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Fremantle Dockers vs Adelaide Crows Prediction, Tips & Preview - AFL Round 23 2026
Who wins Fremantle Dockers vs Adelaide Crows? Our form-based model leans Fremantle Dockers by 24-39. Read the full preview below.
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Fremantle Dockers by 24-39
Model score: Fremantle Dockers 91–67 Adelaide Crows
Total points: the model's 158-point expected total leans lower-scoring than a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Fremantle Dockers 3, Adelaide Crows 0, averaging 136.3 total points per game. Fremantle Dockers have won 5 of their last 5. Adelaide Crows have won 2 of their last 5.
Last 3 meetings: Fremantle Dockers 3, Adelaide Crows 0, averaging 136.3 total points per game.
- 118–70 v Melbourne Demons21 Mar 2026
- 103–43 v Richmond Tigers28 Mar 2026
- 78–76 @ Adelaide Crows3 Apr 2026
- 45–39 @ Collingwood Magpies10 Apr 2026
- 97–41 @ West Coast Eagles19 Apr 2026
- 88–94 v Western Bulldogs20 Mar 2026
- 60–68 @ Geelong Cats26 Mar 2026
- 76–78 v Fremantle Dockers3 Apr 2026
- 114–86 v Carlton Blues9 Apr 2026
- 103–102 v St Kilda Saints18 Apr 2026
Fremantle Dockers
- Luke Jackson
114.5 SC avg · 17.6 disposals · 1.1 goals · 2.7 marks (20 games)
- Andrew Brayshaw
101.6 SC avg · 24.7 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.5 marks (20 games)
- Caleb Serong
98.3 SC avg · 24.2 disposals · 0.5 goals · 2.7 marks (17 games)
- Josh Treacy
97.1 SC avg · 13.2 disposals · 2.4 goals · 6.4 marks (20 games)
Adelaide Crows
- Jordan Dawson
111.8 SC avg · 25.4 disposals · 1.2 goals · 5.3 marks (17 games)
- Wayne Milera
102.1 SC avg · 25.6 disposals · 0.1 goals · 5.9 marks (17 games)
- Sam Berry
99.9 SC avg · 22.9 disposals · 0.1 goals · 2.6 marks (19 games)
- Josh Worrell
95.1 SC avg · 22.1 disposals · 0.0 goals · 5.8 marks (19 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members, to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 23 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Fremantle Dockers and Adelaide Crows team hubs.