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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 21 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 21. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 21 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 21

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Warriors logo

Warriors edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Kurt Capewell (Second Row), Jacob Laban (Second Row)

Panthers logo

Panthers halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Blaize Talagi (Five-Eighth), Nathan Cleary (Halfback)

Titans logo

Titans fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Keano Kini (Fullback)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Latrell Siegwalt (Centre), Jack Wighton (Centre)

Knights logo

Knights fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Kalyn Ponga (Fullback), Fletcher Sharpe (Fullback)

Eels vs Panthers

Thursday Night · 23 July · CommBank Stadium
Panthers logo

Panthers halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Blaize Talagi (Five-Eighth), Nathan Cleary (Halfback)

Eels logo

Eels wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 47.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.1 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Brian Kelly (Winger), Josh Addo-Carr (Winger)

Knights vs Roosters

Friday Evening · 24 July · McDonald Jones Stadium
Knights logo

Knights fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Kalyn Ponga (Fullback), Fletcher Sharpe (Fullback)

Roosters logo

Roosters fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.

Named there: James Tedesco (Fullback)

Rabbitohs vs Storm

Friday Night · 24 July · Accor Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Latrell Siegwalt (Centre), Jack Wighton (Centre)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs middle forwards vs Storm

Toughest of 17

Storm concede 50.7 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.7 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Tevita Tatola (Prop), Keaon Koloamatangi (Prop), Bronson Garlick (Lock)

Raiders vs Wests Tigers

Saturday Day · 25 July · GIO Stadium
Raiders logo

Raiders hookers vs Wests Tigers

2nd softest of 17

Wests Tigers concede 56.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Tom Starling (Hooker)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers edge forwards vs Raiders

Softest of 17

Raiders concede 67.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.7 above the competition average of 62.8 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Samuela Fainu (Second Row), Ethan Roberts (Second Row)

Bulldogs vs Warriors

Saturday Evening · 25 July · Accor Stadium
Warriors logo

Warriors edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Kurt Capewell (Second Row), Jacob Laban (Second Row)

Bulldogs logo

Bulldogs hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Bailey Hayward (Hooker)

Cowboys vs Broncos

Saturday Night · 25 July · Queensland Country Bank Stadium
Broncos logo

Broncos hookers vs Cowboys

Softest of 17

Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Cory Paix (Hooker)

Broncos logo

Broncos wingers vs Cowboys

2nd softest of 17

Cowboys concede 65.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 8.5 above the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Josiah Karapani (Winger), Deine Mariner (Winger)

Dragons vs Titans

Sunday Day · 26 July · Jubilee Oval
Titans logo

Titans fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Keano Kini (Fullback)

Dragons logo

Dragons middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Loko Pasifiki Tonga (Prop), Toby Couchman (Prop), Ryan Couchman (Lock)

Sea Eagles vs Sharks

Sunday Day · 26 July · 4 Pines Park
Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles halves vs Sharks

2nd toughest of 17

Sharks concede 52.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 7.2 below the competition average of 59.2 across 43 player-games.

Named there: Joey Walsh (Five-Eighth), Jamal Fogarty (Halfback)

Sharks logo

Sharks middle forwards vs Sea Eagles

4th toughest of 17

Sea Eagles concede 52.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 2.4 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Thomas Hazelton (Prop), Cameron McInnes (Lock), Jesse Colquhoun (Prop), Oregon Kaufusi (Prop)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 21 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 21 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 21 late mail.

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