Who will win Panthers vs Knights?

Our form-based model leans Panthers by 7-12 points, from a model score of Panthers 26 to 17 Knights.

What is the Panthers vs Knights prediction for NRL Round 30 2026?

Our form-based model leans Panthers by 7-12 points, from a model score of Panthers 26 to 17 Knights. The model expects about 43 combined points — in line with a typical NRL game. The prediction is built from each side's recent points scored and conceded, with a home-ground adjustment.

Are these Panthers vs Knights tips free?

Yes. The predicted winner, margin band and total-points lean for Panthers vs Knights are free and need no account. Stats Lab members also get player projections, DVP matchup tools and the multi builder for the fixture.

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Panthers vs Knights Prediction Round 30 2026

Who wins Panthers vs Knights? Our form-based model leans Panthers by 7-12. Read the full preview below.

A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side. Includes multi tips for the fixture.

Panthers

Knights

Round 30 · 2026

Sunday AfternoonAccor Stadium

Our prediction

Panthers by 7-12

Model score: Panthers 26–17 Knights

Total points: the model's 43-point expected total sits in line with a typical NRL game (~41 combined points).

How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.

What the numbers say

Across their last 5 meetings it is Panthers 4, Knights 1, averaging 45.4 total points per game. Panthers have won 4 of their last 5. Knights have won 3 of their last 5.

Recent head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Panthers 4, Knights 1, averaging 45.4 total points per game.

Knights 12–44 PanthersRd 8 2026 · McDonald Jones Stadium

Knights 12–48 PanthersRd 23 2025 · McDonald Jones Stadium

Panthers 6–25 KnightsRd 12 2025 · Carrington Park

Panthers 22–14 KnightsRd 22 2024 · Bluebet Stadium

Knights 18–26 PanthersRd 15 2024 · McDonald Jones Stadium

Form guide: last 5 games

PanthersWWWWL

19–12 v Roosters13 Sept 2026
38–10 v Wests Tigers6 Sept 2026
24–10 v Bulldogs28 Aug 2026
22–14 @ Storm20 Aug 2026
6–12 v Roosters13 Aug 2026

KnightsWWLLW

12–10 @ Warriors20 Sept 2026
20–10 @ Rabbitohs11 Sept 2026
32–46 @ Warriors30 Aug 2026
24–44 v Sea Eagles22 Aug 2026
36–26 v Titans16 Aug 2026

Key players: season averages

Panthers

Nathan Cleary
92.3 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 99m run · 20.2 tackles (22 games)
Thomas Jenkins
81.2 SC avg · 1.2 tries · 195m run · 5.3 tackles (25 games)
Dylan Edwards
75.6 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 216m run · 5.5 tackles (22 games)
Isaiah Papali'i
72.0 SC avg · 0.1 tries · 123m run · 33.4 tackles (24 games)

Knights

Kalyn Ponga
80.5 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 169m run · 3.8 tackles (17 games)
Dylan Lucas
74.1 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 116m run · 36.1 tackles (17 games)
Dominic Young
68.9 SC avg · 0.9 tries · 166m run · 2.2 tackles (25 games)
Greg Marzhew
68.2 SC avg · 1.0 tries · 187m run · 2.0 tackles (25 games)

Go deeper before lockout

Full projections and DVP for members, plus the multi builder for same-game analysis.

Lockout hub Multi builder

More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 30 match previews page, all Round 30 predictions sit on one page, with deeper club data on the Panthers and Knights team hubs.

Which club leaks points to which position across the whole round, matched to the players named opposite them: Round 30 matchup edge.

Every published play, graded on the Best Plays Tracker