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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 7 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 7. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 7 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 7

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Eels logo

Eels edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Charlie Guymer (Second Row), Jack Williams (Second Row)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Matthew Dufty (Fullback)

Titans logo

Titans hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Sam Verrills (Hooker)

Raiders logo

Raiders centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Simi Sasagi (Centre), Matthew Timoko (Centre)

Knights logo

Knights fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Fletcher Sharpe (Fullback)

Cowboys vs Sea Eagles

Thursday Night · 16 April · Queensland Country Bank Stadium
Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles hookers vs Cowboys

Softest of 17

Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Brandon Wakeham (Hooker)

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles wingers vs Cowboys

2nd softest of 17

Cowboys concede 65.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 8.5 above the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Jason Saab (Winger), Lehi Hopoate (Winger)

Raiders vs Storm

Friday Evening · 17 April · GIO Stadium
Raiders logo

Raiders centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Simi Sasagi (Centre), Matthew Timoko (Centre)

Raiders logo

Raiders middle forwards vs Storm

Toughest of 17

Storm concede 50.7 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.7 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Josh Papalii (Prop), Joseph Tapine (Prop), Corey Horsburgh (Lock)

Dolphins vs Panthers

Friday Night · 17 April · TIO Stadium
Panthers logo

Panthers wingers vs Dolphins

2nd toughest of 17

Dolphins concede 46.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.2 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Thomas Jenkins (Winger), Brian To'o (Winger)

Dolphins logo

Dolphins wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 47.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.1 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Jamayne Isaako (Winger), Selwyn Cobbo (Winger)

Wests Tigers vs Broncos

Saturday Night · 18 April · Campbelltown Sports Stadium
Broncos logo

Broncos hookers vs Wests Tigers

2nd softest of 17

Wests Tigers concede 56.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Josh Rogers (Hooker)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers middle forwards vs Broncos

3rd toughest of 17

Broncos concede 51.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 2.9 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Terrell May (Prop), Fonua Pole (Prop), Alex Twal (Lock)

Rabbitohs vs Dragons

Saturday Evening · 18 April · Accor Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Matthew Dufty (Fullback)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs wingers vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 65.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 8.8 above the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Alex Johnston (Winger), Campbell Graham (Winger)

Warriors vs Titans

Saturday Evening · 18 April · Go Media Stadium
Titans logo

Titans hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Sam Verrills (Hooker)

Warriors logo

Warriors middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: James Fisher-Harris (Prop), Jackson Ford (Prop), Erin Clark (Lock)

Eels vs Bulldogs

Sunday Day · 19 April · CommBank Stadium
Eels logo

Eels edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Charlie Guymer (Second Row), Jack Williams (Second Row)

Bulldogs logo

Bulldogs halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Matt Burton (Five-Eighth), Lachlan Galvin (Halfback)

Roosters vs Knights

Sunday Day · 19 April · Allianz Stadium
Knights logo

Knights fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Fletcher Sharpe (Fullback)

Roosters logo

Roosters fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.

Named there: James Tedesco (Fullback)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 7 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 7 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 7 late mail.

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