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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats Prediction Round 27 2026
Who wins Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats? Our form-based model leans Fremantle Dockers by 12-23. Read the full preview below.
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Fremantle Dockers by 12-23
Model score: Fremantle Dockers 87–75 Geelong Cats
Total points: the model's 162-point expected total leans lower-scoring than a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 4 meetings it is Fremantle Dockers 1, Geelong Cats 3, averaging 187.5 total points per game. Fremantle Dockers have won 5 of their last 5. Geelong Cats have won 4 of their last 5.
Last 4 meetings: Fremantle Dockers 1, Geelong Cats 3, averaging 187.5 total points per game.
- 118–70 v Melbourne Demons21 Mar 2026
- 103–43 v Richmond Tigers28 Mar 2026
- 78–76 @ Adelaide Crows3 Apr 2026
- 45–39 @ Collingwood Magpies10 Apr 2026
- 97–41 @ West Coast Eagles19 Apr 2026
- 110–100 v Fremantle Dockers14 Mar 2026
- 68–60 v Adelaide Crows26 Mar 2026
- 91–92 @ Hawthorn Hawks6 Apr 2026
- 122–76 v West Coast Eagles12 Apr 2026
- 131–56 v Western Bulldogs17 Apr 2026
Fremantle Dockers
- Luke Jackson
116.4 SC avg · 17.7 disposals · 1.0 goals · 2.9 marks (24 games)
- Andrew Brayshaw
101.7 SC avg · 24.6 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.3 marks (24 games)
- Caleb Serong
99.3 SC avg · 24.0 disposals · 0.5 goals · 2.5 marks (21 games)
- Shai Bolton
96.1 SC avg · 22.3 disposals · 0.9 goals · 2.7 marks (23 games)
Geelong Cats
- Bailey Smith
121.0 SC avg · 32.0 disposals · 0.5 goals · 3.9 marks (23 games)
- Max Holmes
114.8 SC avg · 27.7 disposals · 0.3 goals · 4.8 marks (19 games)
- Tom Stewart
92.5 SC avg · 20.7 disposals · 0.1 goals · 5.6 marks (22 games)
- Oliver Dempsey
87.7 SC avg · 19.5 disposals · 1.3 goals · 5.3 marks (24 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members, to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 27 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Fremantle Dockers and Geelong Cats team hubs.