Named there: Samuela Fainu (Second Row), Ethan Roberts (Second Row)

Sea Eagles vs Sharks

Sunday Day · 26 July · 4 Pines Park
Sharks logo

Sharks centres vs Sea Eagles

Toughest of 17

Sea Eagles concede 52.8 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 5.9 below the competition average of 58.7 across 48 player-games.

Named there: Jesse Ramien (Centre), KL Iro (Centre)

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles hookers vs Sharks

3rd softest of 17

Sharks concede 54.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 4.1 above the competition average of 50.5 across 26 player-games.

Named there: Nicholas Lenaz (Hooker)

Dragons vs Titans

Sunday Day · 26 July · Jubilee Oval
Dragons logo

Dragons middle forwards vs Titans

2nd softest of 17

Titans concede 59.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 5.2 above the competition average of 54.2 across 72 player-games.

Named there: Loko Pasifiki Tonga (Prop), Toby Couchman (Prop), Ryan Couchman (Lock)

Titans logo

Titans fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 73.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 8.3 above the competition average of 65.2 across 24 player-games.

Named there: Keano Kini (Fullback)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 21 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 21 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 21 late mail.

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