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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks Prediction, Tips & Preview - AFL Round 26 2026
Who wins Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks? Our form-based model leans Fremantle Dockers by 12-23. Read the full preview below.
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Fremantle Dockers by 12-23
Model score: Fremantle Dockers 89–76 Hawthorn Hawks
Total points: the model's 165-point expected total sits in line with a typical AFL game (~176 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds an 8-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 3 meetings it is Fremantle Dockers 2, Hawthorn Hawks 1, averaging 154.3 total points per game. Fremantle Dockers have won 5 of their last 5. Hawthorn Hawks have won 5 of their last 5.
Last 3 meetings: Fremantle Dockers 2, Hawthorn Hawks 1, averaging 154.3 total points per game.
- 118–70 v Melbourne Demons21 Mar 2026
- 103–43 v Richmond Tigers28 Mar 2026
- 78–76 @ Adelaide Crows3 Apr 2026
- 45–39 @ Collingwood Magpies10 Apr 2026
- 97–41 @ West Coast Eagles19 Apr 2026
- 145–83 @ Essendon Bombers13 Mar 2026
- 99–82 v Sydney Swans19 Mar 2026
- 92–91 v Geelong Cats6 Apr 2026
- 104–64 v Western Bulldogs11 Apr 2026
- 89–86 v Port Adelaide Power18 Apr 2026
Fremantle Dockers
- Luke Jackson
116.4 SC avg · 17.5 disposals · 1.0 goals · 2.7 marks (23 games)
- Andrew Brayshaw
101.7 SC avg · 24.4 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.2 marks (23 games)
- Caleb Serong
99.3 SC avg · 24.2 disposals · 0.5 goals · 2.5 marks (20 games)
- Shai Bolton
96.1 SC avg · 22.4 disposals · 0.9 goals · 2.8 marks (22 games)
Hawthorn Hawks
- Jai Newcombe
102.3 SC avg · 26.0 disposals · 0.3 goals · 3.2 marks (23 games)
- James Sicily
93.0 SC avg · 21.2 disposals · 0.1 goals · 7.0 marks (22 games)
- Jarman Impey
87.2 SC avg · 23.5 disposals · 0.2 goals · 6.9 marks (21 games)
- Will Day
86.5 SC avg · 21.0 disposals · 0.8 goals · 3.5 marks (11 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Matchup strength by position and full positional rankings for members, to sharpen your team and matchup analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 26 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Fremantle Dockers and Hawthorn Hawks team hubs.